Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat Predictions, Expert NBA Pick 3/2/2020

Game: Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat

Date: Monday, March 2, 2020

Location: American Airlines Arena in Miami, FL

TV: NBA TV

Odds/Point Spread: Milwaukee -2.5

Total/Over-Under: 228

American Airlines Arena is the venue where Kendrick Nunn and the Miami Heat (38-22, 1st in the Southeast Division) will play the Milwaukee Bucks (51-8, 1st in the Central Division) on Monday. Milwaukee opens this game as 2.5 point favorites. The over/under is set at 228.

The Bucks cover the spread 59.3% of the time, having gone 35-24-0 ATS. Miami is covering 53.4% of the time, going 31-27-2 against the spread.

Key Milwaukee Bucks Injuries

03/01/20 SF Khris Middleton Neck is downgraded to out Sunday vs Charlotte
02/29/20 SG Kyle Korver Back is downgraded to out Sunday vs Charlotte

Key Miami Heat Injuries

02/24/20 PF Meyers Leonard Ankle is out indefinitely
02/11/20 SG Tyler Herro Ankle is out indefinitely

Player Spotlight

Eric Bledsoe comes into this contest averaging 15.7 points per game while playing 27.3 minutes per night this season. He pulls down 4.8 rebounds per game and dishes out 5.5 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 48% while his free throw percentage currently sits at 83%. Giannis Antetokounmpo averages 29.7 points per game in 30.8 minutes per contest this season. He averages 5.8 assists per contest and 13.7 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage is 55% for the year while his free throw percentage is 62%.

Player Spotlight

Kendrick Nunn averages 15.8 points per game while playing 30.0 minutes per contest this year. He grabs 2.6 rebounds per game and has 3.5 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 45% and his free throw percentage is at 84%. Bam Adebayo averages 16.2 points per game this season and he sees the court an average of 34.4 minutes per contest. He also averages 10.5 rebounds per contest and 5.1 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 57% and his free throw percentage is 69%.

Useful Team Statistics

Milwaukee averages 120.0 points per contest this season, which ranks them 1st in the NBA. Their average scoring margin is 12.8 and their shooting percentage is 48% as a team, which has them ranked 2nd. Behind the arc they shoot 36% which is good for 12th in the league. They average 52.0 rebounds per game and 26.3 assists per game, which ranks them 1st and 5th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 15th with 14.8 per game. The Bucks allow 107.2 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 7th in the league. They also allow a 41% shooting percentage and a 36% average from behind the arc, ranking them 1st and 18th in those defensive categories. Opponents average 45.6 rebounds a game which ranks 19th and they give up 23.7 assists per contest, which puts them in 9th place in the league. They force 14.4 turnovers per game which ranks them 14th in the league.

Useful Team Statistics

Miami is 12th in the league with 112.8 points per game this year. They are 6th in the league in shooting at 47%, while their average scoring margin is 3.3. They shoot 38% from 3-point range, which is good for 2nd in the NBA. They are 17th in the league in rebounding with 44.8 boards per game, and 9th in assists per contest with 25.8. The Heat are 14th in turnovers per game with 14.9. The Heat surrender 109.5 points per contest, which ranks them 11th in the NBA. Their defense allows a 45% shooting percentage and a 34% average from 3-point range, ranking them 8th and 3rd in those defensive statistics. They rank 19th with 24.9 assists allowed per contest and 2nd with 42.1 rebounds surrendered per game. The Heat are 7th in the NBA in forcing turnovers with 13.6 per game.

Advanced Statistics

The Bucks are 3rd in the NBA in offensive rating with 113.7, and their defensive rating of 101.6 is ranked 1st. In terms of pace they are 1st in the league with 105.2 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 56% is 1st. As a team they are 1st in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 59% and they shoot 3-pointers on 42% of their shots, ranking 4th in the league. Milwaukee is 19th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 12.7 times per 100 possessions while forcing 12.2 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 48%, which is 30th in the league.

Advanced Statistics

Miami is 7th in the league in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 13.4 times per 100 possessions while forcing 12.2 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 52%, which is 18th in the NBA. The Heat are 7th in the league in defensive rating with 109.7, and their offensive rating of 113 is ranked 13th. They are 25th in the NBA in pace with 98.3 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 55% is 3rd. As a unit they are 2nd in the league in true shooting percentage with 59% and they shoot 3-pointers on 41% of their shot attempts, ranking 8th in the NBA.

Who will win tonight's Bucks/Heat NBA game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Milwaukee -2.5

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