Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat Prediction, 10/21/2021 NBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat

Date: Thursday, October 21, 2021

Location: FTX Arena in Miami, FL

TV: Bally Sports Sun

Odds/Point Spread: Milwaukee (-1.5)

The Miami Heat (40-32 last year) will play the Milwaukee Bucks (46-26 last season) at FTX Arena on Thursday. Miami opens as 1.5-point dogs. The over/under comes in at 224.5.

The Bucks stepped onto the hardwood against the Nets and notched a win by a score of 127-104 in their last game. Milwaukee ended with a 45.7% FG percentage (48 out of 105) and buried 17 out of their 45 three-point attempts. From the charity stripe, the Bucks knocked down 14 of 18 tries for a rate of 77.8%. Pertaining to rebounding, they collected 54 with 13 of them being on the offensive end. They also recorded 25 assists for this contest as well as creating 12 turnovers and earning 8 steals. Concerning defending, Milwaukee allowed the other team to shoot 44.0% from the field on 37 of 84 shooting. Brooklyn recorded 19 assists and had 3 steals in this game. Additionally, Brooklyn pulled down 44 boards (5 offensive, 39 defensive) and got 9 blocks. Brooklyn ended up shooting 56.5% at the free throw line by making 13 of 23 attempts. They made 17 out of their 32 tries from long range.

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Giannis Antetokounmpo is one player who was a major factor for this contest. He racked up 32 points on 12 of 25 shooting. He played for 31 minutes and collected 14 rebounds. Antetokounmpo finished shooting 48.0% from the floor and recorded 7 assists.

Milwaukee heads into this matchup after finishing with a mark of 46-26 last year. The Bucks hit on 38.9% on shots beyond the perimeter (1,038 of 2,669) and 76.0% from the charity stripe. They had an average of 120.1 points per game (1st in the league) while connecting on 48.7% from the field. They lost possession by turning the ball over 13.8 times per game and as a team committed 17.3 fouls per contest. As a unit, Milwaukee pulled down 48.1 rebounds per contest and racked up 1,834 dimes throughout last season, which ranked 14th in basketball in terms of passing. On the defensive end of the court, the Bucks forced 13.2 turnovers every game and they drew 18.3 personal fouls. They conceded 38.4% on 3-point shots and they were ranked 22nd in the NBA in points per game allowed (114.2). The Bucks defense allowed a shooting percentage of 45.6% (3,052 of 6,688) and they relinquished 43.4 boards per game as a unit. They were ranked 17th in the NBA in giving up assists to the opposition with 1,804 surrendered over the course of last season.

When they last stepped on the hardwood, the Heat went home defeated by a final of 120-103 when they faced the Bucks. The Heat were able to snag 32 defensive boards and 8 offensive boards totaling 40 in this contest. They also turned the ball over 12 times, while earning 6 steals in this matchup. The Bucks were called for 11 personal fouls for the matchup which got the Heat to the free throw line for 14 tries. They were able to knock down 12 of the free throw tries for a percentage of 85.7%. In reference to shooting from 3-point land, Miami knocked down 11 out of 33 tries (33.3%). In all, the Heat went 40 out of 91 from the field which had them shooting 44.0%. The Heat allowed the Bucks to bury 46 of their 99 tries from the floor which left them with a shooting percentage of 46.5% for this game. They went 31.0% from beyond the perimeter by going 13 of 42 and ended up shooting 15 of 18 at the free throw line (83.3%). In relation to how they cleaned up the glass, Miami allowed Milwaukee to pull down 41 in total (15 offensive).

Nemanja Bjelica pitched in for the Heat for this contest. He converted 8 of 13 for the game for a field goal percentage of 61.5%, and earned 6 rebounds. Bjelica earned 21 points in his 38 mins of playing time and tallied 6 dimes in this matchup.

Miami had a win-loss mark of 40-32 last year. Miami earned 7,781 points last season (108.1 per contest) and they pulled down 41.5 boards per game. On the offensive side of the ball, the Heat connected on 46.8% from the field, which ranked them 15th in the league. The Heat committed 18.9 fouls every game and they shot 79.0% from the charity stripe. Their rate of dishing out assists was at 26.3 times per contest (9th in the league) and they turned the ball over 14.1 times per game. The Heat on defense were ranked 5th in basketball in points allowed per contest with 108.0. They conceded 25.8 assists and 42.9 total rebounds per game, which was ranked 23rd and 10th in those categories on the defensive end. The Miami defense gave up 36.5% on 3-point shots (1,027 of 2,814) and opponents knocked down 78.2% of their foul shots. They were able to force 15.1 TO's per game and let teams shoot 45.9% from the field (6th in the NBA).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Miami (+1.5)

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