Memphis Grizzlies vs Sacramento Kings Predictions, Expert NBA Pick 2/20/2020

Game: Memphis Grizzlies vs Sacramento Kings

Date: Thursday, February 20, 2020

Location: Golden 1 Center in Sacramento, CA

TV: NBC Sports California

Odds/Point Spread: Sacramento -2

Total/Over-Under: 229

Golden 1 Center is the venue where De'Aaron Fox and the Sacramento Kings (21-33, 4th in the Pacific Division) will play the Memphis Grizzlies (28-26, 3rd in the Southwest Division) on Thursday. The spread on this matchup has Sacramento as 2 point favorites. The O/U is set at 229.

The Grizzlies are covering the spread 56.6% of the time, having gone 30-23-1 ATS. Sacramento is covering 49.1% of the time, going 26-27-1 against the spread.

Key Memphis Grizzlies Injuries

01/27/20 SG Grayson Allen Hip is out indefinitely
01/13/20 SF Justise Winslow Back is out indefinitely

Key Sacramento Kings Injuries

02/14/20 PF Jabari Parker Shoulder is questionable Thursday vs Memphis
02/12/20 PF Richaun Holmes Shoulder is out indefinitely
02/09/20 F Marvin Bagley III Foot is out indefinitely
01/31/20 C Alex Len Hip is out indefinitely

Player Spotlight

Ja Morant comes into this contest averaging 17.6 points per game while playing 29.9 minutes per night this season. He pulls down 3.5 rebounds per game and dishes out 7.1 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 49% while his free throw percentage currently sits at 78%. Jonas Valanciunas averages 14.9 points per game in 26.0 minutes per contest this season. He averages 1.9 assists per contest and 10.5 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage is 59% for the year while his free throw percentage is 72%.

Player Spotlight

De'Aaron Fox averages 19.7 points per game while playing 31.5 minutes per contest this year. He grabs 4.2 rebounds per game and has 7.0 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 47% and his free throw percentage is at 68%. Buddy Hield averages 20.4 points per game this season and he sees the court an average of 33.4 minutes per contest. He also averages 5.0 rebounds per contest and 3.2 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 43% and his free throw percentage is 83%.

Useful Team Statistics

Memphis averages 113.0 points per contest this season, which ranks them 11th in the NBA. Their average scoring margin is -1.4 and their shooting percentage is 47% as a team, which has them ranked 5th. Behind the arc they shoot 35% which is good for 19th in the league. They average 45.8 rebounds per game and 27.4 assists per game, which ranks them 9th and 1st in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 9th with 15.1 per game. The Grizzlies allow 114.4 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 21st in the league. They also allow a 45% shooting percentage and a 37% average from behind the arc, ranking them 11th and 24th in those defensive categories. Opponents average 45.2 rebounds a game which ranks 15th and they give up 24.9 assists per contest, which puts them in 22nd place in the league. They force 14.7 turnovers per game which ranks them 18th in the league.

Useful Team Statistics

Sacramento is 24th in the league with 107.9 points per game this year. They are 20th in the league in shooting at 46%, while their average scoring margin is -2.9. They shoot 36% from 3-point range, which is good for 15th in the NBA. They are 30th in the league in rebounding with 42.3 boards per game, and 23rd in assists per contest with 23.2. The Kings are 17th in turnovers per game with 14.7. The Kings surrender 110.8 points per contest, which ranks them 17th in the NBA. Their defense allows a 47% shooting percentage and a 36% average from 3-point range, ranking them 22nd and 15th in those defensive statistics. They rank 19th with 24.7 assists allowed per contest and 8th with 43.8 rebounds surrendered per game. The Kings are 20th in the NBA in forcing turnovers with 15.2 per game.

Advanced Statistics

The Grizzlies are 18th in the league in defensive rating with 110.8, and their offensive rating of 109.4 is ranked 16th. They are 5th in the NBA in pace with 103.1 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 53% is 10th. As a unit they are 16th in the league in true shooting percentage with 56% and they shoot 3-pointers on 34% of their shot attempts, ranking 26th in the NBA. Memphis is 13th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 13.1 times per 100 possessions while forcing 12.6 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 52%, which is 16th in the NBA.

Advanced Statistics

Sacramento is 11th in the league in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 13.2 times per 100 possessions while forcing 13.7 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 54%, which is 8th in the NBA. The Kings are 21st in the league in defensive rating with 111.6, and their offensive rating of 108.7 is ranked 20th. They are 25th in the NBA in pace with 98.2 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 53% is 18th. As a unit they are 21st in the league in true shooting percentage with 56% and they shoot 3-pointers on 40% of their shot attempts, ranking 12th in the NBA.

Who will win tonight's Grizzlies/Kings NBA game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Memphis +2

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