Sacramento Kings vs Golden State Warriors Predictions, NBA Picks Against the Spread 2/25/2020

Game: Sacramento Kings vs Golden State Warriors

Date: Tuesday, February 25, 2020

Location: Chase Center in San Francisco, CA

TV: NBC Sports Bay Area

Odds/Point Spread: Sacramento -5.5

Total/Over-Under: 229

De'Aaron Fox and the Sacramento Kings (23-33, 3rd in the Pacific Division) go to Chase Center on Tuesday where they'll take on the Golden State Warriors (12-45, 5th in the Pacific Division). Sacramento opens this matchup as 5.5 point favorites. The over/under opens at 229.

The Kings cover 50.9% of the time, having gone 28-27-1 ATS. Golden State is covering 47.4% of the time, going 27-30-0 against the spread.

Key Sacramento Kings Injuries

02/12/20 PF Richaun Holmes Shoulder is out indefinitely
02/09/20 F Marvin Bagley III Foot is out indefinitely

Key Golden State Warriors Injuries

10/30/19 PG Stephen Curry Hand is out indefinitely
10/19/19 SG Klay Thompson Knee is out for season
02/23/20 PF Marquese Chriss Calf is questionable Tuesday vs Sacramento
02/23/20 PF Draymond Green Pelvis is questionable Tuesday vs Sacramento

Player Spotlight

Buddy Hield averages 20.2 points per game in 33.0 minutes per contest. He averages 3.2 assists per contest and 4.9 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage is 43% for the year while his free throw percentage is 84%. De'Aaron Fox comes into this contest averaging 19.9 points per game while playing 31.6 minutes per night. He pulls down 4.1 rebounds per game and dishes out 6.9 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 47% while his free throw percentage is at 68%.

Player Spotlight

Andrew Wiggins averages 22.1 points per game and he sees the court an average of 34.4 minutes per contest. He also averages 5.1 rebounds per contest and 3.6 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 45% and his free throw percentage is 72%. Eric Paschall averages 13.2 points per game while playing 26.9 minutes per contest. He grabs 4.7 rebounds per game and has 1.7 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 49% and his free throw percentage is at 78%.

Useful Team Statistics

The Kings allow 110.9 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 18th in the league. They also allow a 47% shooting percentage and a 36% average from behind the arc, ranking them 20th and 16th in those defensive categories. Opponents average 44.0 rebounds a game which ranks 9th, and they give up 24.6 assists per contest which puts them in 17th place in the league. They force 15.4 turnovers per game which ranks them 22nd in the league. Sacramento averages 108.4 points per contest this season, which ranks them 23rd in the NBA. Their average scoring margin is -2.6 and their shooting percentage is 46% as a team, which has them ranked 19th. Behind the arc they shoot 36% which is good for 10th in the league. They average 42.2 rebounds per game and 23.2 assists per contest, which ranks them 29th and 21st in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 19th with 14.6 per game.

Useful Team Statistics

The Warriors surrender 115.1 points per contest, which ranks them 25th in the NBA. Their defense allows a 48% shooting percentage and a 39% average from 3-point range, ranking them 28th and 30th in those defensive statistics. They rank 29th with 26.2 assists allowed per contest, and 27th with 47.1 rebounds surrendered per game. The Warriors are 26th in the NBA in forcing turnovers with 15.9 per game. Golden State is 27th in the league with 106.2 points per game this year. They are 28th in the league in shooting at 43%, while their average scoring margin is -8.9. They shoot 34% from 3-point range, which is good for 26th in the NBA. They are 23rd in the league in rebounding with 43.1 boards per game and 12th in assists per contest with 25.3. The Warriors are 14th in turnovers per game with 14.9.

Advanced Statistics

The Kings are 20th in the NBA in offensive rating with 109, and their defensive rating of 111.6 is ranked 20th. In terms of pace they are 25th in the league with 98.3 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 53% is 14th. As a team they are 20th in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 56% and they shoot 3-pointers on 40% of their shots, ranking 12th in the league. Sacramento is 14th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 13.1 times per 100 possessions while forcing 13.8 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 54%, which is 9th in the league.

Advanced Statistics

Golden State is 13th in the league in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 13.1 times per 100 possessions while forcing 13.9 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 55%, which is 3rd in the NBA. The Warriors are 30th in the league in defensive rating with 113.5, and their offensive rating of 104.7 is ranked 26th. They are 14th in the NBA in pace with 100.5 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 49% is 30th. As a unit they are 28th in the league in true shooting percentage with 54% and they shoot 3-pointers on 35% of their shot attempts, ranking 24th in the NBA.

Who will win tonight's Kings/Warriors NBA game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Sacramento -5.5

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