Miami Heat vs Toronto Raptors Prediction, 1/22/2021 NBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Miami Heat vs Toronto Raptors

Date: Friday, January 22, 2021

Location: Amalie Arena in Tampa, FL

TV: TSN

Odds/Point Spread: Miami (-1.5)

Amalie Arena is the venue where and the Toronto Raptors (5-9) will take on the Miami Heat (6-7) on Friday. Miami opens this game as 1.5-point favorites. The O/U opens at 228.

The Miami Heat took the court against the Raptors and notched a win by a score of 111-102 in their last game. Miami walked away from the game having earned a 48.8% field goal percentage (39 of 80) and buried 18 out of their 40 3-point shots. At the charity stripe, the Heat buried 15 of their 17 attempts for a rate of 88.2%. In regard to pulling down boards, they collected 46 with 8 of them being offensive. They also distributed 29 assists in this game in addition to getting 4 steals and 5 blocked shots. When it comes to the defense, Miami allowed the other team to shoot 39.8% from the field on 35 out of 88 shooting. Toronto recorded 27 assists and had 8 steals for the matchup. Additionally, the Raptors had 41 rebounds (12 offensive, 29 defensive) and added 3 blocked shots. Toronto finished the contest at 88.9% at the charity stripe by knocking down 16 of 18 attempts. They buried 16 of their 49 attempts from long range.

Kendrick Nunn is one guy who was a major factor in the matchup. He recorded 28 points on 9 of 12 shooting. He played for 34:37 mins played and also collected 8 boards. Nunn finished 75.0% from the field and also distributed 5 assists. An additional guy that was a determining factor in the matchup for the Heat was Goran Dragić. He totaled 4 boards and also had 5 dimes. He finished the game shooting 37.5% from the floor for the matchup by hitting 6-of-16 (17 points). At the conclusion of this game, Dragić played for 31:23 minutes.

Miami comes into this one with a win-loss mark of 6-7 this year. They have an average of 110.3 points per contest (18th in the NBA) while going 48.6% from the floor. The Heat are hitting 37.2% on shots from 3-point land (174 of 468) and 77.4% from the free throw line. As a unit, Miami is collecting 42.4 boards per contest and has tallied 346 dimes for the campaign, which is 15th in the NBA in terms of passing. They are giving up possession 18.3 times per game and as a group they are committing 20.9 personal fouls every game. On defense, the Heat are forcing 15.1 turnovers every game while drawing 22.2 fouls. They are surrendering 37.1% on three-point shots and they are 22nd in the league in opponents points per game (112.9). The Heat are allowing a field goal percentage of 45.2% (196 of 288) and they relinquish 42.5 boards per game as a group. They are ranked 11th in basketball in giving up assists with 328 relinquished on the year.

In their loss to Miami, the Raptors pulled down 29 defensive boards and 12 offensive boards for a total of 41 for this game. They rejected 3 attempts while earning 8 steals in this contest. The Heat committed 19 fouls for this game which got the Raptors to the free throw line for 18 shots. They were able to convert 16 of the free throw tries for a rate of 88.9%. With respect to 3-pointers, Toronto made 16 of 49 attempts (32.7%). At the conclusion of this game, the Raptors walked away from this one shooting 35 for 88 from the floor which gave them a rate of 39.8%. The Raptors permitted the Heat to make 39 of 80 attempts from the field which gave them a rate of 48.8% in this contest. They shot 45.0% from 3-point land via 18 of 40 and walked away from this one shooting 15 of 17 at the free throw line (88.2%). With respect to rebounding, Toronto permitted Miami to collect 46 overall (8 offensive).

Fred VanVleet ended up being a factor for the Raptors in the matchup. He made 7 out of 18 in this game giving him a rate of 38.9%, which gave him 24 points. VanVleet had 5 boards in his 36:47 minutes of playing time and earned 9 assists for the matchup. An additional guy who came through for Toronto was OG Anunoby. He ended up with 18 points in his 39:43 mins on the court by going 6 of 12 from the floor in this contest. Anunoby ended the game having shot 50.0% from the field in addition to collecting 3 dimes and 7 rebounds.

Toronto has a mark of 5-9 for the year. The Raptors have committed 22.5 personal fouls every game and they hit 81.0% from the free throw line. They are dishing out assists 24.8 times per game (17th in basketball) and they turn the ball over 14.6 times per game. Toronto has tallied 1,556 points so far this year (111.1 per contest) and they average 43.2 rebounds per contest. As an offense, the Raptors are hitting on 44.1% from the floor, which ranks them 25th in basketball. The Raptors on defense are ranked 17th in the NBA in PPG given up with 110.7. The Toronto defense concedes 37.2% from downtown (193 of 519) and their opposition knocks down 78.3% of their shots from the charity stripe. They have given up 26.8 assists and 45.9 rebounds per contest, which is ranked 26th and 19th in the league. They are forcing their opponents into 16.8 turnovers per game and allow teams to shoot 45.3% from the field (12th in the NBA).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Toronto (+1.5)

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