Boston Celtics vs Denver Nuggets Prediction, 4/11/2021 NBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Boston Celtics vs Denver Nuggets

Date: Sunday, April 11, 2021

Location: Ball Arena in Denver, CO

TV: Altitude

Odds/Point Spread: Boston (+3.5)

The Boston Celtics (27-26) go to Ball Arena on Sunday where they'll meet the Denver Nuggets (34-18). Boston opens this matchup as 3.5-point dogs. The over/under opens at 227.

The Boston Celtics took the court against the Minnesota Timberwolves and notched a win by a score of 145-136 in their last game. Boston finished having earned a 54.0% FG percentage (47 of 87) and buried 19 of their 42 shots from beyond the perimeter. At the free throw line, the Celtics made 32 of 34 attempts for a rate of 94.1%. Regarding rebounding, they compiled 45 with 9 of them being of the offensive variety. They also dished out 32 dimes for the game while forcing the other team into 14 turnovers and having 9 steals. When it comes to the defense, Boston allowed 49.0% from the field on 47 out of 96 shooting. Minnesota doled out 30 dimes and had 14 steals for this contest. On top of that, Minnesota grabbed 37 boards (9 offensive, 28 defensive) and added 5 blocks. Minnesota finished the contest at 90.0% at the charity stripe by converting 27 of their 30 tries. They also converted 15 out of their 42 shots from 3-point land.

Jayson Tatum is a guy who came through in the game. He ended up walking away with 53 points on 16 of 25 shooting. He played 41:00 mins and also pulled down 10 rebounds. Tatum finished shooting 64.0% from the floor and dished out 4 dimes. Another guy that was a determining factor in this matchup for the Celtics was Jaylen Brown. He had 5 rebounds in his 44:09 minutes on the basketball court. He finished the contest at 60.0% from the field in this matchup by shooting 9-of-15 (26 points). When all was said and done, Brown had accumulated 3 assists.

Boston steps onto the court with a win-loss mark of 27-26 for the campaign. The Celtics are hitting 37.7% on shots from 3-point land (706 of 1,875) and 76.9% from the charity stripe. They have an average of 112.5 pts per game (16th in the NBA) while going 46.9% from the floor. They lose possession by turning the ball over 14.1 times per game and as a group they are committing 20.6 fouls every game. As a unit, Boston is snagging 43.9 rebounds per contest and has tallied 1,234 assists on the campaign, which is 20th in the league in terms of passing the ball. On defense, the Celtics are forcing their opponents into 14.4 turnovers per contest and they draw 19.3 personal fouls. The Celtics are giving up a field goal percentage of 46.5% (763 of 1,022) and they surrender 42.2 boards per contest as a basketball team. They rank 11th in the NBA in giving up assists to their opponents with 1,246 relinquished for the campaign. They are giving up 37.3% from beyond the arc while they are 10th in basketball in PPG allowed (110.8).

In their last game, the Denver Nuggets got the victory with a final of 121-119 when they played the San Antonio Spurs. The Nuggets were able to collect 37 defensive boards and 9 offensive rebounds for a total of 46 in the matchup. They also turned the ball over 18 times, while getting 5 steals for this game. The Spurs were called for 21 fouls for this contest which took the Nuggets to the charity stripe for a total of 23 shots. They were able to bury 21 of the free throw tries for a clip of 91.3%. In reference to shots from 3-point land, Denver converted 14 of 27 attempts (51.9%). When all was said and done, the Nuggets shot 43 out of 79 from the field which had them shooting 54.4%. The Nuggets permitted the Spurs to convert 43 out of 93 tries from the field which gave them a rate of 46.2% for the contest. They finished shooting 33.3% from 3-point land by shooting 9 out of 27 and ended up shooting 24 of 28 at the charity stripe (85.7%). In relation to rebounding, Denver allowed San Antonio to snag 38 in all (11 offensive).

Nikola Jokic ended up being a major contributor for the Nuggets for this contest. He made 9 of 17 in the game giving him a rate of 52.9%, and earned 13 rebounds. Jokic racked up 26 points in his 38:22 minutes on the court and added 14 dimes in this matchup. Another guy that was important for Denver was Michael Porter Jr.. He walked away with 2 assists in 40:13 minutes on the court, and he shot 8 of 15 from the floor. Porter finished going 53.3% from the floor in addition to contributing 22 points and 10 total rebounds.

Denver has a record of 34-18 on the campaign. Denver has scored 6,011 points this year (115.6 per contest) and they snag 44.5 rebounds per game. The Nuggets are responsible for committing 18.9 personal fouls per game and they go 78.7% from the charity stripe. When it comes to offensive execution, the Nuggets are connecting on 49.0% from the floor, which ranks 2nd in the league. They are getting an assist 27.2 times per contest (2nd in the league) and they lose possession by turning the ball over 13.5 times per game. The Nuggets on the defensive end are ranked 9th in the league in PPG surrendered with 110.1. The Denver defense gives up 36.2% on shots from beyond the perimeter (666 of 1,841) and opponents are making 77.6% of their free throw attempts. They have surrendered 26.3 assists and 41.0 rebounds on a nightly basis, which is ranked 27th and 2nd in the NBA. They are forcing 14.0 turnovers on a nightly basis and have allowed teams to shoot 46.9% from the field (18th in the league).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Denver (-3.5)

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