Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction, 1/25/2021 NBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks

Date: Monday, January 25, 2021

Location: American Airlines Center in Dallas, TX

TV: Fox Sports Southwest

Odds/Point Spread: Denver (+2)

The Dallas Mavericks (8-8) play the Denver Nuggets (9-7) at American Airlines Center on Monday. Dallas opens this contest as 2-point favorites. The total is set at 221.

The Denver Nuggets took the court against the Phoenix Suns and walked away with a win by a score of 120-112 in their last contest. Denver ended the contest with a 41.2% field goal percentage (40 out of 97) and converted 15 of their 36 shots from distance. At the charity stripe, the Nuggets converted 25 of their 32 attempts for a percentage of 78.1%. Regarding pulling down boards, they collected 65 with 12 of them being of the offensive variety. They also recorded 22 assists for the matchup in addition to earning 4 steals and 3 blocked shots. In regard to defense, Denver allowed the other team to shoot 40.2% from the field on 41 of 102 shooting. Phoenix doled out 26 dimes and had 8 steals in this contest. On top of that, the Suns grabbed 50 boards (7 offensive, 43 defensive) and earned 4 rejections. Phoenix ended up going 77.8% at the charity stripe by burying 14 of 18 tries. They also converted 16 out of their 53 tries from beyond the perimeter.

Nikola Jokić is a player who was a factor for the matchup. He accumulated 29 points on 9 of 21 shooting. He was on the hardwood for 42:01 mins and also grabbed 22 boards. Jokić ended up going 42.9% from the floor and also distributed 6 dimes. One more player that came through in the matchup for the Nuggets was Jamal Murray. He collected 6 boards and earned 5 dimes. He finished 45.5% from the floor for this game by shooting 10-of-22 (26 points). When the final whistle was blown, Murray was on the court for 43:18 minutes.

Denver comes into this game with a record of 9-7 for the season. They currently have an average of 116.8 pts per game (4th in the league) on 47.7% from the floor. The Nuggets are connecting on 36.9% on three-point attempts (203 of 550) and 76.1% from the charity stripe. As a unit, Denver is snagging 45.4 rebounds per game and has totaled 436 assists so far this year, which is 2nd in the NBA in terms of passing the ball. They turn the ball over 14.3 times per game and as a unit are committing 20.6 fouls on a nightly basis. Defensively, the Nuggets are forcing their opponents into 15.6 turnovers on a nightly basis while drawing 22.5 fouls. The Nuggets defensively are giving up a FG percentage of 47.5% (250 of 360) and they relinquish 41.6 boards per game as a team. They are currently ranked 27th in basketball in allowing assists to the opposition with 426 surrendered on the season. They are relinquishing 37.7% from 3-point land and they are 20th in the NBA in PPG allowed (112.6).

When they last stepped on the court, the Dallas Mavericks took a loss by a final score of 133-108 against the Houston Rockets. The Mavericks were able to corral 26 defensive rebounds and 10 offensive rebounds totaling 36 in the matchup. They blocked 4 attempts while recording 7 steals for the game. The Rockets earned 28 fouls in this matchup which got the Mavericks to the free throw line for a total of 40 tries. They were able to make 29 of the free throw tries for a rate of 72.5%. With regard to shooting from downtown, Dallas made 5 out of their 25 tries (20.0%). When the final whistle blew, the Mavericks finished 37 out of 83 from the field which had them shooting 44.6%. The Mavericks permitted the Rockets to knock down 47 of their 86 tries from the field which had them shooting 54.7% in this contest. They went 43.2% from beyond the perimeter by shooting 16 out of 37 and finished the game at 23 out of 29 from the charity stripe (79.3%). Regarding rebounds, Dallas permitted Houston to collect 52 in all (13 on the offensive glass).

Luka Dončić ended up having an impact for the Mavericks for this game. He converted 9 out of 18 for the game for a field goal percentage of 50.0%, which earned him 26 points. Dončić totaled 5 boards in his 29:28 minutes of time on the court and had 8 dimes for the matchup. One more player who came through for Dallas was Tim Hardaway. He ended up scoring 15 points in 30:35 minutes played by way of 4 of 13 from the floor in this contest. Hardaway wrapped this one up going 30.8% from the field in addition to totaling 2 assists and 2 total rebounds.

Dallas has a record of 8-8 for the campaign. Dallas has scored 1,751 pts for the campaign (109.4 per game) and they average 44.1 boards per game. The Mavericks commit 20.9 fouls per contest and they hit 74.7% from the free throw line. When it comes to offense, the Mavericks are connecting on 45.4% from the floor, which is ranked 17th in basketball. They are dishing out assists 22.3 times per contest (27th in the league) and they lose possession by turning the ball over 12.6 times per contest. The Mavericks are ranked 11th in basketball in points given up per game with 109.4. They have conceded 22.8 dimes and 46.4 rebounds per contest, which has them ranked 5th and 22nd in basketball. The Dallas defense allows 33.7% on shots from behind the 3-point line (188 of 558) and opponents are connecting on 74.5% of their shots from the free throw line. They are able to force 14.2 turnovers per game and have let teams shoot 45.5% from the field (12th in basketball).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Dallas (-2)

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