Denver Nuggets vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction, 1/29/2021 NBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Denver Nuggets vs San Antonio Spurs

Date: Friday, January 29, 2021

Location: AT&T Center in San Antonio, TX

TV: Fox Sports Southwest

Odds/Point Spread: Denver (-3.5)

The Denver Nuggets (11-7) travel to AT&T Center on Friday where they'll take on the San Antonio Spurs (10-8). Denver opens this matchup as 3.5-point favorites. The over/under opens at 225.

The Denver Nuggets played the Miami Heat and earned the victory with a final of 109-82 in their last game. Denver wrapped up the game having earned a 45.7% FG percentage (42 of 92) and buried 14 of their 43 three-point attempts. From the charity stripe, the Nuggets converted 11 of their 11 attempts for a rate of 100.0%. In relation to rebounding, they earned 49 with 12 of them being of the offensive variety. They also doled out 29 dimes for the game in addition to earning 14 steals and 4 rejections. When discussing defending, Denver allowed their opponent to shoot 37.5% from the field on 30 of 80 shooting. Miami dished out 24 dimes and had 6 steals for the contest. Moreover, the Heat grabbed 38 rebounds (6 offensive, 32 defensive) and had 3 rejections. Miami finished the game shooting 81.8% from the charity stripe by knocking down 9 of 11 shots. They also knocked down 13 out of their 45 tries from beyond the arc.

Nikola Jokic is one guy who was important for the contest. He ended up finishing with 21 points on 9 out of 14 shooting. He was on the hardwood for 34:06 mins played and snagged 11 rebounds. Jokic walked away from this one shooting 64.3% from the field and also recorded 3 assists. Another guy that was a determining factor in this contest for the Nuggets was Michael Porter. He had 5 rebounds and earned 2 assists. He finished the game shooting 58.3% from the field for the matchup by going 7-of-12 (17 points). When the final whistle was blown, Porter saw the court for 24:59 minutes.

Denver enters this matchup with a record of 11-7 for the season. The Nuggets are hitting 36.9% on shots from 3-point land (232 of 628) and 76.9% from the charity stripe. They have an average of 116.4 pts per contest (3rd in basketball) while shooting 47.8% from the floor. They turn the ball over 14.5 times per game and as a basketball team they are committing 20.1 fouls every game. As a team, Denver is grabbing 45.8 boards per game and has earned 490 assists on the season, which is 3rd in the NBA in terms of passing the ball. When they are on the defensive end, the Nuggets are forcing 15.4 turnovers per contest and they draw 21.9 personal fouls. They are giving up 37.0% on shots from beyond the perimeter and they are 19th in basketball in points per game allowed (110.9). The Nuggets are giving up a field goal percentage of 47.0% (278 of 395) and they concede 41.0 boards per game as a group. They are ranked 27th in the league in giving up assists with 476 conceded on the season.

When they last played, the San Antonio Spurs got the win with a final of 110-106 when they played the Boston Celtics. The Spurs were able to corral 37 defensive boards and 9 offensive rebounds for a total of 46 in this contest. They also blocked 4 attempts while recording 5 steals in the matchup. The Celtics had 14 personal fouls in this matchup which took the Spurs to the free throw line for a total of 16 tries. They were able to convert 10 of the free throw attempts for a rate of 62.5%. When it comes to shots from downtown, San Antonio made 8 of 28 attempts (28.6%). When the final whistle blew, the Spurs ended up going 46 for 82 from the floor which gave them a percentage of 56.1%. The Spurs allowed the Celtics to make 42 of their 98 attempts from the field which had them shooting 42.9% for the game. They shot 33.3% from three-point range by shooting 10 of 30 and ended up going 12 out of 14 from the free throw line (85.7%). In reference to how they attacked the glass, San Antonio allowed Boston to collect 39 in all (13 on the offensive glass).

DeMar DeRozan was important for the Spurs for the contest. He converted 7 of 8 for the game for a field goal rate of 87.5%, which gave him 21 points. DeRozan totaled 5 rebounds in his 34:13 minutes of time on the court and added 7 dimes for the game. Someone else that ended up playing a role for San Antonio was LaMarcus Aldridge. He left the arena with 20 points in his 28:19 mins on the hardwood by going 8 of 14 shooting for the contest. Aldridge ended up shooting 57.1% from the field and also earning 2 assists and 3 total rebounds.

San Antonio has a record of 10-8 so far this year. San Antonio has accounted for 2,003 points so far this season (111.3 per contest) and they collect 46.1 rebounds per game. The Spurs are committing 17.6 fouls every game and they go 78.6% from the charity stripe. When it comes to offense, the Spurs are connecting on 45.2% from the floor, which is 19th in basketball. Their rate of dishing out assists is at 24.8 times per game (14th in the league) and they are turning it over 10.7 times per contest. The Spurs are ranked 13th in the league in points allowed per contest with 110.4. They are forcing 14.0 TO's every game and allow teams to shoot 46.4% from the field (19th in basketball). The San Antonio defense concedes 37.9% on 3-point shots (223 of 588) and opponents are knocking down 73.1% of their free throw shots. They have relinquished 23.8 dimes and 48.6 boards on a nightly basis, which is ranked 11th and 28th in the league.

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Denver (-3.5)

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