Oklahoma City Thunder vs Milwaukee Bucks Predictions, Free NBA Pick 2/28/2020

Game: Oklahoma City Thunder vs Milwaukee Bucks

Date: Friday, February 28, 2020

Location: Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee, WI

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Milwaukee -10

Total/Over-Under: 228.5

Giannis Antetokounmpo and the Milwaukee Bucks (50-8, 1st in the Central Division) play the Oklahoma City Thunder (36-22, 2nd in the Northwest Division) at Fiserv Forum on Friday, February 28, 2020. Oklahoma City opens this matchup as 10 point dogs. The over/under is set at 228.5.

The Thunder are covering the spread 65.5% of the time, having gone 38-20-0 ATS. Milwaukee covers the spread 58.6% of the time, going 34-24-0 against the spread.

Key Oklahoma City Thunder Injuries

02/24/20 SG Andre Roberson Knee is out indefinitely
02/10/20 SF Darius Bazley Thumb is out indefinitely

Key Milwaukee Bucks Injuries

No key injuries to report

Player Spotlight

Chris Paul comes into this game averaging 17.5 points per contest while playing 31.8 minutes per night this year. He grabs 5.1 rebounds per contest and distributes 6.7 assists per game. His FG percentage is 49% while his free throw percentage is 90%. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander averages 19.4 points per contest in 35.5 minutes per game. He averages 3.3 assists per game and 6.3 rebounds per contest. His field goal percentage is 46% for the season while his free throw percentage is 81%.

Player Spotlight

Giannis Antetokounmpo scores 29.7 points per contest while playing 30.9 minutes per game. He hauls in 13.7 rebounds per contest and has 5.8 assists per game on the season. His FG percentage is 55% and his free throw percentage is at 62%. Khris Middleton averages 21.1 points per game this year and he sees the court an average of 29.9 minutes per game. He also brings in 6.3 rebounds per game and has 4.2 assists per contest. His field goal percentage is 51% and his free throw percentage is 91%.

Useful Team Statistics

Oklahoma City averages 111.2 points per contest, which is 16th in the league. Their average scoring margin is 3.2 and their shooting percentage is 47% as a unit, which has them ranked 4th. From 3-point territory they shoot 36%, which is good for 16th in the NBA. They average 43.2 boards per contest and 22.1 assists per game, which ranks them 22nd and 26th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they are 24th with 13.5 per game. The Thunder allow 108.1 points per contest, which is 10th in the NBA. They also surrender a 46% shooting percentage and a 34% average from 3-point range, ranking them 15th and 6th in defensive field goal percentage. Opponents average 44.2 rebounds a game which ranks 11th, and they allow 22.8 assists per game which puts them in 5th place in the league. They force 13.9 turnovers per game which ranks them 8th in the NBA.

Useful Team Statistics

Milwaukee is 1st in the NBA with 119.8 points per contest this season. They are 2nd in the league in shooting at 48%, while their average scoring margin is 12.22. They shoot 36% from beyond the arc, which is good for 14th in the league. They are 1st in the NBA in rebounding with 51.8 boards per contest and 7th in assists per game with 26.2. The Bucks are 15th in turnovers per contest with 14.7. The Bucks give up 107.6 points per game, which ranks them 8th in the league. Their defense surrenders a 41% shooting percentage and a 36% average from behind the 3-point line, ranking them 1st and 18th in those defensive statistics. They rank 12th with 23.9 dimes allowed per game and 19th with 45.8 boards surrendered per contest. The Bucks are 15th in the league in forcing turnovers with 14.4 per contest this year.

Advanced Statistics

The Thunder are 9th in the NBA in offensive rating with 112.1, and their defensive rating of 108.9 is ranked 11th. In terms of pace they are 23rd in the league with 98.5 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 54% is 9th. As a team they are 6th in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 58% and they shoot 3-pointers on 35% of their shots, ranking 25th in the league. Oklahoma City is 22nd in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 12.3 times per 100 possessions while forcing 12.5 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 52%, which is 20th in the league.

Advanced Statistics

Milwaukee is 20th in the league in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 12.6 times per 100 possessions while forcing 12.2 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 49%, which is 30th in the NBA. The Bucks are 3rd in the league in defensive rating with 102, and their offensive rating of 113.6 is ranked 1st. They are 1st in the NBA in pace with 105.1 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 56% is 1st. As a unit they are 1st in the league in true shooting percentage with 59% and they shoot 3-pointers on 42% of their shot attempts, ranking 4th in the NBA.

Who will win tonight's Thunder/Bucks NBA game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Milwaukee -10

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