Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat Prediction, 1/27/2021 NBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat

Date: Wednesday, January 27, 2021

Location: AmericanAirlines Arena in Miami, FL

TV: Fox Sports Sun

Odds/Point Spread: Denver (-4.5)

The Miami Heat (6-10) play the Denver Nuggets (10-7) at AmericanAirlines Arena on Wednesday. Miami opens this game as 4.5-point dogs. The over/under has been set at 223.

The Denver Nuggets played the Dallas Mavericks and notched a win by a score of 117-113 in their last game. Denver finished the game having earned a 50.6% FG percentage (40 of 79) and made 15 of their 35 three-point shots. From the charity stripe, the Nuggets converted 22 of 28 shots for a percentage of 78.6%. When talking about grabbing rebounds, they compiled 49 with 14 of them being offensive. They also distributed 25 assists in this matchup while earning 9 steals and 4 rejections. With regard to defending, Denver allowed their opponent to shoot 48.8% from the floor on 41 of 84 shooting. Dallas recorded 26 assists and had 11 steals for the matchup. Furthurmore, the Mavericks totaled 34 rebounds (8 offensive, 26 defensive) and got 4 blocked shots. Dallas finished 83.3% when shooting free throws by making 20 of 24 shots. They converted 11 out of their 32 shots from beyond the perimeter.

Michael Porter is someone who was a contributor for this contest. He left the arena with 30 points on 10 of 18 shooting. He saw the court for 27:37 minutes played and pulled down 8 boards. Porter ended up going 55.6% from the floor and also totaled 2 dimes. An additional guy that was a major factor in this game for the Nuggets was Nikola Jokić. He collected 10 boards and also accounted for 4 assists. He walked away from this one shooting 61.5% from the field in this matchup via 8-of-13 (20 points). Overall, Jokić played for 33:55 min.

Denver heads into this contest with a mark of 10-7 so far this year. They are averaging 116.8 pts per contest (4th in the league) on 47.9% from the floor. The Nuggets are shooting 37.3% on shots from distance (218 of 585) and 76.3% from the charity stripe. As a team, Denver is pulling down 45.6 boards per game and has earned 461 dimes this season, which is 3rd in the league in terms of passing the ball. They cough up possession 14.5 times per game and as a basketball team they commit 20.5 personal fouls per game. On defense, the Nuggets are forcing 15.4 turnovers every game while drawing 22.5 personal fouls. The Nuggets are giving up an opponent shooting percentage of 47.6% (261 of 382) and they relinquish 41.2 boards per game as a unit. They are currently ranked 27th in the NBA in giving up assists with 452 surrendered so far this season. They are relinquishing 37.6% on shots from beyond the perimeter and they are ranked 21st in basketball in points per game allowed (112.6).

For their last game, the Miami Heat took a defeat with a final score of 98-85 when they played the Brooklyn Nets. The Heat were able to snag 37 defensive rebounds and 8 offensive boards totaling 45 for the contest. They blocked 7 attempts while getting 3 steals for this game. The Nets were called for 18 fouls for this game which took the Heat to the charity stripe for a total of 17 attempts. They were able to make 12 of them for a percentage of 70.6%. With regard to 3-point shots, Miami knocked down 11 out of 43 tries (25.6%). In all, the Heat went 31 for 84 from the floor which gave them a percentage of 36.9%. The Heat permitted the Nets to knock down 34 out of 85 tries from the field which had them shooting 40.0% for this game. They wrapped up this game 28.9% from three-point range by hitting 11 out of 38 and ended up shooting 19 of 22 from the free throw line (86.4%). In regard to rebounding, Miami permitted Brooklyn to grab 49 in all (6 offensive).

Bam Adebayo was important for the Heat in this contest. He knocked down 10 out of 19 in this matchup giving him a field goal percentage of 52.6%, which had him finishing with 26 points. Adebayo snagged 10 boards in his 35:19 minutes of time on the court and added 5 dimes in the matchup. One more player that ended up playing a role for Miami was Goran Dragić. He notched 21 points in his 32:36 minutes played via 7 out of 13 shooting in the game. Dragić walked away from this one going 53.8% from the floor while also collecting 5 assists and 6 rebounds.

Miami has a win-loss mark of 6-10 on the campaign. The Heat have committed 20.6 fouls per game and they hit 77.8% from the charity stripe. Their rate of dishing out assists is at 25.9 times per game (10th in the league) and they turn it over 17.4 times per game. Miami has 1,724 points on the campaign (107.8 per contest) and they average 41.2 boards per game. When it comes to executing on offense, the Heat are connecting on 47.4% from the floor, which ranks them 9th in the NBA. The Heat defensively are ranked 20th in basketball in PPG surrendered with 112.2. They are able to force 15.3 TO's every game and allow teams to shoot 45.4% from the floor (12th in basketball). The Miami defense allows 37.8% on 3-point attempts (247 of 654) and their opposition makes 77.3% of their free throw attempts. They have given up 25.5 dimes and 43.3 boards per game, which ranks them 22nd and 9th in basketball.

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Denver (-4.5)

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