Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction, 5/24/2021 NBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks

Date: Monday, May 24, 2021

Location: Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee, WI

TV: TNT

Odds/Point Spread: Miami (+4.5)

The Miami Heat (40-32) head to Fiserv Forum on Monday where they'll take on the Milwaukee Bucks (46-26) in Game 2 of their series. The line on this game has Milwaukee as 4.5-point favorites. The O/U opens at 221.5.

The Heat faced the Bucks and took a loss by a final of 109-107 in Game 1. Miami wrapped up the contest with a 36.4% FG percentage (36 out of 99) and buried 20 of 50 3-pointers. At the charity stripe, the Heat converted 15 of 19 shots for a rate of 78.9%. With regard to hauling in boards, they earned 51 with 12 of them being of the offensive variety. They also distributed 22 dimes in this game while forcing the other team into 17 turnovers and getting 8 steals. When it comes to the defense, Miami allowed their opponent to shoot 43.8% from the floor on 42 out of 96 shooting. Milwaukee recorded 19 assists and had 11 steals in this matchup. Furthermore, Milwaukee pulled down 64 boards (15 offensive, 49 defensive) and had 3 blocked shots. Milwaukee went 60.6% when shooting free throws by converting 20 of their 33 shots. They also converted 5 out of their 31 attempts from long range.

Duncan Robinson is someone who was a major contributor in this matchup. He scored 24 points on 7 out of 13 shooting. He was on the court for 36:05 minutes and also collected 2 rebounds. Robinson shot 53.8% from the field and earned 2 dimes. One more player that was a determining factor in this contest for the Heat was Jimmy Butler. He pulled down 10 rebounds in his 45:40 min on the court. He shot 18.2% from the floor for the matchup by connecting on 4-of-22 (17 points). When the final whistle was blown, Butler tallied 8 assists.

Miami steps onto the court with a win-loss record of 40-32 on the season. The Heat are hitting 35.8% on three-point shots (932 of 2,606) and 79.0% from the free throw line. They currently have an average of 108.1 points per game (25th in basketball) while going 46.8% from the field. They turn the ball over 14.1 times per game and as a squad are committing 18.9 personal fouls per game. As a unit, Miami is grabbing 41.5 rebounds per game and has racked up 1,895 dimes for the year, which is 9th in the league in terms of passing the ball. On the defensive end, the Heat are forcing 15.1 turnovers per game while drawing 19.6 personal fouls. They are conceding 36.5% from 3-point land and they are 5th in the league in PPG allowed (108.0). The Heat defense is allowing a field goal percentage of 45.9% (1,085 of 1,414) and they concede 42.9 boards per contest as a squad. They are 23rd in the NBA in giving up assists to the opposition with 1,857 relinquished for the year.

In their Game 1 win, the Bucks were able to corral 49 defensive boards and 15 offensive rebounds totaling 64 for the game. They gave up possession 17 times, while getting 11 steals in the game. The Heat were called for 23 personal fouls in the game which got the Bucks to the charity stripe for 33 tries. They were able to make 20 of the free throw attempts for a clip of 60.6%. Pertaining to shots from distance, Milwaukee made 5 of 31 attempts (16.1%). Overall, the Bucks went 42 for 96 from the floor which had them shooting 43.8%. The Bucks permitted the Heat to make 36 of their 99 tries from the field which left them with a rate of 36.4% for the game. They finished 40.0% from behind the 3-point line by going 20 out of 50 and walked away from this one shooting 15 of 19 at the free throw line (78.9%). When it comes to team rebounding, Milwaukee allowed Miami to collect 51 overall (12 offensive).

Khris Middleton ended up having an impact for the Bucks for this game. He knocked down 10 of 22 in this contest for a field goal rate of 45.5%, and earned 6 rebounds. Middleton tallied 27 points in his 44:38 minutes on the court and accounted for 6 assists for this game. Someone else that ended up playing a role for Milwaukee was Giannis Antetokounmpo. He walked away with 5 dimes in his 45:27 minutes played, and he converted 10 of 27 from the floor. Antetokounmpo ended up shooting 37.0% from the floor and also earning 26 points and 18 boards.

Milwaukee has a win-loss record of 46-26 this year. Milwaukee has accounted for 8,649 points on the campaign (120.1 per contest) and they collect 48.1 boards per game. The Bucks commit 17.3 fouls every game and they go 76.0% from the charity stripe. On the offensive side of the ball, the Bucks are shooting 48.7% from the floor, which is 3rd in the NBA. They are earning an assist 25.5 times per contest (14th in the league) and they are losing possession via turnover 13.8 times per game. The Bucks on the defensive side of the court are 22nd in the league in points allowed per contest with 114.2. The Milwaukee defense concedes 38.4% on 3-point attempts (1,068 of 2,778) and opponents are making 78.0% of their shots from the charity stripe. They have given up 25.1 dimes and 43.4 boards every game, which has them ranked 17th and 13th in the league. They are forcing their opponents into 13.2 TO's per game and allow teams to shoot 45.6% from the floor (5th in the NBA).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Miami (+4.5)

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