Dallas Mavericks vs Miami Heat Prediction, 5/4/2021 NBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Dallas Mavericks vs Miami Heat

Date: Tuesday, May 4, 2021

Location: AmericanAirlines Arena in Miami, FL

TV: Bally Sports Sun

Odds/Point Spread: Dallas (+1.5)

AmericanAirlines Arena is the site where and the Miami Heat (35-30) will play the Dallas Mavericks (36-28) on Tuesday. Dallas opens this game as 1.5-point underdogs. The over/under opens at 227.5.

The Dallas Mavericks faced off with the Sacramento Kings and went home with a loss by a final score of 111-99 in their last contest. Dallas ended having earned a 42.0% field goal percentage (34 of 81) and made 6 of their 35 three-point shots. When they shot from the free throw line, the Mavericks made 25 of their 31 shots for a percentage of 80.6%. With respect to getting rebounds, they collected 40 with 13 of them being on the offensive end. They also doled out 16 assists for the game while forcing 19 turnovers and having 12 steals. With respect to defense, Dallas let their opponent shoot 55.6% from the floor on 45 of 81 shooting. Sacramento earned 27 assists and had 9 steals in this matchup. Additionally, Sacramento grabbed 38 rebounds (8 offensive, 30 defensive) and had 4 blocked shots. Sacramento finished 62.5% from the free throw line by converting 10 of their 16 shots. They buried 11 out of their 28 attempts from beyond the arc.

Luka Doncic is someone who was important in this matchup. He ended up finishing with 30 points on 11 of 22 shooting. He saw the court for 36:28 minutes and totaled 6 rebounds. Doncic walked away from this one shooting 50.0% from the floor and also recorded 6 assists. One more player that played a role in the matchup for the Mavericks was Dwight Powell. He pulled down 7 rebounds in 20:09 minutes played. He ended up shooting 100.0% from the floor for this game by going 3-of-3 (13 points). Overall, Powell didn't record a dime.

Dallas will play this contest with a win-loss record of 36-28 for the season. The Mavericks are shooting 35.9% from downtown (872 of 2,428) and 77.4% from the free throw line. They are averaging 111.8 points per game (17th in basketball) while connecting on 46.9% from the floor. They lose possession via turnover 12.1 times per contest and as a team they are committing 19.4 fouls every game. As a team, Dallas is pulling in 43.4 rebounds per game and has accounted for 1,439 dimes so far this season, which ranks 27th in basketball in terms of passing the rock. On the defensive end, the Mavericks are forcing 12.6 turnovers per game and they draw 20.4 fouls. They relinquish 36.5% on three-point shots and they are ranked 8th in the NBA in opponents PPG (110.0). The Mavericks defense is allowing a shooting percentage of 46.0% (806 of 1,307) and they concede 44.1 boards per game as a team. They are ranked 3rd in the NBA in giving up assists to the opposition with 1,444 surrendered on the year.

In their last game, the Miami Heat took home the win by a final score of 121-111 when they faced the Charlotte Hornets. The Heat recorded 31 defensive boards and 11 offensive rebounds for a total of 42 in this game. They gave up possession of the ball 11 times, while getting 10 steals in this game. The Hornets had 20 fouls in the game which got the Heat to the free throw line for 27 attempts. They were able to make 20 of those for a percentage of 74.1%. Pertaining to three-point attempts, Miami knocked down 11 out of their 38 attempts (28.9%). When the game finished, the Heat shot 45 for 88 from the field which gave them a rate of 51.1%. The Heat allowed the Hornets to knock down 40 out of 81 tries from the floor which gave them a percentage of 49.4% for the game. They finished the game shooting 42.4% from behind the 3-point line by shooting 14 out of 33 and ended up shooting 17 of 22 from the free throw line (77.3%). In relation to rebounds, Miami allowed Charlotte to snag 39 overall (8 on the offensive side).

Bam Adebayo pitched in for the Heat for the contest. He buried 9 of 13 for this contest for a field goal percentage of 69.2%, and tallied 7 rebounds. Adebayo accumulated 20 points in his 33:32 minutes on the hardwood and had 10 assists for the game. An additional guy that ended up playing a role for Miami was Kendrick Nunn. He left the arena with 2 assists in his 37:17 mins on the hardwood, and he shot 8 of 13 from the floor. Nunn finished going 61.5% from the field while also earning 19 points and 1 rebound.

Miami has a mark of 35-30 so far this season. Miami has tallied 6,954 pts for the year (107.0 per game) and they average 41.7 rebounds per game. The Heat commit 18.9 personal fouls every game and they connect on 79.0% from the charity stripe. On the offensive side of the ball, the Heat are hitting on 46.3% from the field, which ranks 18th in basketball. Their rate of assisting teammates is at 26.2 times per contest (10th in basketball) and they are losing possession via turnover 14.1 times per contest. The Heat defensively are ranked 3rd in the league in PPG allowed with 107.3. The Miami defense concedes 36.4% on shots from 3-point land (932 of 2,559) and their opponents are knocking down 79.0% of their foul shots. They concede 25.7 assists and 43.5 rebounds per contest, which has them ranked 23rd and 13th in basketball. They are able to force 15.2 TO's per game and allow teams to shoot 45.4% from the field (4th in basketball).

So what is Tonights Parlay prediction?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Miami (-1.5) and over 227.5 points

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