Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat Prediction, 12/29/2020 NBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat

Date: Tuesday, December 29, 2020

Location: AmericanAirlines Arena in Miami, FL

TV: TNT

Odds/Point Spread: Milwaukee (-4.5)

The Milwaukee Bucks (1-2) go to AmericanAirlines Arena on Tuesday where they'll meet the Miami Heat (1-1). Miami opens this matchup as 4.5-point dogs. The total has been set at 222.5.

The Milwaukee Bucks played the New York Knicks and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 130-110 in their last game. Milwaukee ended having earned a 43.2% FG percentage (41 of 95) and converted 7 out of their 38 3-point shots. At the free throw line, the Bucks made 21 of 29 tries for a rate of 72.4%. When talking about pulling down rebounds, they collected a total of 44 with 17 of them being offensive. They also doled out 24 assists for the game in addition to having 7 steals and 5 blocks. When discussing defending, Milwaukee allowed the other team to go 54.1% from the field on 46 out of 85 shooting. New York dished out 27 dimes and had 5 steals for the game. Furthurmore, the Knicks totaled 46 boards (8 offensive, 38 defensive) and had 4 rejections. New York went 81.5% at the charity stripe by converting 22 of 27 attempts. They converted 16 of 27 attempts from distance.

Khris Middleton is a guy who was important in the matchup. He totaled 22 points on 8 of 18 shooting. He was on the hardwood for 32:46 minutes and grabbed 4 rebounds. Middleton ended up shooting 44.4% from the field and also earned 5 dimes. Another guy that was a determining factor in the game for the Bucks was Giannis Antetokounmpo. He pulled down 13 boards and also had 5 dimes. He shot 60.0% from the floor for the game by connecting on 9-of-15 (27 points). At the conclusion of this game, Antetokounmpo played 31:59 min.

Milwaukee will enter this contest with a win-loss record of 1-2 this year. They average 123.0 pts per game (3rd in the league) on 49.8% from the floor. The Bucks are shooting 37.6% on three-point shots (41 of 109) and 74.0% from the free throw line. As a team, Milwaukee is pulling down 52.0 rebounds per contest and has tallied 68 dimes on the season, which is 11th in basketball in terms of passing the rock. They turn it over 15.0 times per game and as a group are committing 19.3 fouls every game. On the defensive end of the court, the Bucks are forcing their opponents into 11.3 turnovers per contest and they draw 20.7 fouls. The Bucks defense is giving up an opponent shooting percentage of 44.9% (34 of 62) and they relinquish 42.0 rebounds per game as a squad. They are 12th in basketball in giving up assists with 64 conceded for the campaign. They relinquish 39.3% from beyond the arc and they are ranked 21st in the league in points per game from their opponents (117.0).

When they last stepped on the court, the Miami Heat took home the win by a final score of 111-98 against the New Orleans Pelicans. The Heat were able to collect 31 defensive boards and 4 offensive boards for a total of 35 in this matchup. They rejected 2 tries while recording 11 steals for the contest. The Pelicans had 20 personal fouls in this game which got the Heat to the charity stripe for 23 attempts. They were able to knock down 19 of the free throw attempts for a rate of 82.6%. With respect to shots from downtown, Miami made 16 of their 37 tries (43.2%). When the final whistle was blown, the Heat shot 38 out of 75 from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 50.7%. The Heat permitted the Pelicans to knock down 31 of 78 attempts from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 39.7% in the game. They shot 28.6% from distance by shooting 10 out of 35 and walked away from this one shooting 26 of 33 at the charity stripe (78.8%). In relation to team rebounding, Miami permitted New Orleans to pull down 41 in all (11 on the offensive glass).

Tyler Herro ended up being a factor for the Heat in the matchup. He made 3 out of 10 in this game for a field goal percentage of 30.0%, which gave him 11 points. Herro pulled down 2 rebounds in his 32:20 minutes of playing time and had 3 assists for the game. An additional guy that was pivotal for Miami was Duncan Robinson. He was able to score 23 points in his 32:02 minutes played via 8 of 14 from the floor in this contest. Robinson wrapped this one up going 57.1% from the field while totaling 2 assists and 5 total rebounds.

Miami has a win-loss mark of 1-1 on the campaign. As an offensive unit, the Heat are connecting on 50.6% from the field, which has them ranked 5th in the league. Miami has totaled 218 points this year (109.0 per contest) and they pull in 39.0 rebounds per game. They are dishing out assists 27.0 times per game (8th in the NBA) and they are giving up possession 19.5 times per game. The Heat are committing 23.0 fouls per contest and they hit 83.3% from the free throw line. The Heat on the defensive end are ranked 5th in the league in PPG given up with 105.5. They have relinquished 20.5 assists and 41.0 total rebounds per game, ranking them 3rd and 5th in the NBA. The Miami defense concedes 31.7% on 3-point attempts (20 of 63) and their opponents are converting on 71.4% of their shots from the free throw line. They are forcing their opponents into 18.5 turnovers per game and have let teams shoot 44.0% from the field (5th in basketball).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Miami (+4.5)

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