Dallas Mavericks vs Phoenix Suns Prediction, 5/10/2022 Preview and Pick

Game: Dallas Mavericks vs Phoenix Suns

Date: Tuesday, May 10, 2022

Location: Footprint Center in Phoenix, AZ

TV: TNT

Odds/Point Spread: Dallas (+6)

The Dallas Mavericks are traveling to Footprint Center on Tuesday where they will play the Phoenix Suns in Game 5 of their series. The series is tied 2-2. Phoenix is 6-point favorites from Vegas oddsmakers. The betting total is set at 213.

The Mavericks played the Suns and earned the victory with a final of 111-101 in Game 4. In reference to personal fouls, the Mavericks finished with 21 while the Suns totaled 17 personal fouls. They also converted 9 of 25 shots from distance. Phoenix finished the contest at 77.8% from the free throw line by knocking down 14 of their 18 attempts. Furthermore, Phoenix totaled 32 rebounds (12 offensive, 20 defensive) and had 1 block. Phoenix distributed 44 dimes and had 27 steals for this contest. Pertaining to defending, Dallas allowed the other team to go 46.4% from the field on 39 of 84 shooting. They also recorded 22 dimes in this contest while forcing 4 turnovers and having 5 steals. When it comes to rebounding, they earned 37 with 10 of them being offensive. From the charity stripe, the Mavericks made 15 of 19 attempts for a percentage of 78.9%. Dallas walked away from the contest with a 44.7% FG percentage (38 out of 85) and buried 20 of 44 3-point shots.

Dorian Finney-Smith is one player who played a role for the game. Finney-Smith ended up going 61.5% from the floor and dished out 1 assist. He saw the court for 38 mins and snagged 8 rebounds. He walked away with 24 points on 8 out of 13 shooting.

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Dallas will enter this matchup with a win-loss mark of 52-30 on the season. They are losing possession via turnover 12.5 times per contest and as a unit are committing 19.7 fouls per game. As a team, Dallas is snagging 43.0 rebounds per game and has accounted for 1,918 assists so far this season, which is 25th in basketball in terms of passing. The Mavericks are connecting on 35.0% on shots beyond the perimeter (1,073 of 3,063) and 77.1% from the free throw line. They currently have an average of 108.0 points per contest (24th in basketball) while hitting 46.1% from the floor.

On defense, the Mavericks are forcing 13.1 turnovers per game while drawing 20.1 personal fouls. They are conceding 34.0% on shots from beyond the perimeter while they are 2nd in the NBA in points per game from their opponents (104.7). The Mavericks defensively are giving up an opponent shooting percentage of 45.7% (3,198 of 7,001) and they concede 43.6 boards per contest as a squad. They are 6th in the league in allowing assists to their opponents with 1,925 surrendered this season.

In their Game 4 loss, the Suns were able to corral 32 defensive rebounds and 12 offensive rebounds for a total of 44 in this matchup. They turned the ball over 17 times, while getting 4 steals for the matchup. The Mavericks committed 11 fouls in the matchup which took the Suns to the charity stripe for a total of 18 tries. They were able to convert 14 of them for a clip of 77.8%. When talking about shots from beyond the arc, Phoenix converted 9 out of their 25 tries (36.0%). When all was said and done, the Suns finished 39 out of 84 from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 46.4%. The Suns allowed the Mavericks to convert 38 of their 85 tries from the floor which had them sitting at 44.7% in the game. They finished 45.5% from beyond the perimeter by going 20 out of 44 and walked away from this one shooting 15 out of 19 at the free throw line (78.9%). Regarding how they attacked the glass, Phoenix permitted Dallas to get 27 in all (10 on the offensive glass).

Devin Booker was important for the Suns for the game. He converted 10 out of 22 for the matchup for a field goal rate of 45.5%, and had 4 rebounds. Booker had 35 points in his 43 mins on the court and had 7 assists for this game.

Phoenix has a mark of 64-18 for the season. As an offensive unit, the Suns are connecting on 48.5% from the floor, which ranks 1st in basketball. Phoenix has 9,416 pts this season (114.8 per game) and they pull down 45.3 boards per game. They are assisting teammates 27.4 times per game (4th in the NBA) and they are turning it over 12.9 times per contest. The Suns are committing 19.9 personal fouls per contest and they go 79.7% from the free throw line.

The Suns on the defensive end are ranked 8th in the NBA in PPG given up with 107.3. They are able to force 14.7 turnovers on a nightly basis and allow teams to shoot 44.4% from the floor (3rd in the NBA). The Phoenix defense allows 34.0% on 3-point shots (953 of 2,805) and opponents are connecting on 76.1% of their foul shots. They have relinquished 22.9 assists and 44.5 boards on a nightly basis, which ranks them 3rd and 19th in basketball.

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Phoenix (-6)

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