Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction, 9/8/2020 NBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks

Date: Tuesday, September 8, 2020

Location: The Field House in Orlando, Florida

TV: TNT

Odds/Point Spread: Miami -1.5

Total/Over-Under: 217

The Field House is the venue where Eric Bledsoe and the Milwaukee Bucks will take on the Miami Heat on Tuesday in Game 5 of their series. Milwaukee opens this game as 1.5-point dogs. The over/under opens at 217.

The Heat were unable to close out the series on Sunday even after Giannis Antetokounmpo left with an ankle injury. Khris Middleton stepped up in his absence to tally 36 pts, 8 boards, and 8 assists, including a dagger 3-pointer in OT to seal the game. Bam Adebayo had 26 points, 12 rebounds, and 8 dimes in the losing effort for Miami. The Heat still lead the series 3-1, but they missed a huge opportunity to close it out in Game 4.

The Heat cover 54.4% of the time, having gone 43-36-2 ATS. Milwaukee covers the spread 53.1% of the time, going 43-38-1 against the spread.

Key Miami Heat Injuries

8/29/2020 Chris Silva PF Pelvis Expected to be out until at least Sep 14

Key Milwaukee Bucks Injuries

9/6/2020 Giannis Antetokounmpo PF Ankle Game Time Decision

Player Spotlight

Tyler Herro averages 13.5 points per game in 27.4 minutes per contest. He averages 2.2 assists per contest and 4.1 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage is 43% for the year while his free throw percentage is 87%. Jimmy Butler comes into this contest averaging 19.9 points per game while playing 33.8 minutes per night. He pulls down 6.7 rebounds per game and dishes out 6.0 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 46% while his free throw percentage is at 83%.

Player Spotlight

Brook Lopez averages 12.0 points per game and he sees the court an average of 26.7 minutes per contest. He also averages 4.6 rebounds per contest and 1.5 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 44% and his free throw percentage is 84%. Eric Bledsoe averages 14.9 points per game while playing 27.0 minutes per contest. He grabs 4.6 rebounds per game and has 5.4 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 48% and his free throw percentage is at 79%.

Useful Team Statistics

The Heat allow 109.1 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 10th in the league. They also allow a 45% shooting percentage and a 35% average from behind the arc, ranking them 7th and 6th in those defensive categories. Opponents average 42.5 rebounds a game which ranks 3rd, and they give up 24.6 assists per contest which puts them in 15th place in the league. They force 14.0 turnovers per game which ranks them 10th in the league. Miami averages 112.0 points per contest this season, which ranks them 15th in the NBA. Their average scoring margin is 3.0 and their shooting percentage is 47% as a team, which has them ranked 8th. Behind the arc they shoot 38% which is good for 2nd in the league. They average 44.4 rebounds per game and 25.9 assists per contest, which ranks them 17th and 5th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 13th with 14.9 per game.

Useful Team Statistics

The Bucks surrender 108.6 points per contest, which ranks them 8th in the NBA. Their defense allows a 41% shooting percentage and a 36% average from 3-point range, ranking them 1st and 15th in those defensive statistics. They rank 11th with 24.2 assists allowed per contest, and 21st with 45.8 rebounds surrendered per game. The Bucks are 12th in the NBA in forcing turnovers with 14.1 per game. Milwaukee is 1st in the league with 118.7 points per game this year. They are 3rd in the league in shooting at 48%, while their average scoring margin is 10.1. They shoot 36% from 3-point range, which is good for 17th in the NBA. They are 1st in the league in rebounding with 51.7 boards per game and 6th in assists per contest with 25.9. The Bucks are 11th in turnovers per game with 15.1.

Advanced Statistics

The Heat are 7th in the league in defensive rating with 109.5, and their offensive rating of 112.5 is ranked 10th. They are 27th in the NBA in pace with 98.3 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 55% is 3rd. As a unit they are 1st in the league in true shooting percentage with 59% and they shoot 3-pointers on 42% of their shot attempts, ranking 7th in the NBA. Miami is 7th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 13.5 times per 100 possessions while forcing 12.6 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 52%, which is 20th in the NBA.

Advanced Statistics

Milwaukee is 17th in the league in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 12.9 times per 100 possessions while forcing 12 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 49%, which is 30th in the NBA. The Bucks are 8th in the league in defensive rating with 102.9, and their offensive rating of 112.4 is ranked 1st. They are 1st in the NBA in pace with 105.1 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 55% is 1st. As a unit they are 3rd in the league in true shooting percentage with 58% and they shoot 3-pointers on 43% of their shot attempts, ranking 4th in the NBA.

Who will win tonight's Heat/Bucks NBA game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Miami -1.5

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