Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat Prediction, 9/4/2020 NBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat

Date: Friday, September 4, 2020

Location: The Field House in Orlando, Florida

TV: TNT

Odds/Point Spread: Milwaukee -5.5

Total/Over-Under: 222.5

The Field House is the venue where Goran Dragic and the Miami Heat will take on the Milwaukee Bucks on Friday in Game 3 of their series. Miami opens this matchup as 5.5-point underdogs. The O/U is set at 222.5.

The Heat lead the series 2-0 after winning 116-114 in Game 2. Jimmy Butler sank two free throws with no time remaining to win for Miami. He was fouled as time expired on a fadaway out of bounds. Goran Dragic led Miami with 23 pts, 5 rebounds, and 4 assists. Giannis Antetokounmpo led Milwaukee with 29 points, 14 boards, and 3 dimes.

The Bucks cover 53.2% of the time, having gone 42-37-1 ATS. Miami is covering 54.5% of the time, going 42-35-2 against the spread.

Key Milwaukee Bucks Injuries

No key injuries to report

Key Miami Heat Injuries

9/3/2020 Gabe Vincent PG Shoulder Game Time Decision
8/29/2020 Chris Silva PF Pelvis Expected to be out until at least Sep 14

Player Spotlight

Brook Lopez comes into this contest averaging 12.0 points per game while playing 26.7 minutes per night this season. He pulls down 4.6 rebounds per game and dishes out 1.5 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 44% while his free throw percentage currently sits at 84%. Khris Middleton averages 20.9 points per game in 29.9 minutes per contest this season. He averages 4.3 assists per contest and 6.2 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage is 50% for the year while his free throw percentage is 92%.

Player Spotlight

Goran Dragic averages 16.2 points per game while playing 28.2 minutes per contest this year. He grabs 3.2 rebounds per game and has 5.1 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 44% and his free throw percentage is at 78%. Bam Adebayo averages 15.9 points per game this season and he sees the court an average of 33.6 minutes per contest. He also averages 10.2 rebounds per contest and 5.1 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 56% and his free throw percentage is 69%.

Useful Team Statistics

Milwaukee averages 118.7 points per contest this season, which ranks them 1st in the NBA. Their average scoring margin is 10.1 and their shooting percentage is 48% as a team, which has them ranked 3rd. Behind the arc they shoot 36% which is good for 17th in the league. They average 51.7 rebounds per game and 25.9 assists per game, which ranks them 1st and 6th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 11th with 15.1 per game. The Bucks allow 108.6 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 8th in the league. They also allow a 41% shooting percentage and a 36% average from behind the arc, ranking them 1st and 15th in those defensive categories. Opponents average 45.8 rebounds a game which ranks 21st and they give up 24.2 assists per contest, which puts them in 11th place in the league. They force 14.1 turnovers per game which ranks them 12th in the league.

Useful Team Statistics

Miami is 15th in the league with 112.0 points per game this year. They are 8th in the league in shooting at 47%, while their average scoring margin is 3.0. They shoot 38% from 3-point range, which is good for 2nd in the NBA. They are 17th in the league in rebounding with 44.4 boards per game, and 5th in assists per contest with 25.9. The Heat are 13th in turnovers per game with 14.9. The Heat surrender 109.1 points per contest, which ranks them 10th in the NBA. Their defense allows a 45% shooting percentage and a 35% average from 3-point range, ranking them 7th and 6th in those defensive statistics. They rank 15th with 24.6 assists allowed per contest and 3rd with 42.5 rebounds surrendered per game. The Heat are 10th in the NBA in forcing turnovers with 14.0 per game.

Advanced Statistics

The Bucks are 8th in the NBA in offensive rating with 112.4, and their defensive rating of 102.9 is ranked 1st. In terms of pace they are 1st in the league with 105.1 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 55% is 1st. As a team they are 3rd in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 58% and they shoot 3-pointers on 43% of their shots, ranking 4th in the league. Milwaukee is 17th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 12.9 times per 100 possessions while forcing 12 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 49%, which is 30th in the league.

Advanced Statistics

Miami is 7th in the NBA in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 13.5 times per 100 possessions while forcing 12.6 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 52%, which is 20th in the league. The Heat are 7th in the NBA in offensive rating with 112.5, and their defensive rating of 109.5 is ranked 10th. In terms of pace they are 27th in the league with 98.3 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 55% is 3rd. As a team they are 1st in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 59% and they shoot 3-pointers on 42% of their shots, ranking 7th in the league.

Who will win tonight's Bucks/Heat NBA game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Milwaukee -5.5

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here