Phoenix Suns vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction, 5/12/2022 Preview and Pick

Game: Phoenix Suns vs Dallas Mavericks

Date: Thursday, May 12, 2022

Location: American Airlines Center in Dallas, TX

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Phoenix (-1)

The Phoenix Suns are en route to American Airlines Center on Thursday where they will take on the Dallas Mavericks in Game 6 of their series. The Suns lead 3-2. Phoenix is 1-point favorites. The over/under has been set at 213.5.

The Suns took the court against the Mavericks and took home the win by a score of 110-80 in Game 5. When discussing fouls, the Suns ended up walking away with 23 and the Mavericks accumulated 16 fouls. They also converted 8 of 32 tries from beyond the perimeter. Dallas ended up shooting 66.7% from the free throw line by making 18 of 27 shots. Additionally, Dallas collected 32 rebounds (6 offensive, 26 defensive) and had 2 blocked shots. Dallas dished out 38 dimes and had 9 steals in this matchup. In relation to the defense, Phoenix allowed 38.0% from the field on 27 of 71 shooting. They also doled out 28 assists for the matchup while forcing the opposition into 0 turnovers and earning 10 steals. Concerning hauling in rebounds, they earned 50 with 12 of them being of the offensive variety. From the free throw line, the Suns converted 12 of 16 attempts for a rate of 75.0%. Phoenix wrapped up the contest with a 49.4% field goal percentage (43 out of 87) and converted 12 of their 32 3-pointers.

Devin Booker is one player who came through in this matchup. He accounted for 28 points on 11 out of 20 shooting. He was on the hardwood for 35 mins played and also collected 7 boards. Booker finished 55.0% from the field and totaled 2 dimes.

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Phoenix comes into this matchup with a win-loss record of 64-18 this year. They turn the ball over 12.9 times per contest and as a team are committing 19.9 personal fouls per game. As a unit, Phoenix is snagging 45.3 rebounds per contest and has 2,244 dimes on the season, which is 4th in the league in terms of passing the ball. The Suns are shooting 36.4% on shots from distance (951 of 2,616) and 79.7% from the charity stripe. They currently have an average of 114.8 pts per game (5th in the NBA) while connecting on 48.5% from the floor.

On the defensive end, the Suns are forcing 14.7 turnovers on a nightly basis and they draw 18.9 personal fouls. They are currently ranked 3rd in the league in giving up assists to their opponents with 1,875 surrendered on the season. The Suns defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 44.4% (3,216 of 7,243) and they surrender 44.5 boards per contest as a group. They are surrendering 34.0% on 3-point attempts and they are 8th in the NBA in PPG allowed (107.3).

In the matter of rebounding in Game 5, Dallas allowed Phoenix to collect 38 overall (12 on the offensive glass). They went 37.5% from distance by going 12 of 32 and finished the game at 12 out of 16 from the charity stripe (75.0%). The Mavericks allowed the Suns to knock down 43 of 87 attempts from the field which had them at 49.4% for this game. When the final whistle blew, the Mavericks went 27 for 71 from the floor which gave them a rate of 38.0%. With respect to three-point shots, Dallas buried 8 out of 32 tries (25.0%). They were able to make 18 of the free throw attempts for a percentage of 66.7%. The Suns were called for 12 fouls for this contest which got the Mavericks to the free throw line for a total of 27 tries. They turned the ball over 16 times, while recording 7 steals in this matchup. The Mavericks collected 32 defensive boards and 6 offensive boards for a total of 38 for the matchup.

Luka Doncic pitched in for the Mavericks for the game. Doncic totaled 28 points in his 35 mins of playing time and had 2 assists in this game. He buried 10 out of 23 for the contest for a field goal rate of 43.5%, and added 11 rebounds.

Dallas has a mark of 52-30 for the year. When it comes to executing on offense, the Mavericks are hitting on 46.1% from the floor, which has them ranked 18th in the NBA. Dallas has accumulated 8,858 pts so far this season (108.0 per game) and they pull in 43.0 boards per contest. They are getting an assist 23.4 times per game (25th in basketball) and they are turning it over 12.5 times per contest. The Mavericks are responsible for committing 19.7 personal fouls every game and they shoot 77.1% from the charity stripe.

The Mavericks on the defensive side of the court are 2nd in basketball in points allowed per game with 104.7. They are able to force 13.1 turnovers per game and allow teams to shoot 45.7% from the field (12th in the league). The Dallas defense surrenders 34.0% on 3-point shots (895 of 2,635) and opponents are converting on 76.7% of their free throw attempts. They surrender 23.5 dimes and 43.6 boards per contest, which is 6th and 11th in the NBA.

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Dallas (+1)

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