Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets Prediction, 4/24/2022 Preview and Pick

Game: Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets

Date: Sunday, April 24, 2022

Location: Ball Arena in Denver, CO

TV: ABC

Odds/Point Spread: Golden State (-4)

The Denver Nuggets will compete against the Golden State Warriors at Ball Arena on Sunday in Game 4 of their series. The Warriors lead 3-0. Denver opens as 4-point dogs. The over/under has been set at 224.5.

The Warriors took home the win by a score of 118-113 in Game 3. Golden State finished the game having earned a 55.4% field goal percentage (41 of 74) and made 18 of 40 shots from distance. From the charity stripe, the Warriors knocked down 18 of 28 shots for a percentage of 64.3%. In reference to grabbing boards, they compiled 30 with 4 of them being of the offensive sort. They also doled out 29 assists in the matchup while forcing the other team into 3 turnovers and earning 7 steals. In terms of defense, Golden State allowed the other team to go 50.0% from the floor on 40 out of 80 shooting. Denver totaled 44 assists and had 25 steals for the game. Moreover, Denver snagged 33 boards (11 offensive, 22 defensive) and had 6 rejections. Denver shot 81.5% from the free throw line by converting 22 of 27 attempts. They knocked down 11 of their 26 attempts from 3-point range. Concerning personal fouls, the Warriors ended up finishing with 25 and the Nuggets accumulated 17 personal fouls.

Jordan Poole is one player who had an impact in the game. He had 27 points on 9 out of 13 shooting. He saw the court for 34 mins and also totaled 3 boards. Poole finished the contest at 69.2% from the field and also recorded 3 assists.

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Golden State heads into this matchup with a record of 53-29 for the campaign. They turn it over 14.9 times per contest and as a basketball team are committing 21.0 personal fouls on a nightly basis. As a unit, Golden State is collecting 45.5 boards per game and has accounted for 2,223 dimes on the campaign, which is 5th in basketball in terms of passing. The Warriors are connecting on 36.4% on shots beyond the perimeter (1,176 of 3,231) and 76.9% from the free throw line. They average 111.0 points per game (15th in basketball) on 46.9% from the floor.

When they are on the defensive end, the Warriors are forcing 14.5 turnovers per game and they draw 18.0 fouls. They are giving up 33.9% on 3-pointers and they are ranked 3rd in the league in PPG allowed (105.5). The Warriors defensively are allowing a shooting percentage of 43.8% (3,111 of 7,098) and they concede 42.6 rebounds per contest as a basketball team. They are 2nd in the NBA in giving up assists to their opponents with 1,875 conceded for the season.

In terms of rebounding in Game 3, Denver allowed Golden State to collect 26 in all (4 on the offensive glass). They shot 45.0% from three-point range by shooting 18 out of 40 and walked away from this one shooting 18 out of 28 from the charity stripe (64.3%). The Nuggets allowed the Warriors to make 41 of their 74 tries from the field which had them sitting at 55.4% for the matchup. When the final whistle blew, the Nuggets walked away from this one shooting 40 out of 80 from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 50.0%. Pertaining to shots from downtown, Denver made 11 out of their 26 attempts (42.3%). They were able to bury 22 of the free throw tries for a percentage of 81.5%. The Warriors were called for 16 personal fouls for the contest which got the Nuggets to the charity stripe for a total of 27 shots. They turned it over 17 times, while earning 9 steals in this contest. The Nuggets earned 33 defensive boards and 11 offensive rebounds totaling 44 for this game.

Nikola Jokic was important for the Nuggets in this game. Jokic scored 37 points in his 38 mins of playing time and accumulated 5 assists in this matchup. He converted 14 out of 22 in this contest giving him a rate of 63.6%, and totaled 18 rebounds.

Denver has a record of 48-34 this season. As an offensive unit, the Nuggets are shooting 48.3% from the floor, which has them ranked 2nd in the NBA. Denver has accumulated 9,243 points for the season (112.7 per contest) and they average 44.1 rebounds per game. They are earning an assist 27.8 times per game (3rd in the league) and they turn it over 14.5 times per contest. The Nuggets commit 20.0 personal fouls per contest and they go 79.5% from the charity stripe.

The Denver defense allows 34.6% on shots from beyond the arc (971 of 2,806) and their opponents are knocking down 75.7% of their shots from the free throw line. They have surrendered 25.4 dimes and 42.4 rebounds per game, which has them ranked 22nd and 4th in the NBA. The Nuggets are ranked 14th in the league in PPG surrendered with 110.4. They are forcing 12.8 TO's every game and have allowed teams to shoot 47.0% from the floor (21st in the NBA).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Golden State (-4)

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