Orlando Magic vs Miami Heat Predictions, Free NBA Picks 3/4/2020

Game: Orlando Magic vs Miami Heat

Date: Wednesday, March 4, 2020

Location: American Airlines Arena in Miami, FL

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Miami -6

Total/Over-Under: 222

American Airlines Arena is the venue where Kendrick Nunn and the Miami Heat (39-22, 1st in the Southeast Division) will play the Orlando Magic (27-34, 2nd in the Southeast Division) on Wednesday. Orlando opens this game as 6 point underdogs. The total is set at 222.

The Magic are covering the spread 45.8% of the time, having gone 27-32-2 ATS. Miami is covering the spread 54.2% of the time, going 32-27-2 against the spread.

Key Orlando Magic Injuries

01/10/20 SF Al-Farouq Aminu Knee is out for season
01/02/20 PF Jonathan Isaac Knee is out indefinitely

Key Miami Heat Injuries

02/24/20 PF Meyers Leonard Ankle is out indefinitely
02/11/20 SG Tyler Herro Foot is out indefinitely

Player Spotlight

Aaron Gordon averages 14.4 points per game in 32.9 minutes per contest. He averages 3.5 assists per contest and 7.6 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage is 43% for the year while his free throw percentage is 67%. Nikola Vucevic comes into this contest averaging 19.3 points per game while playing 32.4 minutes per night. He pulls down 10.8 rebounds per game and dishes out 3.6 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 47% while his free throw percentage is at 77%.

Player Spotlight

Bam Adebayo averages 16.2 points per game and he sees the court an average of 34.4 minutes per contest. He also averages 10.5 rebounds per contest and 5.1 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 57% and his free throw percentage is 69%. Kendrick Nunn averages 15.8 points per game while playing 30.1 minutes per contest. He grabs 2.7 rebounds per game and has 3.5 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 45% and his free throw percentage is at 84%.

Useful Team Statistics

The Magic allow 106.9 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 4th in the league. They also allow a 46% shooting percentage and a 37% average from behind the arc, ranking them 17th and 24th in those defensive categories. Opponents average 45.6 rebounds a game which ranks 18th, and they give up 24.3 assists per contest which puts them in 14th place in the league. They force 14.8 turnovers per game which ranks them 19th in the league. Orlando averages 105.3 points per contest this season, which ranks them 29th in the NBA. Their average scoring margin is -1.6 and their shooting percentage is 44% as a team, which has them ranked 28th. Behind the arc they shoot 34% which is good for 27th in the league. They average 44.7 rebounds per game and 23.7 assists per contest, which ranks them 18th and 19th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 29th with 12.6 per game.

Useful Team Statistics

The Heat surrender 109.2 points per contest, which ranks them 11th in the NBA. Their defense allows a 45% shooting percentage and a 34% average from 3-point range, ranking them 7th and 3rd in those defensive statistics. They rank 19th with 24.8 assists allowed per contest, and 2nd with 42.2 rebounds surrendered per game. The Heat are 7th in the NBA in forcing turnovers with 13.6 per game. Miami is 14th in the league with 112.7 points per game this year. They are 9th in the league in shooting at 47%, while their average scoring margin is 3.5. They shoot 38% from 3-point range, which is good for 2nd in the NBA. They are 17th in the league in rebounding with 44.8 boards per game and 8th in assists per contest with 25.9. The Heat are 15th in turnovers per game with 14.8.

Advanced Statistics

The Magic are 25th in the NBA in offensive rating with 107, and their defensive rating of 108.7 is ranked 9th. In terms of pace they are 27th in the league with 98.2 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 50% is 29th. As a team they are 28th in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 53% and they shoot 3-pointers on 36% of their shots, ranking 18th in the league. Orlando is 28th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 11.3 times per 100 possessions while forcing 13.5 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 53%, which is 13th in the league.

Advanced Statistics

Miami is 8th in the NBA in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 13.3 times per 100 possessions while forcing 12.3 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 52%, which is 19th in the league. The Heat are 7th in the NBA in offensive rating with 112.9, and their defensive rating of 109.4 is ranked 12th. In terms of pace they are 25th in the league with 98.3 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 55% is 4th. As a team they are 1st in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 59% and they shoot 3-pointers on 41% of their shots, ranking 7th in the league.

Who will win tonight's Magic/Heat NBA game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Orlando +6

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