Houston Rockets vs Miami Heat Prediction, 4/19/2021 NBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Houston Rockets vs Miami Heat

Date: Monday, April 19, 2021

Location: AmericanAirlines Arena in Miami, FL

TV: Bally Sports Sun

Odds/Point Spread: Houston (+7.5)

The Miami Heat (28-28) play the Houston Rockets (14-42) at AmericanAirlines Arena on Monday. Houston opens this game as 7.5-point dogs. The total is set at 223.5.

The Houston Rockets faced the Denver Nuggets and ended up losing by a score of 128-99 in their last game. Houston wrapped up the game having earned a 44.2% FG percentage (38 out of 86) and made 11 of their 35 3-pointers. At the charity stripe, the Rockets knocked down 12 of their 18 attempts for a rate of 66.7%. When discussing rebounding, they earned 35 with 8 of them being offensive. They also distributed 23 assists for this contest while forcing the opposition into 9 turnovers and earning 7 steals. Concerning defending, Houston allowed the other team to shoot 48.9% from the field on 46 of 94 shooting. Denver totaled 22 assists and had 11 steals in this matchup. Moreover, Denver collected 54 rebounds (18 offensive, 36 defensive) and added 3 blocks. Denver finished shooting 87.1% from the free throw line by converting 27 of their 31 shots. They also made 9 of their 31 tries from 3-point range.

Kelly Olynyk is someone who was a major factor in the matchup. He accumulated 23 points on 10 out of 14 shooting. He was on the hardwood for 27:05 mins and also pulled down 6 rebounds. Olynyk finished shooting 71.4% from the floor and earned 2 assists. An additional guy that played a role in the game for the Rockets was Jae'Sean Tate. He collected 5 rebounds in his 31:52 min played on the night. He ended up shooting 69.2% from the floor in the game by going 9-of-13 (21 points). When this game wrapped up, Tate had accumulated 5 assists.

Houston heads into this matchup with a record of 14-42 so far this season. They average 108.1 points per contest (24th in the league) on 44.2% from the field. The Rockets are hitting 33.6% on 3-point shots (752 of 2,237) and 74.0% from the charity stripe. As a team, Houston is collecting 42.4 rebounds per contest and has totaled 1,292 assists on the year, which is 25th in basketball in terms of passing the ball. They lose possession via turnover 14.6 times per contest and as a unit they commit 19.7 personal fouls on a nightly basis. Defensively, the Rockets have forced 14.9 turnovers per game and they draw 19.7 personal fouls. They relinquish 38.0% on shots from beyond the arc while they are 27th in basketball in points per game allowed (115.0). The Rockets defense is giving up an opponent FG percentage of 47.2% (834 of 1,101) and they surrender 47.9 boards per game as a unit. They currently rank 16th in the NBA in giving up assists to their opponents with 1,398 relinquished this season.

In their last game, the Miami Heat took a loss by a final score of 119-111 when they played the Minnesota Timberwolves. The Heat corralled 26 defensive rebounds and 7 offensive rebounds for a total of 33 in this matchup. They also turned the ball over 14 times, while recording 11 steals for this game. The Timberwolves earned 22 fouls for the contest which took the Heat to the charity stripe for a total of 26 shots. They were able to knock down 19 of the free throw tries for a percentage of 73.1%. Concerning three-point shots, Miami made 14 of 34 attempts (41.2%). When all was said and done, the Heat finished the game shooting 39 out of 80 from the field which gave them a percentage of 48.8%. The Heat allowed the Timberwolves to bury 42 of 81 attempts from the field which gave them a percentage of 51.9% for this game. They finished 41.7% from distance by shooting 15 of 36 and ended up going 20 of 29 at the free throw line (69.0%). In relation to team rebounding, Miami allowed Minnesota to snag 45 in all (10 offensive).

Jimmy Butler ended up having an impact for the Heat for this contest. He buried 9 out of 19 in the matchup giving him a field goal percentage of 47.4%, and tallied 10 rebounds. Butler had 30 points in his 38:37 mins on the court and accumulated 8 dimes for the matchup. An additional guy that was important for Miami was Bam Adebayo. He ended up with 4 assists in 33:16 minutes on the court, and he knocked down 7 out of 8 from the floor. Adebayo finished going 87.5% from the floor while earning 17 points and 4 total rebounds.

Miami has a mark of 28-28 for the campaign. The Heat are committing 19.1 fouls per contest while shooting 78.5% from the charity stripe. They are assisting teammates 26.1 times per game (9th in the league) and they cough up possession 14.6 times per game. Miami has earned 5,953 points for the year (106.3 per game) and they collect 41.7 boards per game. As an offense, the Heat are shooting 46.1% from the floor, which ranks 20th in the NBA. The Heat are ranked 3rd in the league in points allowed per game with 107.7. The Miami defense allows 36.4% on shots from beyond the perimeter (813 of 2,236) and opponents are making 78.8% of their foul shots. They have allowed 25.6 assists and 43.9 rebounds every game, which has them ranked 22nd and 15th in basketball. They are forcing 15.4 turnovers per game and allow teams to shoot 45.1% from the field (3rd in the NBA).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Houston (+7.5)

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