Thunder vs Kings Predictions, Picks, Betting Tips 1/29/2020

Game: Oklahoma City Thunder vs Sacramento Kings

Date: Wednesday, January 29, 2020

Location: Golden 1 Center in Sacramento, CA

TV: NBC Sports California

Odds/Point Spread: Oklahoma City -2.5

Total/Over-Under: 230

Chris Paul and the Oklahoma City Thunder (28-20, 3rd in the Northwest Division) go to Golden 1 Center on Wednesday where they'll meet the Sacramento Kings (17-29, 4th in the Pacific Division). Oklahoma City opens this matchup as 2.5 point favorites. The total opens at 230.

The Thunder cover the spread 66.7% of the time, having gone 32-16-0 ATS. Sacramento is covering the spread 48.9% of the time, going 22-23-1 against the spread.

Key Oklahoma City Thunder Injuries

01/27/20 SG Terrance Ferguson Personal is questionable Wednesday vs Sacramento
01/27/20 SF Abdel Nader Ankle is questionable Wednesday vs Sacramento
01/27/20 PG Chris Paul Personal is questionable Wednesday vs Sacramento

Key Sacramento Kings Injuries

01/27/20 F Marvin Bagley III Foot is questionable Wednesday vs Oklahoma City
01/12/20 PF Richaun Holmes Shoulder is out indefinitely

Player Spotlight

Chris Paul comes into this game averaging 17.2 points per contest while playing 31.7 minutes per night this year. He grabs 5.0 rebounds per contest and distributes 6.4 assists per game. His FG percentage is 48% while his free throw percentage is 90%. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander averages 19.6 points per contest in 35.5 minutes per game. He averages 3.1 assists per game and 6.1 rebounds per contest. His field goal percentage is 46% for the season while his free throw percentage is 82%.

Player Spotlight

Buddy Hield scores 20.5 points per contest while playing 34.2 minutes per game. He hauls in 5.1 rebounds per contest and has 3.2 assists per game on the season. His FG percentage is 42% and his free throw percentage is at 83%. De'Aaron Fox averages 19.3 points per game this year and he sees the court an average of 31.3 minutes per game. He also brings in 4.4 rebounds per game and has 7.2 assists per contest. His field goal percentage is 47% and his free throw percentage is 69%.

Useful Team Statistics

Oklahoma City averages 110.3 points per contest, which is 17th in the league. Their average scoring margin is 2.3 and their shooting percentage is 47% as a unit, which has them ranked 7th. From 3-point territory they shoot 35%, which is good for 19th in the NBA. They average 43.4 boards per contest and 21.9 assists per game, which ranks them 23rd and 26th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they are 23rd with 13.8 per game. The Thunder allow 108.1 points per contest, which is 11th in the NBA. They also surrender a 46% shooting percentage and a 35% average from 3-point range, ranking them 14th and 10th in defensive field goal percentage. Opponents average 44.5 rebounds a game which ranks 11th, and they allow 22.8 assists per game which puts them in 4th place in the league. They force 13.9 turnovers per game which ranks them 8th in the NBA.

Useful Team Statistics

Sacramento is 24th in the NBA with 107.1 points per contest this season. They are 19th in the league in shooting at 46%, while their average scoring margin is -3.09. They shoot 36% from beyond the arc, which is good for 16th in the league. They are 27th in the NBA in rebounding with 42.6 boards per contest and 22nd in assists per game with 22.9. The Kings are 12th in turnovers per contest with 15.1. The Kings give up 110.2 points per game, which ranks them 15th in the league. Their defense surrenders a 47% shooting percentage and a 35% average from behind the 3-point line, ranking them 23rd and 13th in those defensive statistics. They rank 16th with 24.2 dimes allowed per game and 7th with 43.6 boards surrendered per contest. The Kings are 21st in the league in forcing turnovers with 15.3 per contest this year.

Advanced Statistics

The Thunder are 14th in the league in defensive rating with 108.5, and their offensive rating of 110.8 is ranked 14th. They are 22nd in the NBA in pace with 98.7 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 53% is 10th. As a unit they are 7th in the league in true shooting percentage with 58% and they shoot 3-pointers on 35% of their shot attempts, ranking 24th in the NBA. Oklahoma City is 21st in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 12.6 times per 100 possessions while forcing 12.4 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 52%, which is 18th in the NBA.

Advanced Statistics

Sacramento is 9th in the NBA in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 13.5 times per 100 possessions while forcing 13.8 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 54%, which is 7th in the league. The Kings are 21st in the NBA in offensive rating with 107.9, and their defensive rating of 111 is ranked 19th. In terms of pace they are 28th in the league with 97.9 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 52% is 18th. As a team they are 20th in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 56% and they shoot 3-pointers on 39% of their shots, ranking 13th in the league.

Who will win tonight's Thunder/Kings NBA game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Sacramento +2.5

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