San Antonio Spurs vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction, 4/11/2021 NBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: San Antonio Spurs vs Dallas Mavericks

Date: Sunday, April 11, 2021

Location: American Airlines Center in Dallas, TX

TV: Bally Sports SW-DAL

Odds/Point Spread: San Antonio (+6.5)

The Dallas Mavericks (29-22) host the San Antonio Spurs (24-26) at American Airlines Center on Sunday. The line on this matchup has Dallas as 6.5-point favorites. The total has been set at 222.

The San Antonio Spurs played the Denver Nuggets and ended up losing by a score of 121-119 in their last contest. San Antonio wrapped up the game having earned a 46.2% field goal percentage (43 out of 93) and made 9 of 27 three-point attempts. From the free throw line, the Spurs buried 24 of 28 attempts for a rate of 85.7%. When talking about pulling down rebounds, they collected 38 with 11 of them being of the offensive variety. They also doled out 33 assists in this contest in addition to forcing the opposition into 18 turnovers and earning 10 steals. Concerning defending, San Antonio allowed their opponent to shoot 54.4% from the floor on 43 of 79 shooting. Denver distributed 32 assists and had 5 steals in this matchup. Additionally, Denver snagged 46 boards (9 offensive, 37 defensive) and added 2 rejections. Denver finished shooting 91.3% when shooting free throws by making 21 of 23 attempts. They converted 14 out of their 27 attempts from distance.

Derrick White is someone who came through in this matchup. He had 25 points on 9 out of 16 shooting. He saw the court for 34:13 mins played and grabbed 1 rebound. White finished the contest at 56.3% from the field and also earned 3 assists. Someone else that had an impact in the matchup for the Spurs was DeMar DeRozan. He snagged 3 rebounds in 36:35 minutes on the court. He finished 57.1% from the field in this game by shooting 8-of-14 (24 points). Overall, DeRozan had accumulated 12 assists.

San Antonio will play this game with a mark of 24-26 on the campaign. The Spurs are connecting on 35.5% on three-point shots (519 of 1,463) and 78.4% from the charity stripe. They average 110.4 points per game (21st in the NBA) while connecting on 45.8% from the floor. They lose possession via turnover 11.4 times per game and as a basketball team they commit 17.7 fouls per contest. As a team, San Antonio is grabbing 43.9 boards per contest and is sitting with 1,223 assists this year, which has them ranked 21st in basketball in terms of passing. On the defensive end, the Spurs are forcing their opponents into 13.5 turnovers per contest and they draw 18.5 personal fouls. They are ranked 10th in the NBA in giving up assists to their opponents with 1,245 surrendered for the campaign. The Spurs defense is giving up an opponent shooting percentage of 47.0% (676 of 927) and they surrender 47.7 boards per game as a team. They surrender 38.0% on shots from beyond the perimeter and they are 18th in the league in PPG from their opponents (112.1).

The last time they took the hardwood, the Dallas Mavericks took home the win by a final score of 116-101 when they played the Milwaukee Bucks. The Mavericks snagged 41 defensive boards and 15 offensive boards totaling 56 for the matchup. They turned it over 11 times, while earning 6 steals in the game. The Bucks committed 20 fouls in the matchup which took the Mavericks to the charity stripe for 18 tries. They were able to convert 13 of the free throw tries for a rate of 72.2%. When it comes to shots from distance, Dallas made 17 of 45 attempts (37.8%). When the final whistle blew, the Mavericks went 43 for 97 from the field which gave them a percentage of 44.3%. The Mavericks allowed the Bucks to convert 38 of 100 tries from the field which had them sitting at 38.0% in this game. They went 36.4% from beyond the perimeter by shooting 12 out of 33 and ended up shooting 13 out of 16 from the free throw line (81.3%). When it comes to how they cleaned up the glass, Dallas permitted Milwaukee to pull down 52 in total (14 offensive).

Luka Doncic ended up having an impact for the Mavericks in this contest. He knocked down 11 out of 20 for this contest for a field goal percentage of 55.0%, and had 9 rebounds. Doncic earned 27 points in his 36:55 mins on the hardwood and added 9 assists for the contest. One more player who was a determining factor for Dallas was Kristaps Porzingis. He ended up walking away with 1 assist in his 33:17 mins on the court, and he converted 10 out of 20 from the floor. Porziņģis finished going 50.0% from the field while also earning 26 points and 17 rebounds.

Dallas has a mark of 29-22 for the season. Dallas has earned 5,688 pts this season (111.5 per contest) and they average 43.7 boards per game. The Mavericks have committed 19.4 fouls every game and they connect on 77.6% from the charity stripe. On the offensive side of the court, the Mavericks are hitting on 46.8% from the floor, which is ranked 13th in the NBA. They are getting an assist 22.4 times per contest (28th in the league) and they turn it over 12.1 times per game. The Mavericks are ranked 8th in the NBA in points per game surrendered with 109.4. They surrender 22.2 dimes and 44.6 total boards per game, which ranks them 3rd and 18th in the league. The Dallas defense allows 36.2% on 3-point shots (675 of 1,867) and opponents are making 76.1% of their shots from the free throw line. They are forcing 12.4 TO's per game and have allowed teams to shoot 45.3% from the floor (5th in basketball).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Dallas (-6.5)

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