Miami Heat vs Denver Nuggets Prediction, 4/14/2021 NBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Miami Heat vs Denver Nuggets

Date: Wednesday, April 14, 2021

Location: Ball Arena in Denver, CO

TV: Altitude 2

Odds/Point Spread: Miami (+2.5)

Ball Arena is the site where and the Denver Nuggets (34-20) will take on the Miami Heat (28-25) on Wednesday. The line on this matchup has Denver as 2.5-point favorites. The over/under opens at 214.

The Miami Heat stepped onto the hardwood against the Portland Blazers and went home with a win by a final score of 107-98 in their last game. Miami wrapped up the contest having earned a 49.4% FG percentage (41 of 83) and knocked down 12 of 29 shots from beyond the arc. At the charity stripe, the Heat converted 13 of 20 tries for a rate of 65.0%. Regarding rebounding, they earned 30 with 6 of them being of the offensive variety. They also doled out 21 assists for this contest while forcing 17 turnovers and earning 12 steals. When talking about defending, Miami allowed the other team to shoot 48.1% from the floor on 37 of 77 shooting. Portland doled out 21 dimes and had 5 steals in this contest. Furthermore, Portland totaled 41 rebounds (8 offensive, 33 defensive) and had 4 rejections. Portland finished the game shooting 68.4% at the charity stripe by knocking down 13 of 19 shots. They also converted 11 out of their 35 tries from distance.

Bam Adebayo is a guy who played a role for this contest. He recorded 22 points on 9 out of 14 shooting. He was on the hardwood for 34:49 mins played and also grabbed 3 rebounds. Adebayo finished 64.3% from the floor and dished out 2 assists. One more player that played a role in this matchup for the Heat was Jimmy Butler. He had 4 rebounds in his 36:11 min played. He finished shooting 53.8% from the field for the matchup by shooting 7-of-13 (20 points). When the final whistle was blown, Butler earned 5 assists.

Miami comes into this contest with a win-loss mark of 28-25 on the year. They currently have an average of 107.2 pts per contest (28th in the league) while connecting on 44.7% from the floor. The Heat are shooting 36.2% from downtown (768 of 2,122) and 78.8% from the free throw line. As a team, Miami is pulling in 43.8 rebounds per game and has tallied 1,341 dimes on the campaign, which has them ranked 11th in the league in terms of passing. They turn the ball over 15.3 times per contest and as a group are committing 20.1 fouls on a nightly basis. On defense, the Heat are able to force 15.3 turnovers per contest while drawing 20.1 personal fouls. They are giving up 36.2% on 3-pointers and they rank 3rd in the league in points per game allowed (107.2). The Heat defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 44.7% (2,044 of 4,569) and they relinquish 43.8 rebounds per game as a basketball team. They are currently ranked 20th in the league in giving up assists with 1,341 conceded so far this year.

The last time they took the court, the Denver Nuggets took a defeat with a final score of 116-107 when they faced the Golden State Warriors. The Nuggets were able to pull down 31 defensive boards and 10 offensive boards totaling 41 in the game. They also turned it over 19 times, while getting 11 steals in the game. The Warriors committed 22 fouls for the contest which took the Nuggets to the charity stripe for a total of 25 tries. They were able to knock down 21 of the free throw tries for a rate of 84.0%. When discussing shots from distance, Denver made 8 out of their 26 attempts (30.8%). When all was said and done, the Nuggets ended up going 39 out of 83 from the floor which had them shooting 47.0%. The Nuggets allowed the Warriors to knock down 39 out of their 81 attempts from the floor which had them at 48.1% for the game. They finished shooting 40.9% from distance by connecting on 18 out of 44 and finished the contest at 20 out of 22 at the free throw line (90.9%). In relation to cleaning the glass, Denver allowed Golden State to get 36 in total (4 on the offensive side).

Nikola Jokic was important for the Nuggets in this matchup. He knocked down 10 out of 21 for the contest giving him a field goal percentage of 47.6%, and earned 12 rebounds. Jokic racked up 27 points in his 37:17 minutes of playing time and tallied 8 assists in this matchup. Someone else who was a determining factor for Denver was Michael Porter Jr.. He left the arena with 2 dimes in his 37:50 mins on the hardwood, and he converted 11 of 21 from the floor. Porter ended the game having shot 52.4% from the floor while totaling 24 points and 9 boards.

Denver has a win-loss mark of 34-20 on the season. On the offensive side of the ball, the Nuggets are hitting on 46.8% from the floor, which ranks 14th in the league. Denver has totaled 5,945 pts on the year (110.1 per contest) and they pull down 41.1 rebounds per game. They are earning an assist 26.1 times per game (5th in basketball) and they turn the ball over 14.0 times per contest. The Nuggets commit 19.3 fouls every game and they hit 78.0% from the charity stripe. The Nuggets on the defensive side of the court are 9th in the league in points given up per game with 110.1. They are able to force 14.0 turnovers per game and have allowed teams to shoot 46.8% from the field (17th in basketball). The Denver defense concedes 36.0% on shots from 3-point land (691 of 1,918) and their opponents are connecting on 78.0% of their free throw attempts. They surrender 26.1 dimes and 41.1 rebounds every game, which is ranked 26th and 3rd in basketball.

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Miami (+2.5)

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