Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks Predictions, NBA Picks 2/20/2020

Game: Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks

Date: Thursday, February 20, 2020

Location: State Farm Arena in Atlanta, GA

TV: Fox Sports Southeast - Atlanta

Odds/Point Spread: Miami -4.5

Total/Over-Under: 231.5

Trae Young and the Atlanta Hawks (15-41, 5th in the Southeast Division) host the Miami Heat (35-19, 1st in the Southeast Division) at State Farm Arena on Thursday, February 20, 2020. The odds on this contest have Miami as 4.5 point favorites. The O/U has been set at 231.5.

The Heat are covering the spread 55.8% of the time, having gone 29-23-2 ATS. Atlanta is covering 45.5% of the time, going 25-30-1 against the spread.

Key Miami Heat Injuries

02/14/20 PF Meyers Leonard Ankle is doubtful Thursday vs Atlanta
02/11/20 SG Tyler Herro Ankle is out indefinitely

Key Atlanta Hawks Injuries

02/19/20 C Clint Capela Heel is downgraded to out Thursday vs Miami
01/05/20 PF Skal Labissiere Knee is out indefinitely

Player Spotlight

Kendrick Nunn comes into this game averaging 15.3 points per contest while playing 30.0 minutes per night this year. He grabs 2.7 rebounds per contest and distributes 3.5 assists per game. His FG percentage is 44% while his free throw percentage is 83%. Jimmy Butler averages 20.6 points per contest in 34.4 minutes per game. He averages 6.1 assists per game and 6.8 rebounds per contest. His field goal percentage is 46% for the season while his free throw percentage is 84%.

Player Spotlight

Trae Young scores 29.7 points per contest while playing 35.2 minutes per game. He hauls in 4.4 rebounds per contest and has 9.2 assists per game on the season. His FG percentage is 44% and his free throw percentage is at 85%. John Collins averages 20.6 points per game this year and he sees the court an average of 32.2 minutes per game. He also brings in 10.2 rebounds per game and has 1.4 assists per contest. His field goal percentage is 57% and his free throw percentage is 81%.

Useful Team Statistics

Miami averages 111.7 points per contest, which is 15th in the league. Their average scoring margin is 3.4 and their shooting percentage is 47% as a unit, which has them ranked 8th. From 3-point territory they shoot 38%, which is good for 2nd in the NBA. They average 45.0 boards per contest and 25.3 assists per game, which ranks them 17th and 11th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they are 12th with 14.9 per game. The Heat allow 108.4 points per contest, which is 11th in the NBA. They also surrender a 45% shooting percentage and a 34% average from 3-point range, ranking them 6th and 1st in defensive field goal percentage. Opponents average 42.2 rebounds a game which ranks 3rd, and they allow 24.7 assists per game which puts them in 18th place in the league. They force 13.4 turnovers per game which ranks them 7th in the NBA.

Useful Team Statistics

Atlanta is 20th in the NBA with 110.2 points per contest this season. They are 23rd in the league in shooting at 45%, while their average scoring margin is -8.73. They shoot 33% from beyond the arc, which is good for 30th in the league. They are 25th in the NBA in rebounding with 42.8 boards per contest and 20th in assists per game with 23.5. The Hawks are 1st in turnovers per contest with 16.6. The Hawks give up 118.9 points per game, which ranks them 29th in the league. Their defense surrenders a 48% shooting percentage and a 36% average from behind the 3-point line, ranking them 28th and 19th in those defensive statistics. They rank 17th with 24.6 dimes allowed per game and 27th with 47.0 boards surrendered per contest. The Hawks are 21st in the league in forcing turnovers with 15.3 per contest this year.

Advanced Statistics

The Heat are 9th in the league in defensive rating with 108.9, and their offensive rating of 112.3 is ranked 13th. They are 27th in the NBA in pace with 97.9 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 55% is 5th. As a unit they are 3rd in the league in true shooting percentage with 59% and they shoot 3-pointers on 41% of their shot attempts, ranking 8th in the NBA. Miami is 8th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 13.5 times per 100 possessions while forcing 12.1 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 52%, which is 21st in the NBA.

Advanced Statistics

Atlanta is 2nd in the league in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 14.2 times per 100 possessions while forcing 13 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 54%, which is 7th in the NBA. The Hawks are 28th in the league in defensive rating with 114.2, and their offensive rating of 105.8 is ranked 28th. They are 4th in the NBA in pace with 103.2 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 51% is 24th. As a unit they are 22nd in the league in true shooting percentage with 55% and they shoot 3-pointers on 40% of their shot attempts, ranking 13th in the NBA.

Who will win tonight's Heat/Hawks NBA game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Atlanta +4.5

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