Pacers vs Nuggets 1/19/2020 NBA Prediction, Pick, Tips

Game: Indiana Pacers vs Denver Nuggets

Date: Sunday, January 19, 2020

Location: Pepsi Center in Denver, CO

TV: Altitude

Odds/Point Spread: Denver -3.5

Total/Over-Under: 211.5

Pepsi Center is the venue where Nikola Jokic and the Denver Nuggets (29-12, 1st in the Northwest Division) will play the Indiana Pacers (27-15, 2nd in the Central Division) on Sunday. The odds on this game have Denver as 3.5 point favorites. The over/under is set at 211.5.

The Pacers cover the spread 56.1% of the time, having gone 23-18-1 ATS. Denver is covering 46.0% of the time, going 17-20-4 against the spread.

Key Indiana Pacers Injuries

10/19/19 SG Victor Oladipo Knee is out indefinitely

Key Denver Nuggets Injuries

01/17/20 SG Gary Harris Abdominal is questionable Sunday vs Indiana
01/17/20 PF Paul Millsap Knee is questionable Sunday vs Indiana
01/16/20 SG Jamal Murray Ankle is out indefinitely

Player Spotlight

Domantas Sabonis comes into this game averaging 17.8 points per contest while playing 34.1 minutes per night this year. He grabs 12.9 rebounds per contest and distributes 4.3 assists per game. His FG percentage is 53% while his free throw percentage is 72%. Malcolm Brogdon averages 17.7 points per contest in 30.7 minutes per game. He averages 7.5 assists per game and 4.5 rebounds per contest. His field goal percentage is 44% for the season while his free throw percentage is 92%.

Player Spotlight

Nikola Jokic scores 19.2 points per contest while playing 31.4 minutes per game. He hauls in 9.9 rebounds per contest and has 6.4 assists per game on the season. His FG percentage is 51% and his free throw percentage is at 80%. Gary Harris averages 11.0 points per game this year and he sees the court an average of 32.9 minutes per game. He also brings in 2.8 rebounds per game and has 2.2 assists per contest. His field goal percentage is 42% and his free throw percentage is 82%.

Useful Team Statistics

Indiana averages 109.4 points per contest, which is 19th in the league. Their average scoring margin is 3.1 and their shooting percentage is 47% as a unit, which has them ranked 3rd. From 3-point territory they shoot 37%, which is good for 6th in the NBA. They average 43.6 boards per contest and 25.9 assists per game, which ranks them 23rd and 6th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they are 28th with 12.9 per game. The Pacers allow 106.3 points per contest, which is 7th in the NBA. They also surrender a 44% shooting percentage and a 34% average from 3-point range, ranking them 6th and 7th in defensive field goal percentage. Opponents average 44.7 rebounds a game which ranks 10th, and they allow 23.2 assists per game which puts them in 8th place in the league. They force 14.2 turnovers per game which ranks them 9th in the NBA.

Useful Team Statistics

Denver is 18th in the NBA with 109.5 points per contest this season. They are 14th in the league in shooting at 46%, while their average scoring margin is 3.95. They shoot 35% from beyond the arc, which is good for 20th in the league. They are 19th in the NBA in rebounding with 44.6 boards per contest and 3rd in assists per game with 26.3. The Nuggets are 25th in turnovers per contest with 13.4. The Nuggets give up 105.5 points per game, which ranks them 5th in the league. Their defense surrenders a 45% shooting percentage and a 33% average from behind the 3-point line, ranking them 13th and 2nd in those defensive statistics. They rank 17th with 24.3 dimes allowed per game and 6th with 43.5 boards surrendered per contest. The Nuggets are 14th in the league in forcing turnovers with 14.5 per contest this year.

Advanced Statistics

The Pacers are 12th in the league in defensive rating with 107.3, and their offensive rating of 110.5 is ranked 8th. They are 25th in the NBA in pace with 98.3 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 53% is 12th. As a unit they are 15th in the league in true shooting percentage with 56% and they shoot 3-pointers on 31% of their shot attempts, ranking 29th in the NBA. Indiana is 26th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 11.7 times per 100 possessions while forcing 12.7 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 51%, which is 24th in the NBA.

Advanced Statistics

Denver is 25th in the NBA in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 12 times per 100 possessions while forcing 13.2 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 52%, which is 18th in the league. The Nuggets are 8th in the NBA in offensive rating with 111.5, and their defensive rating of 107.4 is ranked 11th. In terms of pace they are 29th in the league with 97.2 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 52% is 20th. As a team they are 21st in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 56% and they shoot 3-pointers on 34% of their shots, ranking 27th in the league.

Who will win tonight's Pacers/Nuggets NBA game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Denver -3.5

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