Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics Prediction, 5/27/2022 Preview and Pick

Game: Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics

Date: Friday, May 27, 2022

Location: TD Garden in Boston, MA

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Miami (+9)

TD Garden is where the Boston Celtics will try to defeat the Miami Heat on Friday in Game 6 of their series. Boston leads 3-2. Miami opens this contest as 9-point underdogs from Vegas oddsmakers. The total is 201.

The Heat took a loss by a score of 93-80 in Game 5. Miami walked away from the game having earned a 31.9% FG percentage (30 of 94) and made 7 out of their 45 3-point attempts. From the free throw line, the Heat converted 13 of 14 tries for a rate of 92.9%. With regard to grabbing rebounds, they compiled a total of 49 with 19 of them being of the offensive variety. They also recorded 14 assists for the contest in addition to creating 7 turnovers and having 7 steals. With respect to defense, Miami allowed the other team to go 46.5% from the floor on 33 of 71 shooting. Boston doled out 46 assists and had 24 steals for the game. In addition, Boston had 40 boards (6 offensive, 34 defensive) and earned 2 blocks. Boston finished the game shooting 73.9% at the charity stripe by burying 17 of 23 shots. They also converted 10 of 33 attempts from distance. With respect to fouls, the Heat walked away with 19 while the Celtics had 15 fouls.

Bam Adebayo is a guy who played a role for the game. He totaled 18 points on 8 out of 15 shooting. He saw the court for 38 minutes and snagged 10 boards. Adebayo finished the game shooting 53.3% from the field and also distributed 1 assist.

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Miami will enter this contest with a win-loss record of 53-29 so far this year. They have an average of 110.0 pts per game (17th in the league) while shooting 46.7% from the field. The Heat are hitting 37.9% on shots from beyond the arc (1,114 of 2,936) and 80.8% from the charity stripe. As a unit, Miami is pulling down 43.7 boards per contest and has racked up 2,090 assists for the season, which is 8th in the NBA in terms of passing. They are turning it over 14.6 times per contest and as a unit are committing 20.5 personal fouls on a nightly basis.

On the defensive end, the Heat are forcing 15.0 turnovers on a nightly basis while drawing 20.6 fouls. They are 4th in basketball in allowing assists with 1,908 surrendered for the campaign. The Heat defensively are giving up an opponent FG percentage of 44.7% (3,078 of 6,886) and they surrender 41.7 rebounds per game as a group. They are conceding 33.9% on 3-point shots and they are ranked 4th in the league in PPG allowed (105.6).

In Game 5 the Celtics corralled 40 defensive boards and 6 offensive rebounds for a total of 46 in the matchup. They also coughed up the ball 15 times, while getting 5 steals in this game. The Heat committed 12 fouls for the matchup which took the Celtics to the charity stripe for a total of 23 attempts. They were able to make 17 of the free throw attempts for a percentage of 73.9%. In terms of shots from 3-point land, Boston made 10 of their 33 attempts (30.3%). Overall, the Celtics ended up going 33 for 71 from the floor which gave them a percentage of 46.5%. The Celtics allowed the Heat to make 30 of their 94 tries from the floor which gave them a percentage of 31.9% in this matchup. They went 15.6% from 3-point land by connecting on 7 of 45 and ended up shooting 13 of 14 from the free throw line (92.9%). In relation to rebounds, Boston permitted Miami to collect 30 in total (19 offensive).

Al Horford ended up being a factor for the Celtics for the contest. Horford scored 16 points in his 39 minutes on the court and accounted for 5 dimes for this contest. He buried 5 out of 8 for this game giving him a rate of 62.5%, and had 7 rebounds.

Boston has a mark of 51-31 for the season. The Celtics have committed 18.5 personal fouls per game and they hit 81.6% from the free throw line. They are dishing out assists 24.8 times per contest (14th in basketball) and they turn it over 13.6 times per game. Boston has totaled 9,164 pts so far this year (111.8 per contest) and they average 46.1 boards per contest. In terms of offensive execution, the Celtics are shooting 46.6% from the field, which ranks 15th in the league.

The Boston defense concedes 33.9% on shots from beyond the perimeter (969 of 2,860) and their opponents are converting on 78.3% of their shots from the free throw line. They give up 21.6 assists and 43.7 boards per game, which has them ranked 1st and 12th in basketball. The Celtics are ranked 1st in the league in points allowed per game with 104.5. They are forcing 13.8 turnovers per game and allow teams to shoot 43.4% from the field (1st in the NBA).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Miami (+9)

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