Toronto Raptors vs Denver Nuggets Prediction, 4/29/2021 NBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Toronto Raptors vs Denver Nuggets

Date: Thursday, April 29, 2021

Location: Ball Arena in Denver, CO

TV: Altitude

Odds/Point Spread: Toronto (+6)

The Toronto Raptors (26-36) go to Ball Arena on Thursday where they'll meet the Denver Nuggets (40-21). Denver opens this matchup as 6-point favorites. The over/under has been set at 223.5.

The Toronto Raptors played the Brooklyn Nets and took a loss by a final of 116-103 in their last contest. Toronto walked away from the contest with a 39.6% FG percentage (36 of 91) and knocked down 15 of their 43 3-pointers. From the free throw line, the Raptors converted 16 of 19 shots for a rate of 84.2%. With regard to pulling down rebounds, they earned 47 with 15 of them being offensive. They also recorded 24 dimes in this matchup as well as creating 10 turnovers and having 5 steals. Pertaining to defending, Toronto allowed 48.2% from the floor on 40 of 83 shooting. Brooklyn doled out 30 dimes and had 9 steals for this game. Furthermore, Brooklyn pulled down 41 boards (7 offensive, 34 defensive) and had 3 blocks. Brooklyn finished shooting 100.0% at the charity stripe by burying 18 of their 18 shots. They also made 18 of 45 attempts from beyond the arc.

Kyle Lowry is a player who had an impact in the matchup. He ended up scoring 24 points on 8 out of 14 shooting. He was on the hardwood for 37:02 mins played and also totaled 2 rebounds. Lowry finished the game at 57.1% from the floor and recorded 6 dimes. An additional guy that had an impact in this matchup for the Raptors was OG Anunoby. He grabbed 6 rebounds in his 31:40 minutes played on the night. He finished the game at 60.0% from the field in the game by shooting 9-of-15 (21 points). Overall, Anunoby totaled 6 assists.

Toronto enters this matchup with a mark of 26-36 this year. They are averaging 111.7 points per game (18th in the league) while shooting 44.9% from the field. The Raptors are hitting 37.0% on shots from distance (915 of 2,474) and 82.7% from the charity stripe. As a unit, Toronto is pulling down 41.6 boards per game and is sitting with 1,510 dimes for the season, which ranks 16th in basketball in terms of passing the rock. They are losing possession via turnover 13.4 times per game and as a unit they are committing 21.6 personal fouls on a nightly basis. When they are on defense, the Raptors are forcing 16.2 turnovers on a nightly basis and they draw 19.8 fouls. They surrender 37.6% from beyond the arc while they are 14th in the NBA in opponents points per game (111.1). The Raptors defensively are giving up an opponent shooting percentage of 45.7% (1,005 of 1,226) and they surrender 45.6 boards per game as a unit. They are currently ranked 27th in basketball in allowing assists to the opposition with 1,600 relinquished this season.

The last time they took the court, the Denver Nuggets went home victorious with a score of 120-96 when they faced the Memphis Grizzlies. The Nuggets earned 40 defensive rebounds and 8 offensive rebounds totaling 48 for the contest. They also turned the ball over 11 times, while getting 8 steals in this matchup. The Grizzlies committed 22 personal fouls for the matchup which took the Nuggets to the free throw line for 22 attempts. They were able to bury 19 of the free throws for a percentage of 86.4%. When talking about shooting from downtown, Denver buried 11 of 33 attempts (33.3%). When all was said and done, the Nuggets ended up going 45 for 94 from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 47.9%. The Nuggets allowed the Grizzlies to make 34 of their 81 attempts from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 42.0% in this game. They shot 12.5% from 3-point land via 4 out of 32 and finished the game at 24 out of 31 from the charity stripe (77.4%). With respect to rebounding, Denver permitted Memphis to snag 45 in total (6 offensive).

Michael Porter Jr. ended up being a factor for the Nuggets for this game. He made 12 out of 19 for the game for a rate of 63.2%, and accumulated 7 rebounds. Porter totaled 31 points in his 35:50 mins on the hardwood and added 2 assists in the matchup. An additional guy that ended being a contributor for Denver was Nikola Jokic. He ended up finishing with 5 assists in his 29:41 mins on the hardwood, and he put in 6 of 12 from the floor. Jokic ended the game having shot 50.0% from the floor and also totaling 24 points and 15 boards.

Denver has a mark of 40-21 for the season. As an offense, the Nuggets are connecting on 48.8% from the floor, which is 3rd in the league. Denver has scored 7,047 points on the year (115.5 per contest) and they pull down 44.6 rebounds per game. They are assisting teammates 27.2 times per game (2nd in the league) and they are turning it over 13.5 times per game. The Nuggets commit 18.9 fouls per game and they shoot 79.5% from the free throw line. The Nuggets defensively are ranked 9th in the league in PPG given up with 110.2. The Denver defense allows 35.8% on 3-pointers (778 of 2,172) and opponents are converting on 77.7% of their foul shots. They have relinquished 26.3 assists and 41.1 total boards per game, which is 28th and 2nd in the NBA. They are forcing their opponents into 14.0 TO's per game and have allowed teams to shoot 46.9% from the floor (19th in the league).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Denver (-6)

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