Sacramento Kings vs Memphis Grizzlies Predictions, Expert NBA Pick 2/28/2020

Game: Sacramento Kings vs Memphis Grizzlies

Date: Friday, February 28, 2020

Location: FedExForum in Memphis, TN

TV: Fox Sports Southeast - Memphis

Odds/Point Spread: Memphis -4

Total/Over-Under: 229.5

Jonas Valanciunas and the Memphis Grizzlies (28-30, 3rd in the Southwest Division) host the Sacramento Kings (24-33, 3rd in the Pacific Division) at FedExForum on Friday, February 28, 2020. Memphis opens this game as 4 point favorites. The over/under has been set at 229.5.

The Kings are covering the spread 51.8% of the time, having gone 29-27-1 ATS. Memphis is covering 52.6% of the time, going 30-27-1 against the spread.

Key Sacramento Kings Injuries

02/12/20 PF Richaun Holmes Shoulder is out indefinitely
02/09/20 F Marvin Bagley III Foot is out indefinitely

Key Memphis Grizzlies Injuries

02/25/20 PF Brandon Clarke Hip is out 2-3 weeks
02/23/20 F Jaren Jackson Jr. Knee is out 2-3 weeks
01/27/20 SG Grayson Allen Hip is out indefinitely
01/13/20 SF Justise Winslow Back is out indefinitely

Player Spotlight

Buddy Hield comes into this contest averaging 20.1 points per game while playing 32.8 minutes per night this season. He pulls down 4.9 rebounds per game and dishes out 3.2 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 43% while his free throw percentage currently sits at 85%. De'Aaron Fox averages 19.9 points per game in 31.6 minutes per contest this season. He averages 6.9 assists per contest and 4.1 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage is 47% for the year while his free throw percentage is 67%.

Player Spotlight

Jonas Valanciunas averages 14.5 points per game while playing 25.8 minutes per contest this year. He grabs 10.5 rebounds per game and has 1.8 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 58% and his free throw percentage is at 72%. Ja Morant averages 17.5 points per game this season and he sees the court an average of 29.8 minutes per contest. He also averages 3.4 rebounds per contest and 6.8 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 49% and his free throw percentage is 78%.

Useful Team Statistics

Sacramento averages 108.4 points per contest this season, which ranks them 23rd in the NBA. Their average scoring margin is -2.2 and their shooting percentage is 46% as a team, which has them ranked 19th. Behind the arc they shoot 37% which is good for 11th in the league. They average 42.1 rebounds per game and 23.2 assists per game, which ranks them 29th and 22nd in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 19th with 14.5 per game. The Kings allow 110.6 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 16th in the league. They also allow a 47% shooting percentage and a 35% average from behind the arc, ranking them 21st and 14th in those defensive categories. Opponents average 43.8 rebounds a game which ranks 8th and they give up 24.5 assists per contest, which puts them in 17th place in the league. They force 15.4 turnovers per game which ranks them 22nd in the league.

Useful Team Statistics

Memphis is 13th in the league with 112.8 points per game this year. They are 7th in the league in shooting at 47%, while their average scoring margin is -2.6. They shoot 35% from 3-point range, which is good for 21st in the NBA. They are 8th in the league in rebounding with 46.0 boards per game, and 1st in assists per contest with 27.1. The Grizzlies are 8th in turnovers per game with 15.2. The Grizzlies surrender 115.3 points per contest, which ranks them 26th in the NBA. Their defense allows a 46% shooting percentage and a 37% average from 3-point range, ranking them 14th and 27th in those defensive statistics. They rank 22nd with 24.9 assists allowed per contest and 14th with 45.0 rebounds surrendered per game. The Grizzlies are 18th in the NBA in forcing turnovers with 14.7 per game.

Advanced Statistics

The Kings are 20th in the league in defensive rating with 111.3, and their offensive rating of 109.1 is ranked 18th. They are 26th in the NBA in pace with 98.3 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 53% is 13th. As a unit they are 20th in the league in true shooting percentage with 56% and they shoot 3-pointers on 40% of their shot attempts, ranking 12th in the NBA. Sacramento is 13th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 13.1 times per 100 possessions while forcing 13.9 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 54%, which is 11th in the NBA.

Advanced Statistics

Memphis is 10th in the league in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 13.2 times per 100 possessions while forcing 12.6 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 53%, which is 15th in the NBA. The Grizzlies are 19th in the league in defensive rating with 111.6, and their offensive rating of 109.1 is ranked 19th. They are 5th in the NBA in pace with 103.2 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 53% is 12th. As a unit they are 19th in the league in true shooting percentage with 56% and they shoot 3-pointers on 34% of their shot attempts, ranking 27th in the NBA.

Who will win tonight's Kings/Grizzlies NBA game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Sacramento +4

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