Dallas Mavericks vs Denver Nuggets Prediction, 3/13/2021 NBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Dallas Mavericks vs Denver Nuggets

Date: Saturday, March 13, 2021

Location: Ball Arena in Denver, CO

TV: NBATV

Odds/Point Spread: Dallas (+3.5)

Ball Arena is the venue where and the Denver Nuggets (21-15) will play the Dallas Mavericks (19-17) on Saturday. Denver opens this contest as 3.5-point favorites. The over/under is set at 233.

The Dallas Mavericks stepped onto the hardwood against the Oklahoma City Thunder and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 116-108 in their last contest. Dallas ended the contest with a 42.7% field goal percentage (35 out of 82) and knocked down 15 of their 34 3-point shots. When they shot from the free throw line, the Mavericks made 23 of their 33 attempts for a percentage of 69.7%. Regarding grabbing rebounds, they earned a total of 37 with 6 of them being on the offensive end. They also recorded 20 dimes in this matchup while forcing 9 turnovers and having 4 steals. With regard to defending, Dallas allowed the other team to go 45.1% from the floor on 41 of 91 shooting. Oklahoma City distributed 25 assists and had 2 steals for the contest. Furthermore, Oklahoma City snagged 55 boards (16 offensive, 39 defensive) and earned 9 blocks. Oklahoma City finished the contest at 90.0% from the charity stripe by converting 18 of their 20 shots. They converted 16 out of their 32 tries from beyond the perimeter.

Josh Richardson is one player who was important for the contest. He scored 27 points on 10 of 15 shooting. He played for 35:11 mins and pulled down 1 rebound. Richardson walked away from this one shooting 66.7% from the floor and also recorded 6 assists. Another guy that was a determining factor in the game for the Mavericks was Jalen Brunson. He grabbed 4 rebounds in his 35:35 min on the basketball court. He shot 60.0% from the floor for the game by shooting 9-of-15 (26 points). Overall, Brunson had accumulated 3 assists.

Dallas comes into this contest with a win-loss record of 19-17 so far this year. They average 111.8 points per outing (19th in the NBA) while shooting 46.5% from the floor. The Mavericks are hitting 35.1% on 3-point shots (473 of 1,347) and 78.1% from the free throw line. As a team, Dallas is grabbing 42.9 rebounds per game and is sitting with 818 dimes for the year, which has them ranked 27th in basketball in terms of passing the rock. They turn the ball over 12.3 times per game and as a unit they are committing 20.2 personal fouls every game. On the defensive end of the court, the Mavericks are forcing 13.3 turnovers per contest while drawing 21.3 personal fouls. They are currently ranked 5th in the NBA in allowing assists to their opponents with 831 relinquished this year. The Mavericks defense is allowing a shooting percentage of 46.2% (477 of 766) and they relinquish 45.2 rebounds per contest as a group. They are relinquishing 37.2% from 3-point land and they are 17th in the league in PPG allowed (112.2).

In their last game, the Denver Nuggets got the win with a final of 113-103 when they played the Indiana Pacers. The Nuggets snagged 35 defensive rebounds and 6 offensive rebounds totaling 41 in this game. They coughed up the ball 19 times, while earning 6 steals in this contest. The Pacers had 17 personal fouls in the game which got the Nuggets to the charity stripe for a total of 16 attempts. They were able to knock down 11 of the free throws for a rate of 68.8%. In relation to shots from beyond the perimeter, Denver converted 12 out of 28 tries (42.9%). Overall, the Nuggets finished 45 for 77 from the floor which had them at 58.4%. The Nuggets permitted the Pacers to bury 41 out of their 90 attempts from the floor which had them sitting at 45.6% in the game. They finished 35.9% from beyond the arc via 14 out of 39 and finished the game at 7 of 12 from the charity stripe (58.3%). In reference to cleaning the glass, Denver permitted Indiana to grab 34 overall (11 offensive).

Michael Porter Jr. ended up having an impact for the Nuggets in this matchup. He knocked down 9 of 14 in the game for a field goal percentage of 64.3%, and had 11 rebounds. Porter recorded 24 points in his 37:41 mins on the court, but wasn't able to get an assist. One more player that ended being a contributor for Denver was Jamal Murray. He ended up finishing with 4 dimes in 38:51 mins on the court, and he shot 8 of 15 from the floor. Murray wrapped this one up going 53.3% from the field while also earning 23 points and 2 total rebounds.

Denver has a win-loss record of 21-15 this year. The Nuggets are committing 19.3 fouls per contest and they connect on 78.6% from the free throw line. They are earning an assist 26.4 times per game (7th in the NBA) and they are giving up possession 13.6 times per contest. Denver has accounted for 4,171 points this season (115.9 per game) and they pull in 43.7 rebounds per game. As an offensive unit, the Nuggets are connecting on 48.8% from the field, which ranks 2nd in basketball. The Nuggets on the defensive side of the court are 7th in the NBA in points per game surrendered with 110.6. They surrender 26.5 dimes and 41.9 rebounds every game, which is 27th and 5th in the NBA. The Denver defense surrenders 35.5% on shots from beyond the arc (457 of 1,289) and their opponents are converting on 76.3% of their foul shots. They have forced 14.4 TO's every game and have allowed teams to shoot 46.9% from the floor (18th in the league).

So what is Tonights Parlay prediction?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Denver (-3.5) and under 233 points

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