Dallas Mavericks vs Utah Jazz Prediction, 4/28/2022 Preview and Pick

Game: Dallas Mavericks vs Utah Jazz

Date: Thursday, April 28, 2022

Location: Vivint Arena in Salt Lake City, UT

TV: TNT

Odds/Point Spread: Dallas (+3)

The Utah Jazz welcome the Dallas Mavericks at Vivint Arena on Thursday in Game 6 of their series. Dallas leads the series 3-2. Utah is 3-point favorites. The over/under comes in at 210.5.

The Mavericks earned the victory with a final of 102-77 in Game 5. Dallas finished the game with a 43.5% field goal percentage (37 out of 85) and converted 12 out of their 43 three-point shots. At the charity stripe, the Mavericks made 16 of their 21 attempts for a percentage of 76.2%. With respect to grabbing rebounds, they earned a total of 49 with 11 of them being of the offensive variety. They also doled out 16 assists in this matchup while forcing the opposition into 2 turnovers and having 6 steals. Pertaining to defense, Dallas allowed 37.7% from the field on 29 of 77 shooting. Utah dished out 40 assists and had 12 steals for the game. Furthermore, Utah snagged 33 rebounds (7 offensive, 26 defensive) and added 1 block. Utah ended up shooting 76.2% from the free throw line by making 16 of 21 attempts. They also converted 3 of their 30 tries from downtown. In the matter of fouls, the Mavericks left the arena with 18 while the Jazz totaled 13 fouls.

Luka Doncic is one guy who was a contributor in this contest. He ended up walking away with 33 points on 11 of 22 shooting. He was on the hardwood for 33 mins and grabbed 13 rebounds. Doncic went 50.0% from the floor and dished out 5 dimes.

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Dallas heads into this game with a record of 52-30 for the year. They are averaging 108.0 points per contest (24th in the league) while connecting on 46.1% from the floor. The Mavericks are shooting 35.0% on shots from 3-point land (1,073 of 3,063) and 77.1% from the charity stripe. As a team, Dallas is pulling down 43.0 rebounds per game and has totaled 1,918 dimes for the campaign, which has them ranked 25th in the league in terms of passing the ball. They turn it over 12.5 times per game and as a team are committing 19.7 personal fouls every game.

On the defensive end of the court, the Mavericks are forcing 13.1 turnovers per game while drawing 20.1 fouls. They are giving up 34.0% on three-point shots and they are 2nd in the NBA in points per game allowed (104.7). The Mavericks are giving up a field goal percentage of 45.7% (3,198 of 7,001) and they surrender 43.6 rebounds per game as a group. They currently rank 6th in basketball in giving up assists to the opposition with 1,925 surrendered so far this season.

In terms of Game 5 rebounding, Utah allowed Dallas to pull down 38 in total (11 offensive). They went 27.9% from 3-point land by going 12 of 43 and ended up going 16 of 21 at the free throw line (76.2%). The Jazz allowed the Mavericks to make 37 out of their 85 tries from the floor which gave them a rate of 43.5% in the game. When all was said and done, the Jazz finished the game shooting 29 out of 77 from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 37.7%. In the matter of 3-point attempts, Utah knocked down 3 out of their 30 attempts (10.0%). They were able to bury 16 of the free throws for a clip of 76.2%. The Mavericks were called for 10 fouls for the matchup which got the Jazz to the free throw line for a total of 21 attempts. They also gave up possession of the ball 13 times, while recording 8 steals in this contest. The Jazz were able to collect 33 defensive boards and 7 offensive boards totaling 40 in the game.

Rudy Gobert ended up being a factor for the Jazz in this matchup. Gobert totaled 17 points in his 27 mins of playing time, but didn't record an assist. He converted 6 of 7 in this contest giving him a rate of 85.7%, and had 11 rebounds.

Utah has a win-loss mark of 49-33 so far this season. The Jazz have committed 18.9 fouls per game and they connect on 76.7% from the free throw line. They are earning an assist 22.4 times per contest (27th in the NBA) and they lose possession via turnover 14.0 times per game. Utah has accounted for 9,316 points for the year (113.6 per contest) and they average 46.3 boards per contest. When it comes to executing on offense, the Jazz are shooting 47.1% from the field, which has them ranked 6th in basketball.

The Jazz on defense are ranked 10th in basketball in points given up per game with 107.6. They are forcing their opponents into 12.0 turnovers on a nightly basis and have let teams shoot 45.3% from the floor (9th in basketball). The Utah defense allows 35.0% on 3-point attempts (994 of 2,837) and opponents are connecting on 75.8% of their shots from the free throw line. They give up 23.4 assists and 41.6 boards on a nightly basis, which is ranked 5th and 1st in the NBA.

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Dallas (+3)

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