Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics Prediction, 5/23/2022 Preview and Pick

Game: Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics

Date: Monday, May 23, 2022

Location: TD Garden in Boston, MA

TV: ABC

Odds/Point Spread: Miami (+7)

The Miami Heat are traveling to TD Garden on Monday where they will attempt to defeat the Boston Celtics in Game 4 of their series. Miami leads 2-1. Boston is 7-point favorites. The over/under is 208.5.

The Heat walked away with a win by a score of 109-103 in Game 3. With respect to fouls, the Heat left the arena with 24 while the Celtics recorded 23 fouls. They converted 12 out of their 32 tries from beyond the arc. Boston walked away from this one shooting 76.7% at the free throw line by converting 23 of their 30 shots. Additionally, Boston grabbed 35 boards (9 offensive, 26 defensive) and had 4 blocks. Boston distributed 44 assists and had 21 steals in this matchup. In the matter of defense, Miami allowed their opponent to shoot 48.6% from the field on 34 of 70 shooting. They also doled out 22 assists in this game while forcing the opposition into 7 turnovers and having 19 steals. Concerning rebounding, they collected a total of 34 with 8 of them being on the offensive end. At the charity stripe, the Heat made 12 of 14 attempts for a percentage of 85.7%. Miami ended with a 46.7% FG percentage (43 of 92) and knocked down 11 of their 33 3-pointers.

Bam Adebayo is one player who was a major factor in the game. Adebayo finished shooting 68.2% from the floor and also recorded 6 dimes. He was on the court for 42 minutes and pulled down 10 rebounds. He scored 31 points on 15 of 22 shooting.

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Miami comes into this matchup with a record of 53-29 on the season. They average 110.0 points per game (17th in the league) while going 46.7% from the floor. The Heat are shooting 37.9% on shots from downtown (1,114 of 2,936) and 80.8% from the charity stripe. As a team, Miami is collecting 43.7 rebounds per contest and has tallied 2,090 dimes on the season, which ranks 8th in the NBA in terms of passing the ball. They are giving up possession 14.6 times per game and as a basketball team are committing 20.5 fouls on a nightly basis.

When they are on defense, the Heat are forcing 15.0 turnovers per contest while drawing 20.6 personal fouls. They surrender 33.9% on three-point shots and they are ranked 4th in the league in points per game allowed (105.6). The Heat defensively are allowing and opponent field goal percentage of 44.7% (3,078 of 6,886) and they relinquish 41.7 rebounds per game as a squad. They currently rank 4th in the NBA in giving up assists to the opposition with 1,908 surrendered so far this year.

In Game 3 the Celtics were able to pull down 35 defensive rebounds and 9 offensive boards for a total of 44 for this game. They coughed it up 23 times, while earning 2 steals in the matchup. The Heat earned 8 personal fouls in the matchup which took the Celtics to the charity stripe for 30 attempts. They were able to knock down 23 of the free throws for a percentage of 76.7%. In relation to shots from distance, Boston buried 12 of their 32 tries (37.5%). Overall, the Celtics went 34 for 70 from the floor which gave them a percentage of 48.6%. The Celtics allowed the Heat to knock down 43 of their 92 attempts from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 46.7% in this matchup. They went 33.3% from distance by connecting on 11 out of 33 and walked away from this one shooting 12 of 14 from the charity stripe (85.7%). In the matter of rebounding, Boston permitted Miami to collect 26 in total (8 offensive).

Jaylen Brown ended up being important for the Celtics in this matchup. Brown scored 40 points in his 42 mins on the hardwood and added 1 assist for this game. He buried 14 out of 20 for this contest giving him a field goal percentage of 70.0%, and earned 9 rebounds.

Boston has a mark of 51-31 for the year. On the offensive side of the ball, the Celtics are shooting 46.6% from the floor, which ranks them 15th in the league. Boston has scored 9,164 points this year (111.8 per contest) and they grab 46.1 rebounds per game. They are getting an assist 24.8 times per game (14th in the NBA) and they are turning it over 13.6 times per contest. The Celtics commit 18.5 fouls per contest and they hit 81.6% from the charity stripe.

The Boston defense surrenders 33.9% on shots from behind the 3-point line (969 of 2,860) and opponents are knocking down 78.3% of their free throw shots. They surrender 21.6 dimes and 43.7 rebounds on a nightly basis, which is ranked 1st and 12th in the league. The Celtics on the defensive side of the court are 1st in the league in PPG given up with 104.5. They have forced 13.8 TO's every game and have allowed teams to shoot 43.4% from the floor (1st in the NBA).

So what is Tonights Parlay prediction?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Boston (-7) and under 208.5 points

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