Atlanta Hawks vs Denver Nuggets Prediction, 3/28/2021 NBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Atlanta Hawks vs Denver Nuggets

Date: Sunday, March 28, 2021

Location: Ball Arena in Denver, CO

TV: Altitude

Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (+4.5)

The Denver Nuggets (27-18) play the Atlanta Hawks (23-22) at Ball Arena on Sunday. Atlanta opens this contest as 4.5-point underdogs. The over/under has been set at 228.5.

The Atlanta Hawks stepped onto the hardwood against the Golden State Warriors and went home with a win by a final score of 124-108 in their last game. Atlanta ended the contest having earned a 54.8% field goal percentage (46 of 84) and buried 13 of their 33 3-point attempts. From the charity stripe, the Hawks converted 19 of 24 tries for a percentage of 79.2%. When discussing hauling in boards, they earned 45 with 8 of them being offensive. They also recorded 31 assists in the matchup while creating 13 turnovers and earning 6 steals. Concerning defending, Atlanta allowed 50.0% from the field on 39 out of 78 shooting. Golden State earned 29 dimes and had 7 steals in the matchup. On top of that, Golden State pulled down 33 boards (5 offensive, 28 defensive) and added 4 blocked shots. Golden State finished the contest at 69.2% from the charity stripe by knocking down 18 of 26 attempts. They also made 12 of 28 tries from 3-point range.

John Collins is one guy who had an impact in this contest. He walked away with 38 points on 14 out of 19 shooting. He saw the court for 34:00 mins played and also totaled 12 rebounds. Collins finished shooting 73.7% from the floor and earned 2 assists. Another guy that was a factor in the matchup for the Hawks was Trae Young. He snagged 3 rebounds in his 36:04 min played on the night. He ended up shooting 42.9% from the field in this matchup by going 6-of-14 (21 points). When the final whistle was blown, Young had accumulated 15 assists.

Atlanta comes into this matchup with a record of 23-22 on the campaign. The Hawks are shooting 36.3% on shots from downtown (566 of 1,558) and 82.0% from the charity stripe. They average 112.7 pts per game (14th in basketball) while shooting 45.9% from the floor. They turn it over 13.9 times per contest and as a unit are committing 19.9 personal fouls per game. As a unit, Atlanta is snagging 45.9 boards per game and has totaled 1,092 assists so far this year, which has them ranked 17th in the league in terms of passing the rock. On the defensive end of the court, the Hawks are able to force 12.5 turnovers per game and they draw 20.5 fouls. The Hawks defense is giving up an opponent shooting percentage of 45.8% (564 of 922) and they surrender 42.4 boards per game as a group. They rank 13th in basketball in allowing assists to the opposition with 1,071 surrendered this year. They are relinquishing 34.9% on shots from beyond the arc while they are 9th in the NBA in PPG allowed (110.6).

In their last game, the Denver Nuggets got the win with a final of 113-108 when they faced the New Orleans Pelicans. The Nuggets pulled down 25 defensive boards and 11 offensive rebounds totaling 36 for the matchup. They coughed up the ball 8 times, while recording 7 steals in the game. The Pelicans committed 11 personal fouls for this game which took the Nuggets to the free throw line for 7 attempts. They were able to make 5 of the free throws for a percentage of 71.4%. With respect to 3-pointers, Denver made 14 of 28 attempts (50.0%). When the final whistle blew, the Nuggets ended up shooting 47 out of 93 from the field which gave them a percentage of 50.5%. The Nuggets permitted the Pelicans to bury 39 of their 78 tries from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 50.0% for the game. They finished 41.4% from downtown by shooting 12 out of 29 and ended up going 18 out of 20 from the free throw line (90.0%). In relation to how they attacked the glass, Denver permitted New Orleans to grab 37 in all (6 on the offensive side).

Nikola Jokic pitched in for the Nuggets for the matchup. He buried 17 of 30 in the game giving him a field goal percentage of 56.7%, and totaled 6 rebounds. Jokic scored 37 points in his 41:07 mins on the court and added 9 assists in the game. Another guy who was a determining factor for Denver was Michael Porter Jr.. He ended up walking away with 2 dimes in his 39:31 mins played, and he knocked down 10 of 17 from the floor. Porter walked away from this one going 58.8% from the field as well as collecting 25 points and 5 boards.

Denver has a win-loss mark of 27-18 on the season. Denver has accounted for 5,200 points so far this year (115.6 per game) and they pull in 43.9 rebounds per contest. The Nuggets are committing 19.1 fouls per game and they shoot 78.6% from the free throw line. When it comes to offense, the Nuggets are hitting on 48.7% from the field, which has them ranked 3rd in the NBA. They are earning an assist 26.9 times per game (4th in the league) and they turn it over 13.3 times per game. The Nuggets defensively are ranked 10th in the NBA in points allowed per game with 110.9. They relinquish 26.8 dimes and 41.7 rebounds per game, which is ranked 29th and 3rd in basketball. The Denver defense surrenders 36.5% on 3-pointers (590 of 1,617) and opponents are making 77.1% of their free throw shots. They are forcing their opponents into 14.3 turnovers on a nightly basis and have allowed teams to shoot 47.0% from the floor (21st in the NBA).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Atlanta (+4.5)

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