Miami Heat vs Cleveland Cavaliers Predictions, NBA Expert Picks 2/24/2020

Game: Miami Heat vs Cleveland Cavaliers

Date: Monday, February 24, 2020

Location: Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse in Cleveland, OH

TV: Fox Sports Ohio

Odds/Point Spread: Miami -6

Total/Over-Under: 226

Bam Adebayo and the Miami Heat (36-20, 1st in the Southeast Division) are headed to Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse on Monday where they'll take on the Cleveland Cavaliers (15-41, 5th in the Central Division). Cleveland opens this matchup as 6 point underdogs. The over/under is set at 226.

The Heat are covering the spread 55.6% of the time, having gone 30-24-2 ATS. Cleveland is covering 43.6% of the time, going 24-31-1 against the spread.

Key Miami Heat Injuries

02/23/20 SG Jimmy Butler Personal is downgraded to out Monday vs Cleveland
02/22/20 PF Meyers Leonard Ankle is questionable Monday vs Cleveland
02/11/20 SG Tyler Herro Ankle is out indefinitely

Key Cleveland Cavaliers Injuries

02/22/20 PF Kevin Love Achilles is questionable Monday vs Miami
02/22/20 SF Alfonzo McKinnie Plantar Fasciitis is questionable Monday vs Miami
01/13/20 SG Dylan Windler Leg is out for season

Player Spotlight

Bam Adebayo comes into this contest averaging 16.0 points per game while playing 34.4 minutes per night this season. He pulls down 10.4 rebounds per game and dishes out 5.0 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 58% while his free throw percentage currently sits at 68%. Kendrick Nunn averages 15.5 points per game in 30.0 minutes per contest this season. He averages 3.5 assists per contest and 2.7 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage is 44% for the year while his free throw percentage is 85%.

Player Spotlight

Collin Sexton averages 19.8 points per game while playing 32.2 minutes per contest this year. He grabs 3.1 rebounds per game and has 2.8 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 46% and his free throw percentage is at 85%. Kevin Love averages 17.5 points per game this season and he sees the court an average of 31.1 minutes per contest. He also averages 9.6 rebounds per contest and 3.0 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 46% and his free throw percentage is 85%.

Useful Team Statistics

Miami averages 112.1 points per contest this season, which ranks them 15th in the NBA. Their average scoring margin is 3.5 and their shooting percentage is 47% as a team, which has them ranked 8th. Behind the arc they shoot 38% which is good for 2nd in the league. They average 44.8 rebounds per game and 25.5 assists per game, which ranks them 17th and 11th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 13th with 14.9 per game. The Heat allow 108.7 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 11th in the league. They also allow a 45% shooting percentage and a 34% average from behind the arc, ranking them 6th and 2nd in those defensive categories. Opponents average 42.2 rebounds a game which ranks 2nd and they give up 24.7 assists per contest, which puts them in 19th place in the league. They force 13.7 turnovers per game which ranks them 7th in the league.

Useful Team Statistics

Cleveland is 26th in the league with 106.2 points per game this year. They are 21st in the league in shooting at 46%, while their average scoring margin is -8.8. They shoot 35% from 3-point range, which is good for 21st in the NBA. They are 20th in the league in rebounding with 44.4 boards per game, and 25th in assists per contest with 22.4. The Cavaliers are 1st in turnovers per game with 16.7. The Cavaliers surrender 115.0 points per contest, which ranks them 24th in the NBA. Their defense allows a 49% shooting percentage and a 37% average from 3-point range, ranking them 30th and 27th in those defensive statistics. They rank 29th with 26.1 assists allowed per contest and 5th with 42.9 rebounds surrendered per game. The Cavaliers are 5th in the NBA in forcing turnovers with 12.8 per game.

Advanced Statistics

The Heat are 6th in the NBA in offensive rating with 112.6, and their defensive rating of 109.1 is ranked 14th. In terms of pace they are 26th in the league with 98.2 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 55% is 5th. As a team they are 2nd in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 59% and they shoot 3-pointers on 41% of their shots, ranking 8th in the league. Miami is 7th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 13.5 times per 100 possessions while forcing 12.3 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 52%, which is 19th in the league.

Advanced Statistics

Cleveland is 1st in the NBA in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 14.7 times per 100 possessions while forcing 11.5 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 56%, which is 1st in the league. The Cavaliers are 24th in the NBA in offensive rating with 106.8, and their defensive rating of 115.6 is ranked 29th. In terms of pace they are 20th in the league with 98.9 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 52% is 22nd. As a team they are 23rd in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 55% and they shoot 3-pointers on 36% of their shots, ranking 17th in the league.

Who will win tonight's Heat/Cavaliers NBA game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Miami -6

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