Miami Heat vs Washington Wizards Predictions, Free NBA Pick 3/8/2020

Game: Miami Heat vs Washington Wizards

Date: Sunday, March 8, 2020

Location: Capital One Arena in Washington, D.C.

TV: NBC Sports Washington

Odds/Point Spread: Miami -4.5

Total/Over-Under: 231.5

Thomas Bryant and the Washington Wizards (23-39, 3rd in the Southeast Division) play the Miami Heat (40-23, 1st in the Southeast Division) at Capital One Arena on Sunday, March 8, 2020. The odds on this matchup have Miami as 4.5 point favorites. The over/under has been set at 231.5.

The Heat are covering 52.5% of the time, having gone 32-29-2 ATS. Washington covers the spread 51.7% of the time, going 31-29-2 against the spread.

Key Miami Heat Injuries

03/06/20 SF Jae Crowder Head is questionable Sunday vs Washington
02/24/20 PF Meyers Leonard Ankle is out indefinitely
02/11/20 SG Tyler Herro Foot is out indefinitely

Key Washington Wizards Injuries

10/18/19 PG John Wall Achilles is out indefinitely
03/06/20 PG Ish Smith Hamstring is out indefinitely

Player Spotlight

Kendrick Nunn comes into this game averaging 15.5 points per contest while playing 29.8 minutes per night this year. He grabs 2.7 rebounds per contest and distributes 3.4 assists per game. His FG percentage is 45% while his free throw percentage is 84%. Bam Adebayo averages 16.0 points per contest in 34.4 minutes per game. He averages 5.0 assists per game and 10.5 rebounds per contest. His field goal percentage is 56% for the season while his free throw percentage is 69%.

Player Spotlight

Thomas Bryant scores 12.3 points per contest while playing 23.9 minutes per game. He hauls in 6.9 rebounds per contest and has 1.9 assists per game on the season. His FG percentage is 60% and his free throw percentage is at 73%. Bradley Beal averages 30.5 points per game this year and he sees the court an average of 36.0 minutes per game. He also brings in 4.3 rebounds per game and has 6.1 assists per contest. His field goal percentage is 46% and his free throw percentage is 84%.

Useful Team Statistics

Miami averages 112.6 points per contest, which is 13th in the league. Their average scoring margin is 3.3 and their shooting percentage is 47% as a unit, which has them ranked 8th. From 3-point territory they shoot 38%, which is good for 2nd in the NBA. They average 44.7 boards per contest and 26.0 assists per game, which ranks them 16th and 7th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they are 15th with 14.8 per game. The Heat allow 109.2 points per contest, which is 11th in the NBA. They also surrender a 45% shooting percentage and a 34% average from 3-point range, ranking them 8th and 4th in defensive field goal percentage. Opponents average 42.3 rebounds a game which ranks 3rd, and they allow 24.9 assists per game which puts them in 21st place in the league. They force 13.7 turnovers per game which ranks them 8th in the NBA.

Useful Team Statistics

Washington is 6th in the NBA with 115.9 points per contest this season. They are 14th in the league in shooting at 46%, while their average scoring margin is -4.11. They shoot 37% from beyond the arc, which is good for 6th in the league. They are 30th in the NBA in rebounding with 42.0 boards per contest and 11th in assists per game with 25.5. The Wizards are 22nd in turnovers per contest with 14.0. The Wizards give up 120.0 points per game, which ranks them 30th in the league. Their defense surrenders a 49% shooting percentage and a 38% average from behind the 3-point line, ranking them 29th and 27th in those defensive statistics. They rank 23rd with 25.3 dimes allowed per game and 25th with 46.5 boards surrendered per contest. The Wizards are 28th in the league in forcing turnovers with 16.2 per contest this year.

Advanced Statistics

The Heat are 7th in the league in defensive rating with 109.5, and their offensive rating of 112.8 is ranked 12th. They are 26th in the NBA in pace with 98.3 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 55% is 4th. As a unit they are 1st in the league in true shooting percentage with 59% and they shoot 3-pointers on 41% of their shot attempts, ranking 7th in the NBA. Miami is 7th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 13.4 times per 100 possessions while forcing 12.3 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 52%, which is 17th in the NBA.

Advanced Statistics

Washington is 26th in the league in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 12 times per 100 possessions while forcing 13.8 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 56%, which is 2nd in the NBA. The Wizards are 11th in the league in defensive rating with 116, and their offensive rating of 112 is ranked 30th. They are 6th in the NBA in pace with 103 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 53% is 17th. As a unit they are 13th in the league in true shooting percentage with 57% and they shoot 3-pointers on 36% of their shot attempts, ranking 21st in the NBA.

Who will win tonight's Heat/Wizards NBA game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Washington +4.5

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