Miami Heat vs Indiana Pacers Prediction, 8/14/2020 NBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Miami Heat vs Indiana Pacers

Date: Friday, August 14, 2020

Location: AdventHealth Arena in Orlando, Florida

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Indiana -2

Total/Over-Under: 230

AdventHealth Arena is the site where T.J. Warren and the Indiana Pacers (44-28, 2nd in the Central Division) will play the Miami Heat (44-28, 1st in the Southeast Division) on Friday. The odds on this contest have Indiana as 2-point favorites. The total has been set at 230.

The Heat are covering 51.4% of the time, having gone 36-34-2 ATS. Indiana is covering the spread 56.5% of the time, going 39-30-3 against the spread.

Key Miami Heat Injuries

08/12/20 PG Kendrick Nunn Throat is questionable Friday vs Indiana

Key Indiana Pacers Injuries

08/12/20 SG Malcolm Brogdon Neck is questionable Friday vs Miami
08/12/20 SF T.J. Warren Foot is questionable Friday vs Miami
07/24/20 PF Domantas Sabonis Foot is out indefinitely
02/24/20 SG Jeremy Lamb ACL is out for season

Player Spotlight

Bam Adebayo comes into this game averaging 15.9 points per contest while playing 33.6 minutes per night this year. He grabs 10.2 rebounds per contest and distributes 5.1 assists per game. His FG percentage is 56% while his free throw percentage is 69%. Jimmy Butler averages 19.9 points per contest in 33.8 minutes per game. He averages 6.0 assists per game and 6.7 rebounds per contest. His field goal percentage is 46% for the season while his free throw percentage is 83%.

Player Spotlight

T.J. Warren scores 19.8 points per contest while playing 32.9 minutes per game. He hauls in 4.2 rebounds per contest and has 1.5 assists per game on the season. His FG percentage is 54% and his free throw percentage is at 82%. Myles Turner averages 12.1 points per game this year and he sees the court an average of 29.5 minutes per game. He also brings in 6.6 rebounds per game and has 1.2 assists per contest. His field goal percentage is 46% and his free throw percentage is 75%.

Useful Team Statistics

Miami averages 112.3 points per contest, which is 15th in the league. Their average scoring margin is 3.2 and their shooting percentage is 47% as a unit, which has them ranked 8th. From 3-point territory they shoot 38%, which is good for 1st in the NBA. They average 44.3 boards per contest and 26.1 assists per game, which ranks them 18th and 5th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they are 14th with 14.8 per game. The Heat allow 109.1 points per contest, which is 11th in the NBA. They also surrender a 45% shooting percentage and a 35% average from 3-point range, ranking them 7th and 6th in defensive field goal percentage. Opponents average 42.4 rebounds a game which ranks 3rd, and they allow 24.5 assists per game which puts them in 14th place in the league. They force 13.9 turnovers per game which ranks them 9th in the NBA.

Useful Team Statistics

Indiana is 23rd in the NBA with 109.4 points per contest this season. They are 3rd in the league in shooting at 48%, while their average scoring margin is 1.75. They shoot 36% from beyond the arc, which is good for 13th in the league. They are 26th in the NBA in rebounding with 42.7 boards per contest and 7th in assists per game with 25.8. The Pacers are 26th in turnovers per contest with 13.2. The Pacers give up 107.7 points per game, which ranks them 4th in the league. Their defense surrenders a 45% shooting percentage and a 34% average from behind the 3-point line, ranking them 8th and 4th in those defensive statistics. They rank 7th with 23.2 dimes allowed per game and 16th with 45.2 boards surrendered per contest. The Pacers are 17th in the league in forcing turnovers with 14.6 per contest this year.

Advanced Statistics

The Heat are 7th in the league in defensive rating with 109.6, and their offensive rating of 112.8 is ranked 11th. They are 27th in the NBA in pace with 98.3 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 55% is 3rd. As a unit they are 1st in the league in true shooting percentage with 59% and they shoot 3-pointers on 42% of their shot attempts, ranking 7th in the NBA. Miami is 7th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 13.5 times per 100 possessions while forcing 12.5 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 52%, which is 20th in the NBA.

Advanced Statistics

Indiana is 26th in the league in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 12 times per 100 possessions while forcing 13 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 51%, which is 24th in the NBA. The Pacers are 18th in the league in defensive rating with 108.3, and their offensive rating of 110 is ranked 6th. They are 20th in the NBA in pace with 98.9 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 53% is 11th. As a unit they are 17th in the league in true shooting percentage with 57% and they shoot 3-pointers on 32% of their shot attempts, ranking 30th in the NBA.

Who will win tonight's Heat/Pacers NBA game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Indiana -2

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