Denver Nuggets vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction, 3/12/2021 NBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Denver Nuggets vs Memphis Grizzlies

Date: Friday, March 12, 2021

Location: FedExForum in Memphis, TN

TV: Fox Sports Southeast

Odds/Point Spread: Denver (-2)

The Denver Nuggets (21-15) head to FedExForum on Friday where they'll meet the Memphis Grizzlies (17-16). The line on this game has Denver as 2-point favorites. The over/under has been set at 226.5.

The Denver Nuggets stepped onto the hardwood against the Indiana Pacers and earned the victory with a final of 113-103 in their last game. Denver ended having earned a 58.4% FG percentage (45 of 77) and buried 12 of their 28 shots from beyond the perimeter. At the free throw line, the Nuggets knocked down 11 of their 16 attempts for a rate of 68.8%. Concerning pulling down rebounds, they earned 41 with 6 of them being offensive. They also dished out 27 assists for the contest in addition to forcing 14 turnovers and earning 6 steals. In regard to defending, Denver allowed the other team to shoot 45.6% from the field on 41 of 90 shooting. Indiana earned 27 dimes and had 12 steals for this contest. On top of that, Indiana collected 34 rebounds (11 offensive, 23 defensive) and got 5 rejections. Indiana finished the game at 58.3% from the free throw line by burying 7 of 12 tries. They converted 14 out of their 39 shots from beyond the arc.

Michael Porter Jr. is one guy who came through in this matchup. He racked up 24 points on 9 of 14 shooting. He was on the hardwood for 37:41 minutes and totaled 11 rebounds. Porter finished the game at 64.3% from the field but had no dimes when the game ended. An additional guy that was a contributor in this game for the Nuggets was Jamal Murray. He pulled down 2 rebounds in his 38:51 min played on the night. He finished the contest at 53.3% from the field in the matchup by going 8-of-15 (23 points). Overall, Murray accounted for 4 assists.

Denver heads into this game with a record of 21-15 on the season. They turn it over 13.6 times per game and as a squad they commit 19.3 personal fouls on a nightly basis. As a team, Denver is pulling down 43.7 boards per game and is sitting with 949 dimes this year, which is 3rd in basketball in terms of passing the ball. The Nuggets are shooting 38.7% on 3-pointers (479 of 1,238) and 78.6% from the charity stripe. They average 115.9 points per game (4th in the league) while shooting 48.8% from the field. Defensively, the Nuggets are forcing 14.4 turnovers every game and they draw 20.3 fouls. They currently rank 27th in the league in giving up assists to the opposition with 953 surrendered for the season. The Nuggets defensively are allowing a field goal percentage of 46.9% (517 of 731) and they surrender 41.9 boards per contest as a group. They are conceding 35.5% on three-point shots while they are 7th in the league in points per game from their opponents (110.6).

The last time they took the court, the Memphis Grizzlies went home victorious with a score of 127-112 against the Washington Wizards. The Grizzlies were able to pull down 46 defensive rebounds and 14 offensive rebounds totaling 60 for this contest. They also gave up possession 15 times, while earning 4 steals in this matchup. The Wizards were called for 26 fouls in the game which got the Grizzlies to the free throw line for a total of 29 attempts. They were able to bury 19 of the free throw tries for a clip of 65.5%. With respect to shots from beyond the perimeter, Memphis buried 8 of 23 tries (34.8%). At the conclusion of this game, the Grizzlies ended up going 50 out of 99 from the floor which had them shooting 50.5%. The Grizzlies permitted the Wizards to make 38 out of 95 tries from the floor which left them with a shooting percentage of 40.0% for this game. They went 30.6% from 3-point land via 11 out of 36 and finished the game at 25 out of 27 from the charity stripe (92.6%). When discussing how they attacked the glass, Memphis allowed Washington to collect 39 in total (6 offensive).

Jonas Valanciunas was important for the Grizzlies for the contest. He buried 12 out of 21 in this game giving him a rate of 57.1%, and had 20 rebounds. Valanciunas had 29 points in his 32:28 minutes on the hardwood and had 3 dimes in this contest. Someone else that ended being a contributor for Memphis was Ja Morant. He ended up finishing with 10 dimes in his 32:42 mins on the hardwood, and he put in 7 of 14 from the floor. Morant wrapped this one up going 50.0% from the floor and also contributing 21 points and 6 boards.

Memphis has a win-loss mark of 17-16 for the campaign. In terms of offensive execution, the Grizzlies are connecting on 46.5% from the field, which has them ranked 15th in basketball. Memphis has tallied 3,698 points on the campaign (112.1 per contest) and they pull down 45.5 boards per game. They are earning an assist 27.1 times per contest (3rd in the NBA) and they are turning it over 13.8 times per contest. The Grizzlies have committed 19.1 personal fouls per contest and they shoot 78.7% from the free throw line. The Grizzlies on the defensive side of the court are 9th in basketball in points given up per game with 110.8. They are forcing 16.5 turnovers on a nightly basis and allow teams to shoot 46.9% from the floor (19th in basketball). The Memphis defense surrenders 37.2% on shots from beyond the perimeter (429 of 1,152) and their opponents are knocking down 78.1% of their shots from the charity stripe. They give up 25.3 dimes and 43.5 total rebounds per game, which ranks them 21st and 14th in the league.

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Memphis (+2)

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