Utah Jazz vs Denver Nuggets Prediction, 9/1/2020 NBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Utah Jazz vs Denver Nuggets

Date: Tuesday, September 1, 2020

Location: AdventHealth Arena in Orlando, Florida

TV: ABC

Odds/Point Spread: Utah -2.5

Total/Over-Under: 220.5

Mike Conley and the Utah Jazz travel to AdventHealth Arena on Tuesday where they'll take on the Denver Nuggets in Game 7 of their series. The line on this game has Utah as 2.5-point favorites. The total opens at 220.5.

Denver forced a Game 7 with an impressive 119-107 win on Sunday night. Jamal Murray once again led the Nuggets. He finished with 50 points, 6 rebounds, and 5 assists. In his last 3 games he's averaging 47.3 points on 63% shooting from beyond the arc. Donovan Mitchell played really well in defeat, collecting 44 pts, 6 boards, and 5 dimes, but it wasn't enough to overcome Murray's performance.

The Jazz are covering the spread 47.4% of the time, having gone 36-40-2 ATS. Denver is covering the spread 49.3% of the time, going 37-38-4 against the spread.

Key Utah Jazz Injuries

8/28/2020 Justin Wright-Foreman PG Not Injury Related Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
8/28/2020 Ed Davis C Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 1

Key Denver Nuggets Injuries

8/28/2020 Will Barton SF Knee Expected to be out until at least Oct 1
8/12/2020 Vlatko Cancar SF Foot Expected to be out until at least Sep 1

Player Spotlight

Mike Conley comes into this game averaging 14.4 points per contest while playing 29.0 minutes per night this year. He grabs 3.2 rebounds per contest and distributes 4.4 assists per game. His FG percentage is 41% while his free throw percentage is 83%. Rudy Gobert averages 15.1 points per contest in 34.3 minutes per game. He averages 1.5 assists per game and 13.5 rebounds per contest. His field goal percentage is 69% for the season while his free throw percentage is 63%.

Player Spotlight

Gary Harris scores 10.4 points per contest while playing 31.8 minutes per game. He hauls in 2.9 rebounds per contest and has 2.1 assists per game on the season. His FG percentage is 42% and his free throw percentage is at 82%. Jamal Murray averages 18.5 points per game this year and he sees the court an average of 32.3 minutes per game. He also brings in 4.0 rebounds per game and has 4.8 assists per contest. His field goal percentage is 46% and his free throw percentage is 88%.

Useful Team Statistics

Utah averages 111.3 points per contest, which is 18th in the league. Their average scoring margin is 2.5 and their shooting percentage is 47% as a unit, which has them ranked 6th. From 3-point territory they shoot 38%, which is good for 1st in the NBA. They average 44.9 boards per contest and 22.4 assists per game, which ranks them 13th and 26th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they are 10th with 15.1 per game. The Jazz allow 108.8 points per contest, which is 9th in the NBA. They also surrender a 46% shooting percentage and a 35% average from 3-point range, ranking them 12th and 14th in defensive field goal percentage. Opponents average 42.7 rebounds a game which ranks 5th, and they allow 21.5 assists per game which puts them in 1st place in the league. They force 12.3 turnovers per game which ranks them 2nd in the NBA.

Useful Team Statistics

Denver is 19th in the NBA with 111.3 points per contest this season. They are 4th in the league in shooting at 47%, while their average scoring margin is 2.11. They shoot 36% from beyond the arc, which is good for 15th in the league. They are 20th in the NBA in rebounding with 44.1 boards per contest and 4th in assists per game with 26.7. The Nuggets are 24th in turnovers per contest with 13.8. The Nuggets give up 109.2 points per game, which ranks them 11th in the league. Their defense surrenders a 46% shooting percentage and a 36% average from behind the 3-point line, ranking them 17th and 17th in those defensive statistics. They rank 24th with 25.4 dimes allowed per game and 4th with 42.6 boards surrendered per contest. The Nuggets are 14th in the league in forcing turnovers with 14.3 per contest this year.

Advanced Statistics

The Jazz are 10th in the NBA in offensive rating with 112.3, and their defensive rating of 109.9 is ranked 13th. In terms of pace they are 26th in the league with 98.6 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 55% is 2nd. As a team they are 2nd in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 59% and they shoot 3-pointers on 41% of their shots, ranking 8th in the league. Utah is 6th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 13.7 times per 100 possessions while forcing 11.1 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 52%, which is 23rd in the league.

Advanced Statistics

Denver is 23rd in the NBA in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 12.3 times per 100 possessions while forcing 12.9 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 53%, which is 14th in the league. The Nuggets are 5th in the NBA in offensive rating with 113.1, and their defensive rating of 111 is ranked 16th. In terms of pace they are 29th in the league with 97.1 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 54% is 9th. As a team they are 15th in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 57% and they shoot 3-pointers on 34% of their shots, ranking 27th in the league.

Who will win tonight's Jazz/Nuggets NBA game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Denver +2.5

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