Spurs vs Heat 1/15/2020 NBA Prediction, Pick, Tips

Game: San Antonio Spurs vs Miami Heat

Date: Wednesday, January 15, 2020

Location: American Airlines Arena in Miami, FL

TV: Fox Sports Sun

Odds/Point Spread: Miami -5

Total/Over-Under: 222

Kendrick Nunn and the Miami Heat (27-12, 1st in the Southeast Division) host the San Antonio Spurs (17-21, 4th in the Southwest Division) at American Airlines Arena on Wednesday, January 15, 2020. Miami opens this matchup as 5 point favorites. The O/U opens at 222.

The Spurs are covering 40.5% of the time, having gone 15-22-1 ATS. Miami is covering 59.5% of the time, going 22-15-2 against the spread.

Key San Antonio Spurs Injuries

No key injuries to report

Key Miami Heat Injuries

01/13/20 SF Justise Winslow Back is out indefinitely

Player Spotlight

DeMar DeRozan averages 22.4 points per game in 34.0 minutes per contest. He averages 5.0 assists per contest and 5.3 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage is 54% for the year while his free throw percentage is 83%. LaMarcus Aldridge comes into this contest averaging 18.9 points per game while playing 33.0 minutes per night. He pulls down 7.6 rebounds per game and dishes out 2.5 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 51% while his free throw percentage is at 84%.

Player Spotlight

Jimmy Butler averages 20.7 points per game and he sees the court an average of 35.1 minutes per contest. He also averages 7.1 rebounds per contest and 6.5 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 45% and his free throw percentage is 83%. Kendrick Nunn averages 15.4 points per game while playing 30.2 minutes per contest. He grabs 2.7 rebounds per game and has 3.6 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 45% and his free throw percentage is at 79%.

Useful Team Statistics

The Spurs allow 115.0 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 26th in the league. They also allow a 46% shooting percentage and a 36% average from behind the arc, ranking them 19th and 20th in those defensive categories. Opponents average 45.7 rebounds a game which ranks 16th, and they give up 25.6 assists per contest which puts them in 27th place in the league. They force 12.5 turnovers per game which ranks them 2nd in the league. San Antonio averages 113.9 points per contest this season, which ranks them 6th in the NBA. Their average scoring margin is -1.1 and their shooting percentage is 47% as a team, which has them ranked 3rd. Behind the arc they shoot 37% which is good for 5th in the league. They average 46.7 rebounds per game and 24.7 assists per contest, which ranks them 6th and 12th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 26th with 13.2 per game.

Useful Team Statistics

The Heat surrender 108.0 points per contest, which ranks them 12th in the NBA. Their defense allows a 45% shooting percentage and a 33% average from 3-point range, ranking them 9th and 2nd in those defensive statistics. They rank 16th with 24.2 assists allowed per contest, and 2nd with 41.7 rebounds surrendered per game. The Heat are 7th in the NBA in forcing turnovers with 13.9 per game. Miami is 11th in the league with 111.7 points per game this year. They are 4th in the league in shooting at 47%, while their average scoring margin is 3.7. They shoot 38% from 3-point range, which is good for 2nd in the NBA. They are 17th in the league in rebounding with 45.4 boards per game and 10th in assists per contest with 25.1. The Heat are 4th in turnovers per game with 16.0.

Advanced Statistics

The Spurs are 9th in the NBA in offensive rating with 111.3, and their defensive rating of 112.3 is ranked 23rd. In terms of pace they are 12th in the league with 100.7 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 53% is 9th. As a team they are 10th in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 57% and they shoot 3-pointers on 31% of their shots, ranking 30th in the league. San Antonio is 28th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 11.6 times per 100 possessions while forcing 10.9 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 53%, which is 12th in the league.

Advanced Statistics

Miami is 2nd in the league in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 14.4 times per 100 possessions while forcing 12.5 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 51%, which is 19th in the NBA. The Heat are 7th in the league in defensive rating with 107.9, and their offensive rating of 111.6 is ranked 13th. They are 24th in the NBA in pace with 98.5 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 55% is 3rd. As a unit they are 1st in the league in true shooting percentage with 59% and they shoot 3-pointers on 40% of their shot attempts, ranking 9th in the NBA.

Who will win tonight's Spurs/Heat NBA game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take San Antonio +5

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