Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks Predictions, Free NBA Pick 2/24/2020

Game: Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks

Date: Monday, February 24, 2020

Location: American Airlines Center in Dallas, TX

TV: Fox Sports Southwest - Dallas

Odds/Point Spread: Dallas -6.5

Total/Over-Under: 228

D'Angelo Russell and the Minnesota Timberwolves (16-38, 5th in the Northwest Division) travel to American Airlines Center on Monday where they'll take on the Dallas Mavericks (34-23, 2nd in the Southwest Division). The odds on this game have Dallas as 6.5 point favorites. The over/under has been set at 228.

The Timberwolves are covering the spread 34.6% of the time, having gone 18-34-2 ATS. Dallas is covering 55.6% of the time, going 30-24-3 against the spread.

Key Minnesota Timberwolves Injuries

02/23/20 SG Jaylen Nowell Illness is upgraded to probable Sunday vs Denver
02/22/20 PG D'Angelo Russell Knee is downgraded to out Sunday vs Denver
02/14/20 C Karl-Anthony Towns Wrist is out indefinitely
01/27/20 SF Jake Layman Toe is out indefinitely

Key Dallas Mavericks Injuries

02/22/20 PG Luka Doncic Ankle is questionable Monday vs Minnesota
02/22/20 C Willie Cauley-Stein Personal is questionable Monday vs Minnesota
02/22/20 PF Kristaps Porzingis Rest is questionable Monday vs Minnesota
01/21/20 PF Dwight Powell Achilles is out for season

Player Spotlight

D'Angelo Russell comes into this game averaging 23.5 points per contest while playing 32.3 minutes per night this year. He grabs 3.7 rebounds per contest and distributes 6.5 assists per game. His FG percentage is 43% while his free throw percentage is 80%. Malik Beasley averages 9.3 points per contest in 19.6 minutes per game. He averages 1.3 assists per game and 2.2 rebounds per contest. His field goal percentage is 40% for the season while his free throw percentage is 87%.

Player Spotlight

Tim Hardaway scores 15.1 points per contest while playing 27.6 minutes per game. He hauls in 3.1 rebounds per contest and has 2.0 assists per game on the season. His FG percentage is 44% and his free throw percentage is at 80%. Kristaps Porzingis averages 18.6 points per game this year and he sees the court an average of 30.6 minutes per game. He also brings in 9.1 rebounds per game and has 1.6 assists per contest. His field goal percentage is 42% and his free throw percentage is 78%.

Useful Team Statistics

Minnesota averages 112.5 points per contest, which is 13th in the league. Their average scoring margin is -3.7 and their shooting percentage is 44% as a unit, which has them ranked 27th. From 3-point territory they shoot 33%, which is good for 29th in the NBA. They average 45.6 boards per contest and 23.7 assists per game, which ranks them 13th and 19th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they are 7th with 15.4 per game. The Timberwolves allow 116.1 points per contest, which is 27th in the NBA. They also surrender a 47% shooting percentage and a 37% average from 3-point range, ranking them 22nd and 23rd in defensive field goal percentage. Opponents average 47.6 rebounds a game which ranks 29th, and they allow 23.4 assists per game which puts them in 8th place in the league. They force 15.4 turnovers per game which ranks them 23rd in the NBA.

Useful Team Statistics

Dallas is 3rd in the NBA with 116.4 points per contest this season. They are 13th in the league in shooting at 46%, while their average scoring margin is 5.98. They shoot 37% from beyond the arc, which is good for 5th in the league. They are 4th in the NBA in rebounding with 47.1 boards per contest and 14th in assists per game with 24.3. The Mavericks are 28th in turnovers per contest with 12.6. The Mavericks give up 110.4 points per game, which ranks them 15th in the league. Their defense surrenders a 45% shooting percentage and a 34% average from behind the 3-point line, ranking them 11th and 3rd in those defensive statistics. They rank 9th with 23.6 dimes allowed per game and 14th with 45.2 boards surrendered per contest. The Mavericks are 1st in the league in forcing turnovers with 11.9 per contest this year.

Advanced Statistics

The Timberwolves are 22nd in the league in defensive rating with 111.3, and their offensive rating of 107.8 is ranked 18th. They are 7th in the NBA in pace with 102.7 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 51% is 26th. As a unit they are 25th in the league in true shooting percentage with 55% and they shoot 3-pointers on 43% of their shot attempts, ranking 3rd in the NBA. Minnesota is 16th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 13 times per 100 possessions while forcing 13.2 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 53%, which is 12th in the NBA.

Advanced Statistics

Dallas is 29th in the league in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 11.2 times per 100 possessions while forcing 10.6 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 52%, which is 21st in the NBA. The Mavericks are 1st in the league in defensive rating with 111.4, and their offensive rating of 117.4 is ranked 19th. They are 22nd in the NBA in pace with 98.6 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 55% is 4th. As a unit they are 4th in the league in true shooting percentage with 58% and they shoot 3-pointers on 46% of their shot attempts, ranking 2nd in the NBA.

Who will win tonight's Timberwolves/Mavericks NBA game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Dallas -6.5

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