Miami Heat vs Indiana Pacers Prediction, 8/18/2020 NBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Miami Heat vs Indiana Pacers

Date: Tuesday, August 18, 2020

Location: AdventHealth Arena in Orlando, Florida

TV: TNT

Odds/Point Spread: Miami -5

Total/Over-Under: 219.5

AdventHealth Arena is the site where Malcolm Brogdon and the Indiana Pacers (44-28, 2nd in the Central Division) will play the Miami Heat (44-28, 1st in the Southeast Division) on Tuesday. Miami opens this contest as 5-point favorites. The over/under is set at 219.5.

The Heat are covering 50.7% of the time, having gone 36-35-2 ATS. Indiana is covering 57.1% of the time, going 40-30-3 against the spread.

Key Miami Heat Injuries

08/17/20 SF Derrick Jones Jr. Neck is questionable Tuesday vs Indiana
08/17/20 SF Jae Crowder Knee is upgraded to probable Tuesday vs Indiana
08/14/20 C Bam Adebayo Knee is questionable Tuesday vs Indiana
08/14/20 SG Jimmy Butler Foot is questionable Tuesday vs Indiana
08/14/20 PG Goran Dragic Ankle is questionable Tuesday vs Indiana

Key Indiana Pacers Injuries

08/16/20 SF T.J. Warren Foot is upgraded to probable Tuesday vs Miami
07/24/20 PF Domantas Sabonis Foot is out indefinitely
02/24/20 SG Jeremy Lamb ACL is out for season

Player Spotlight

Jimmy Butler comes into this game averaging 19.9 points per contest while playing 33.8 minutes per night this year. He grabs 6.7 rebounds per contest and distributes 6.0 assists per game. His FG percentage is 46% while his free throw percentage is 83%. Goran Dragic averages 16.2 points per contest in 28.2 minutes per game. He averages 5.1 assists per game and 3.2 rebounds per contest. His field goal percentage is 44% for the season while his free throw percentage is 78%.

Player Spotlight

Malcolm Brogdon scores 16.5 points per contest while playing 30.9 minutes per game. He hauls in 4.9 rebounds per contest and has 7.1 assists per game on the season. His FG percentage is 44% and his free throw percentage is at 89%. T.J. Warren averages 19.8 points per game this year and he sees the court an average of 32.9 minutes per game. He also brings in 4.2 rebounds per game and has 1.5 assists per contest. His field goal percentage is 54% and his free throw percentage is 82%.

Useful Team Statistics

Miami averages 112.0 points per contest, which is 15th in the league. Their average scoring margin is 3.0 and their shooting percentage is 47% as a unit, which has them ranked 8th. From 3-point territory they shoot 38%, which is good for 2nd in the NBA. They average 44.4 boards per contest and 25.9 assists per game, which ranks them 17th and 5th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they are 13th with 14.9 per game. The Heat allow 109.1 points per contest, which is 10th in the NBA. They also surrender a 45% shooting percentage and a 35% average from 3-point range, ranking them 7th and 6th in defensive field goal percentage. Opponents average 42.5 rebounds a game which ranks 3rd, and they allow 24.6 assists per game which puts them in 15th place in the league. They force 14.0 turnovers per game which ranks them 10th in the NBA.

Useful Team Statistics

Indiana is 23rd in the NBA with 109.4 points per contest this season. They are 2nd in the league in shooting at 48%, while their average scoring margin is 1.96. They shoot 36% from beyond the arc, which is good for 14th in the league. They are 25th in the NBA in rebounding with 42.8 boards per contest and 7th in assists per game with 25.9. The Pacers are 26th in turnovers per contest with 13.2. The Pacers give up 107.5 points per game, which ranks them 3rd in the league. Their defense surrenders a 45% shooting percentage and a 34% average from behind the 3-point line, ranking them 6th and 4th in those defensive statistics. They rank 6th with 23.1 dimes allowed per game and 16th with 45.2 boards surrendered per contest. The Pacers are 18th in the league in forcing turnovers with 14.7 per contest this year.

Advanced Statistics

The Heat are 7th in the league in defensive rating with 109.5, and their offensive rating of 112.5 is ranked 10th. They are 27th in the NBA in pace with 98.3 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 55% is 3rd. As a unit they are 1st in the league in true shooting percentage with 59% and they shoot 3-pointers on 42% of their shot attempts, ranking 7th in the NBA. Miami is 7th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 13.5 times per 100 possessions while forcing 12.6 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 52%, which is 20th in the NBA.

Advanced Statistics

Indiana is 26th in the league in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 12 times per 100 possessions while forcing 13 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 51%, which is 26th in the NBA. The Pacers are 19th in the league in defensive rating with 108, and their offensive rating of 110 is ranked 6th. They are 20th in the NBA in pace with 98.9 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 53% is 12th. As a unit they are 18th in the league in true shooting percentage with 57% and they shoot 3-pointers on 32% of their shot attempts, ranking 30th in the NBA.

Who will win tonight's Heat/Pacers NBA game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Indiana +5

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