Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction, 8/31/2020 NBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks

Date: Monday, August 31, 2020

Location: The Field House in Orlando, Florida

TV: TNT

Odds/Point Spread: Milwaukee -6

Total/Over-Under: 223

The Field House is the site where Khris Middleton and the Milwaukee Bucks will play the Miami Heat on Monday in Game 1 of their series. The spread on this matchup has Milwaukee as 6-point favorites. The total has been set at 223.

The Heat cover the spread 53.3% of the time, having gone 40-35-2 ATS. Milwaukee is covering 54.5% of the time, going 42-35-1 against the spread.

Key Miami Heat Injuries

8/29/2020 Gabe Vincent PG Shoulder Game Time Decision
8/29/2020 Chris Silva PF Pelvis Expected to be out until at least Sep 14

Key Milwaukee Bucks Injuries

No key injuries to report

Player Spotlight

Bam Adebayo comes into this contest averaging 15.9 points per game while playing 33.6 minutes per night this season. He pulls down 10.2 rebounds per game and dishes out 5.1 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 56% while his free throw percentage currently sits at 69%. Jimmy Butler averages 19.9 points per game in 33.8 minutes per contest this season. He averages 6.0 assists per contest and 6.7 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage is 46% for the year while his free throw percentage is 83%.

Player Spotlight

Khris Middleton averages 20.9 points per game while playing 29.9 minutes per contest this year. He grabs 6.2 rebounds per game and has 4.3 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 50% and his free throw percentage is at 92%. Giannis Antetokounmpo averages 29.5 points per game this season and he sees the court an average of 30.4 minutes per contest. He also averages 13.6 rebounds per contest and 5.6 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 55% and his free throw percentage is 63%.

Useful Team Statistics

Miami averages 112.0 points per contest this season, which ranks them 15th in the NBA. Their average scoring margin is 3.0 and their shooting percentage is 47% as a team, which has them ranked 8th. Behind the arc they shoot 38% which is good for 2nd in the league. They average 44.4 rebounds per game and 25.9 assists per game, which ranks them 17th and 5th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 13th with 14.9 per game. The Heat allow 109.1 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 10th in the league. They also allow a 45% shooting percentage and a 35% average from behind the arc, ranking them 7th and 6th in those defensive categories. Opponents average 42.5 rebounds a game which ranks 3rd and they give up 24.6 assists per contest, which puts them in 15th place in the league. They force 14.0 turnovers per game which ranks them 10th in the league.

Useful Team Statistics

Milwaukee is 1st in the league with 118.7 points per game this year. They are 3rd in the league in shooting at 48%, while their average scoring margin is 10.1. They shoot 36% from 3-point range, which is good for 17th in the NBA. They are 1st in the league in rebounding with 51.7 boards per game, and 6th in assists per contest with 25.9. The Bucks are 11th in turnovers per game with 15.1. The Bucks surrender 108.6 points per contest, which ranks them 8th in the NBA. Their defense allows a 41% shooting percentage and a 36% average from 3-point range, ranking them 1st and 15th in those defensive statistics. They rank 11th with 24.2 assists allowed per contest and 21st with 45.8 rebounds surrendered per game. The Bucks are 12th in the NBA in forcing turnovers with 14.1 per game.

Advanced Statistics

The Heat are 7th in the league in defensive rating with 109.5, and their offensive rating of 112.5 is ranked 10th. They are 27th in the NBA in pace with 98.3 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 55% is 3rd. As a unit they are 1st in the league in true shooting percentage with 59% and they shoot 3-pointers on 42% of their shot attempts, ranking 7th in the NBA. Miami is 7th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 13.5 times per 100 possessions while forcing 12.6 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 52%, which is 20th in the NBA.

Advanced Statistics

Milwaukee is 17th in the league in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 12.9 times per 100 possessions while forcing 12 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 49%, which is 30th in the NBA. The Bucks are 8th in the league in defensive rating with 102.9, and their offensive rating of 112.4 is ranked 1st. They are 1st in the NBA in pace with 105.1 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 55% is 1st. As a unit they are 3rd in the league in true shooting percentage with 58% and they shoot 3-pointers on 43% of their shot attempts, ranking 4th in the NBA.

Who will win tonight's Heat/Bucks NBA game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Miami +6

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