Milwaukee Bucks vs Phoenix Suns Prediction, 7/17/2021 NBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Milwaukee Bucks vs Phoenix Suns

Date: Saturday, July 17, 2021

Location: Phoenix Suns Arena in Phoenix, AZ

TV: ABC

Odds/Point Spread: Milwaukee (+4)

The Milwaukee Bucks (46-26) go to Phoenix Suns Arena on Saturday where they'll meet the Phoenix Suns (51-21) in Game 5 of the NBA Finals. The series is tied 2-2. The line on this matchup has Phoenix as 4-point favorites. The O/U opens at 218.5.

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The Bucks walked away with a win by a score of 109-103 in Game 4. Milwaukee finished with a 40.2% FG percentage (39 out of 97) and made 7 out of their 29 shots from beyond the arc. From the charity stripe, the Bucks knocked down 24 of their 29 tries for a rate of 82.8%. With respect to pulling down rebounds, they earned 48 with 17 of them being of the offensive variety. They also doled out 22 dimes in this game while forcing the other team into 17 turnovers and getting 11 steals. With respect to defense, Milwaukee allowed the other team to go 51.3% from the field on 40 out of 78 shooting. Phoenix earned 18 dimes and had 3 steals in the game. In addition, Phoenix grabbed 40 rebounds (5 offensive, 35 defensive) and earned 3 blocked shots. Phoenix finished the game at 84.2% from the charity stripe by knocking down 16 of their 19 shots. They knocked down 7 out of their 23 attempts from beyond the arc.

Khris Middleton is a player who was a major contributor in the game. He ended up scoring 40 points on 15 of 33 shooting. He was on the hardwood for 43:00 minutes played and snagged 6 rebounds. Middleton finished 45.5% from the floor and totaled 4 dimes. Another guy that came through in this game for the Bucks was Giannis Antetokounmpo. He grabbed 14 rebounds in 42:49 min on the hardwood. He finished shooting 57.9% from the floor for the matchup via 11-of-19 (26 points). When this game wrapped up, Antetokounmpo collected 8 assists.

Milwaukee comes into this contest with a mark of 46-26 on the year. They are turning it over 13.8 times per game and as a team are committing 17.3 fouls on a nightly basis. As a unit, Milwaukee is grabbing 48.1 rebounds per contest and has totaled 1,834 assists so far this year, which ranks 14th in basketball in terms of passing the ball. The Bucks are hitting 38.9% on shots from distance (1,038 of 2,669) and 76.0% from the charity stripe. They currently have an average of 120.1 points per outing (1st in basketball) while hitting 48.7% from the field. On defense, the Bucks are forcing their opponents into 13.2 turnovers per game while drawing 18.3 personal fouls. The Bucks defense is allowing an opponent shooting percentage of 45.6% (947 of 1,320) and they relinquish 43.4 rebounds per game as a basketball team. They rank 17th in the league in allowing assists with 1,804 relinquished this season. They surrender 38.4% on shots from beyond the perimeter while they are 22nd in basketball in opponents points per game (114.2).

In their Game 4 loss, the Suns were able to collect 35 defensive boards and 5 offensive rebounds for a total of 40 for the contest. They gave up possession of the ball 17 times, while earning 3 steals in the matchup. The Bucks were called for 18 personal fouls in this game which took the Suns to the free throw line for 19 shots. They were able to bury 16 of those for a percentage of 84.2%. In reference to shots from beyond the arc, Phoenix converted 7 out of 23 attempts (30.4%). When the final whistle blew, the Suns shot 40 out of 78 from the field which gave them a percentage of 51.3%. The Suns allowed the Bucks to bury 39 out of 97 attempts from the floor which left them with a shooting percentage of 40.2% for the contest. They went 24.1% from 3-point land by going 7 out of 29 and ended up going 24 out of 29 at the free throw line (82.8%). In reference to how they attacked the glass, Phoenix permitted Milwaukee to pull down 48 in total (17 on the offensive glass).

Devin Booker ended up being a factor for the Suns for this game. He buried 17 out of 28 in the matchup for a rate of 60.7%, and accumulated 1 rebound. Booker accumulated 42 points in his 38:30 mins on the hardwood and had 2 assists for this game. Someone else who was a determining factor for Phoenix was Jae Crowder. He wrapped the game up with 3 dimes in 39:29 minutes on the court, and he knocked down 3 of 10 from the floor. Crowder ended up shooting 30.0% from the field in addition to earning 15 points and 8 rebounds.

Phoenix has a win-loss mark of 51-21 on the campaign. The Suns are responsible for committing 19.1 personal fouls every game and they shoot 83.4% from the charity stripe. They are assisting teammates 26.9 times per contest (3rd in the NBA) and they turn it over 12.5 times per game. Phoenix has 8,300 points for the season (115.3 per game) and they grab 42.9 rebounds per game. When it comes to offense, the Suns are hitting on 49.0% from the field, which is 2nd in the league. The Suns on the defensive side of the court are 7th in basketball in points per game surrendered with 109.5. They have relinquished 22.9 assists and 42.7 total boards per game, which ranks 4th and 9th in basketball. The Phoenix defense gives up 35.4% from downtown (836 of 2,359) and their opponents are connecting on 77.8% of their free throw shots. They are forcing 13.6 TO's per game and allow teams to shoot 46.7% from the field (15th in the league).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Milwaukee (+4)

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