San Antonio Spurs vs Miami Heat Prediction, 4/28/2021 NBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: San Antonio Spurs vs Miami Heat

Date: Wednesday, April 28, 2021

Location: AmericanAirlines Arena in Miami, FL

TV: Bally Sports Sun

Odds/Point Spread: San Antonio (+4.5)

The San Antonio Spurs (31-29) head to AmericanAirlines Arena on Wednesday where they'll take on the Miami Heat (32-30). Miami opens this game as 4.5-point favorites. The total has been set at 208.5.

The San Antonio Spurs faced off with the Washington Wizards and went home with a win by a final score of 146-143 in their last game. San Antonio ended the game with a 53.4% FG percentage (55 out of 103) and made 6 out of their 17 three-point attempts. When they shot from the free throw line, the Spurs buried 30 of their 35 tries for a rate of 85.7%. When discussing pulling down rebounds, they earned 44 with 13 of them being offensive. They also dished out 27 dimes in the matchup while forcing the other team into 8 turnovers and having 6 steals. Pertaining to defense, San Antonio let their opponent shoot 53.2% from the field on 58 of 109 shooting. Washington earned 26 assists and had 4 steals in the game. Moreover, Washington collected 50 rebounds (18 offensive, 32 defensive) and earned 1 block. Washington finished shooting 84.0% from the charity stripe by converting 21 of their 25 attempts. They buried 6 of 20 attempts from three-point range.

DeMar DeRozan is a player who was a major contributor in this game. He ended up finishing with 37 points on 12 out of 23 shooting. He was on the hardwood for 40:57 mins and snagged 2 boards. DeRozan finished 52.2% from the floor and totaled 10 assists. Someone else that played a role in this game for the Spurs was Dejounte Murray. He had 17 rebounds in his 41:44 min played on the night. He went 52.2% from the floor for the matchup by shooting 12-of-23 (25 points). In all, Murray collected 5 assists.

San Antonio enters this matchup with a win-loss mark of 31-29 for the year. They have an average of 110.7 points per contest (20th in the league) on 46.1% from the floor. The Spurs are connecting on 35.6% on shots beyond the perimeter (617 of 1,735) and 78.7% from the free throw line. As a team, San Antonio is grabbing 44.1 rebounds per contest and has accumulated 1,477 dimes so far this year, which has them ranked 20th in the league in terms of passing the rock. They lose possession by turning the ball over 11.5 times per game and as a basketball team they commit 18.1 personal fouls every game. On the defensive end, the Spurs are forcing 13.4 turnovers per contest while drawing 18.8 fouls. They are 7th in basketball in giving up assists to the opposition with 1,457 relinquished so far this season. The Spurs defense is giving up a field goal percentage of 46.7% (805 of 1,126) and they concede 47.4 boards per game as a unit. They give up 37.4% on shots from beyond the perimeter and they are 16th in the league in opponents PPG (111.2).

In their last game, the Miami Heat took a defeat with a final score of 110-102 when they played the Chicago Bulls. The Heat were able to collect 28 defensive rebounds and 6 offensive rebounds for a total of 34 in this game. They also turned the ball over 5 times, while getting 13 steals for the contest. The Bulls committed 21 fouls in the game which took the Heat to the free throw line for a total of 25 shots. They were able to knock down 23 of the free throw attempts for a rate of 92.0%. When discussing shots from downtown, Miami made 7 of their 36 attempts (19.4%). Overall, the Heat walked away from this one shooting 36 out of 84 from the floor which had them shooting 42.9%. The Heat permitted the Bulls to convert 41 of their 77 attempts from the floor which had them shooting 53.2% in the game. They shot 37.9% from distance by going 11 out of 29 and finished the game at 17 out of 22 from the free throw line (77.3%). When talking about rebounding, Miami allowed Chicago to get 51 in total (9 offensive).

Jimmy Butler was important for the Heat for the game. He buried 11 out of 21 in this contest for a field goal rate of 52.4%, and totaled 8 rebounds. Butler scored 33 points in his 34:53 mins on the court and had 5 assists for this contest. Someone else who came through for Miami was Bam Adebayo. He finished this one with 2 assists in his 36:53 mins played, and he knocked down 9 out of 14 from the floor. Adebayo walked away from this one going 64.3% from the field in addition to collecting 23 points and 6 total rebounds.

Miami has a mark of 32-30 for the season. Miami has accounted for 6,593 pts for the year (106.3 per contest) and they pull in 41.7 rebounds per contest. The Heat are committing 18.9 personal fouls per game while shooting 78.9% from the free throw line. When it comes to executing on offense, the Heat are connecting on 46.1% from the floor, which ranks 20th in basketball. They are dishing out assists 26.0 times per game (10th in basketball) and they cough up possession 14.3 times per contest. The Heat on the defensive end are ranked 3rd in the league in points per game surrendered with 107.1. They have forced 15.3 TO's per game and have allowed teams to shoot 45.2% from the field (3rd in the league). The Miami defense allows 36.2% on shots from beyond the arc (888 of 2,454) and their opponents are converting on 79.0% of their free throw attempts. They relinquish 25.5 assists and 43.7 rebounds per game, ranking them 22nd and 15th in the NBA.

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Miami (-4.5)

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