New Orleans Pelicans vs Sacramento Kings Predictions, Free NBA Pick 3/11/2020

Game: New Orleans Pelicans vs Sacramento Kings

Date: Wednesday, March 11, 2020

Location: Golden 1 Center in Sacramento, CA

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: New Orleans -3

Total/Over-Under: 236.5

De'Aaron Fox and the Sacramento Kings (28-36, 3rd in the Pacific Division) host the New Orleans Pelicans (28-36, 4th in the Southwest Division) at Golden 1 Center on Wednesday, March 11, 2020. Sacramento opens this contest as 3 point underdogs. The O/U opens at 236.5.

The Pelicans are covering the spread 53.2% of the time, having gone 33-29-2 ATS. Sacramento is covering 53.2% of the time, going 33-29-2 against the spread.

Key New Orleans Pelicans Injuries

03/01/20 SG JJ Redick Hamstring is out 2-3 weeks

Key Sacramento Kings Injuries

02/09/20 F Marvin Bagley III Foot is out indefinitely

Player Spotlight

Jrue Holiday comes into this game averaging 19.6 points per contest while playing 34.9 minutes per night this year. He grabs 4.9 rebounds per contest and distributes 6.9 assists per game. His FG percentage is 45% while his free throw percentage is 70%. Brandon Ingram averages 24.3 points per contest in 34.3 minutes per game. He averages 4.3 assists per game and 6.3 rebounds per contest. His field goal percentage is 47% for the season while his free throw percentage is 86%.

Player Spotlight

De'Aaron Fox scores 20.4 points per contest while playing 31.7 minutes per game. He hauls in 4.0 rebounds per contest and has 6.8 assists per game on the season. His FG percentage is 48% and his free throw percentage is at 70%. Buddy Hield averages 19.8 points per game this year and he sees the court an average of 32.0 minutes per game. He also brings in 4.8 rebounds per game and has 3.1 assists per contest. His field goal percentage is 43% and his free throw percentage is 86%.

Useful Team Statistics

New Orleans averages 116.2 points per contest, which is 4th in the league. Their average scoring margin is -0.8 and their shooting percentage is 46% as a unit, which has them ranked 14th. From 3-point territory they shoot 37%, which is good for 4th in the NBA. They average 47.0 boards per contest and 27.0 assists per game, which ranks them 4th and 3rd in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they are 2nd with 16.2 per game. The Pelicans allow 117.0 points per contest, which is 27th in the NBA. They also surrender a 47% shooting percentage and a 36% average from 3-point range, ranking them 19th and 16th in defensive field goal percentage. Opponents average 45.1 rebounds a game which ranks 15th, and they allow 24.6 assists per game which puts them in 17th place in the league. They force 14.5 turnovers per game which ranks them 17th in the NBA.

Useful Team Statistics

Sacramento is 23rd in the NBA with 109.0 points per contest this season. They are 19th in the league in shooting at 46%, while their average scoring margin is -1.92. They shoot 36% from beyond the arc, which is good for 11th in the league. They are 27th in the NBA in rebounding with 42.5 boards per contest and 22nd in assists per game with 23.4. The Kings are 19th in turnovers per contest with 14.4. The Kings give up 110.9 points per game, which ranks them 17th in the league. Their defense surrenders a 47% shooting percentage and a 36% average from behind the 3-point line, ranking them 20th and 17th in those defensive statistics. They rank 15th with 24.5 dimes allowed per game and 8th with 43.5 boards surrendered per contest. The Kings are 21st in the league in forcing turnovers with 15.1 per contest this year.

Advanced Statistics

The Pelicans are 15th in the league in defensive rating with 111.6, and their offensive rating of 110.8 is ranked 18th. They are 2nd in the NBA in pace with 103.9 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 54% is 7th. As a unit they are 13th in the league in true shooting percentage with 57% and they shoot 3-pointers on 41% of their shot attempts, ranking 8th in the NBA. New Orleans is 4th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 13.7 times per 100 possessions while forcing 12.3 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 53%, which is 14th in the NBA.

Advanced Statistics

Sacramento is 14th in the NBA in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 13 times per 100 possessions while forcing 13.6 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 54%, which is 12th in the league. The Kings are 19th in the NBA in offensive rating with 109.7, and their defensive rating of 111.6 is ranked 19th. In terms of pace they are 25th in the league with 98.4 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 53% is 13th. As a team they are 18th in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 56% and they shoot 3-pointers on 40% of their shots, ranking 13th in the league.

Who will win tonight's Pelicans/Kings NBA game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Sacramento +3

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