Nuggets vs Warriors 1/16/2020 NBA Prediction, Pick, Tips

Game: Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors

Date: Thursday, January 16, 2020

Location: Chase Center in San Francisco, CA

TV: TNT

Odds/Point Spread: Denver -7.5

Total/Over-Under: 226

D'Angelo Russell and the Golden State Warriors (9-33, 5th in the Pacific Division) play the Denver Nuggets (27-12, 2nd in the Northwest Division) at Chase Center on Thursday, January 16, 2020. Denver opens this game as 7.5 point favorites. The over/under opens at 226.

The Nuggets are covering the spread 45.7% of the time, having gone 16-19-4 ATS. Golden State is covering the spread 45.2% of the time, going 19-23-0 against the spread.

Key Denver Nuggets Injuries

01/14/20 SG Gary Harris Abdominal is questionable Wednesday vs Charlotte
01/14/20 PF Paul Millsap Knee is downgraded to out Wednesday vs Charlotte
01/14/20 SG Jamal Murray Back is questionable Wednesday vs Charlotte

Key Golden State Warriors Injuries

10/30/19 PG Stephen Curry Hand is out indefinitely
10/19/19 SG Klay Thompson Knee is out indefinitely
01/14/20 G Jacob Evans Concussion left last game, is questionable Thursday vs Denver
01/13/20 G Damion Lee Personal is questionable Thursday vs Denver
01/10/20 C Kevon Looney Abdominal is out indefinitely

Player Spotlight

Nikola Jokic averages 19.3 points per contest in 31.2 minutes per game this year. He averages 6.4 assists per game and 9.9 rebounds per contest. His field goal percentage is 51% for the season while his free throw percentage is 80%. Jamal Murray comes into this game averaging 17.9 points per contest while playing 32.4 minutes per night. He grabs 4.2 rebounds per contest and distributes 4.7 assists per game. His FG percentage is 44% while his free throw percentage is 92%.

Player Spotlight

Alec Burks averages 15.7 points per game and he sees the court an average of 29.1 minutes per game. He also hauls in 4.7 rebounds per game and dishes 3.2 assists per contest. His field goal percentage is 41% and his free throw percentage is 90%. D'Angelo Russell scores 23.3 points per contest while playing 31.6 minutes per game. He hauls in 3.5 rebounds per contest and has 6.0 assists per game on the season. His FG percentage is 43% and his free throw percentage is at 77%.

Useful Team Statistics

The Nuggets allow 105.4 points per contest which is 5th in the NBA. They also surrender a 46% shooting percentage and a 33% average from 3-point range, ranking them 15th and 1st in defensive field goal percentage. Opponents average 43.6 rebounds a game which ranks 7th, and they allow 23.9 assists per game which puts them in 14th place in the league. They force 14.4 turnovers per game which ranks them 13th in the NBA. Denver averages 109.1 points per contest, which is 20th in the league. Their average scoring margin is 3.7 and their shooting percentage is 46% as a unit, which has them ranked 13th. From 3-point territory they shoot 35%, which is good for 21st in the NBA. They average 44.4 boards per contest and 26.2 assists per game, which ranks them 19th and 4th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they are 25th with 13.2 per game.

Useful Team Statistics

The Warriors give up 113.2 points per game, which ranks them 19th in the league. Their defense surrenders a 47% shooting percentage and a 38% average from behind the 3-point line, ranking them 24th and 29th in those defensive statistics. They rank 25th with 25.3 dimes allowed per game and 26th with 47.0 boards surrendered per contest. The Warriors are 27th in the league in forcing turnovers with 16.1 per contest. Golden State is 28th in the NBA with 104.5 points per contest this season. They are 30th in the league in shooting at 43%, while their average scoring margin is -8.6. They shoot 34% from beyond the arc, which is good for 26th in the league. They are 21st in the NBA in rebounding with 43.9 boards per contest and 15th in assists per game with 24.3. The Warriors are 15th in turnovers per contest with 14.9.

Advanced Statistics

The Nuggets are 8th in the NBA in offensive rating with 111.4, and their defensive rating of 107.6 is ranked 12th. In terms of pace they are 29th in the league with 97.1 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 52% is 20th. As a team they are 21st in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 55% and they shoot 3-pointers on 34% of their shots, ranking 27th in the league. Denver is 25th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 11.8 times per 100 possessions while forcing 13.1 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 52%, which is 17th in the league.

Advanced Statistics

Golden State is 14th in the league in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 13.1 times per 100 possessions while forcing 14.1 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 54%, which is 5th in the NBA. The Warriors are 29th in the league in defensive rating with 112.1, and their offensive rating of 103.5 is ranked 22nd. They are 14th in the NBA in pace with 100.2 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 48% is 30th. As a unit they are 29th in the league in true shooting percentage with 53% and they shoot 3-pointers on 33% of their shot attempts, ranking 28th in the NBA.

So what is Tonights Parlay prediction?

Parlays Pundit's Pick: Take Golden State +7.5 and over 226 total points

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here