Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks Prediction, 4/24/2022 Preview and Pick

Game: Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks

Date: Sunday, April 24, 2022

Location: State Farm Arena in Atlanta, GA

TV: TNT

Odds/Point Spread: Miami (-2)

The Miami Heat are hitting the road to State Farm Arena on Sunday where they will take on the Atlanta Hawks in Game 4 of their series. The Heat lead 2-1. Miami opens this game as 2-point favorites. The total comes in at 220.

The Heat took a loss by a score of 111-110 in Game 3. In relation to personal fouls, the Heat left the arena with 23 while the Hawks accumulated 11 personal fouls. They also made 12 of their 32 attempts from beyond the arc. Atlanta ended up shooting 81.0% at the free throw line by making 17 of 21 attempts. Furthermore, Atlanta totaled 31 rebounds (5 offensive, 26 defensive) and had 3 blocked shots. Atlanta dished out 36 dimes and had 23 steals in this game. With regard to defending, Miami allowed the other team to go 51.3% from the field on 41 out of 80 shooting. They also distributed 30 dimes for the matchup as well as forcing 3 turnovers and having 6 steals. Regarding pulling down boards, they compiled 45 with 11 of them being of the offensive variety. From the charity stripe, the Heat made 14 of their 17 attempts for a rate of 82.4%. Miami finished having earned a 44.1% FG percentage (41 of 93) and buried 14 of 45 3-point shots.

Jimmy Butler is a guy who had an impact for the game. Butler finished shooting 40.0% from the field and also totaled 8 assists. He was on the court for 41 minutes and also totaled 10 boards. He finished with 20 points on 8 out of 20 shooting.

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Miami comes into this matchup with a record of 53-29 this season. They lose possession by turning the ball over 14.6 times per contest and as a basketball team they commit 20.5 personal fouls on a nightly basis. As a team, Miami is collecting 43.7 boards per game and is sitting with 2,090 dimes this season, which has them ranked 8th in the NBA in terms of passing. The Heat are connecting on 37.9% on shots from 3-point land (1,114 of 2,936) and 80.8% from the free throw line. They are averaging 110.0 pts per contest (17th in the NBA) while going 46.7% from the field.

On defense, the Heat are forcing 15.0 turnovers per contest while drawing 20.6 fouls. They relinquish 33.9% on shots from beyond the perimeter and they are ranked 4th in the league in PPG allowed (105.6). The Heat defense is giving up and opponent field goal percentage of 44.7% (3,078 of 6,886) and they surrender 41.7 boards per game as a team. They are 4th in the league in allowing assists to the opposition with 1,908 conceded for the campaign.

In terms of rebounding in Game 3, Atlanta allowed Miami to pull down 34 in all (11 offensive). They finished 31.1% from 3-point land by shooting 14 of 45 and finished the contest at 14 out of 17 from the free throw line (82.4%). The Hawks permitted the Heat to convert 41 of their 93 tries from the floor which gave them a percentage of 44.1% for the game. When the game finished, the Hawks ended up shooting 41 out of 80 from the floor which had them at 51.3%. Concerning shots from 3-point land, Atlanta buried 12 of 32 tries (37.5%). They were able to make 17 of them for a rate of 81.0%. The Heat were called for 14 fouls in this game which took the Hawks to the free throw line for a total of 21 tries. They also gave up possession of the ball 11 times, while recording 5 steals in this game. The Hawks snagged 31 defensive rebounds and 5 offensive boards for a total of 36 in this contest.

Trae Young ended up having an impact for the Hawks in this game. He converted 6 out of 14 for the matchup giving him a rate of 42.9%, and tallied 4 rebounds. Young earned 24 points in his 40 mins of playing time and tallied 8 assists for this contest.

Atlanta has a record of 43-39 for the season. On the offensive side of the ball, the Hawks are hitting on 47.0% from the floor, which is ranked 7th in the NBA. Atlanta has earned 9,343 points on the season (113.9 per contest) and they average 44.0 rebounds per game. They are earning an assist 24.6 times per game (15th in the league) and they lose possession by turning the ball over 11.9 times per contest. The Hawks are committing 18.7 fouls per contest and they hit 81.2% from the free throw line.

The Atlanta defense surrenders 36.4% from downtown (1,051 of 2,888) and opponents are knocking down 79.2% of their shots from the free throw line. They relinquish 25.4 dimes and 43.9 boards per game, which ranks them 23rd and 13th in the league. The Hawks are ranked 21st in the league in PPG allowed with 112.4. They are forcing 12.8 TO's every game and allow teams to shoot 47.1% from the field (23rd in the NBA).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Atlanta (+2)

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