Memphis Grizzlies vs Dallas Mavericks Predictions, NBA Picks Tonight 3/6/2020

Game: Memphis Grizzlies vs Dallas Mavericks

Date: Friday, March 6, 2020

Location: American Airlines Center in Dallas, TX

TV: Fox Sports Southwest - Dallas

Odds/Point Spread: Dallas -5.5

Total/Over-Under: 228

Ja Morant and the Memphis Grizzlies (31-31, 3rd in the Southwest Division) go to American Airlines Center on Friday where they'll take on the Dallas Mavericks (38-25, 2nd in the Southwest Division). The spread on this game has Dallas as 5.5 point favorites. The O/U is set at 228.

The Grizzlies are covering the spread 54.1% of the time, having gone 33-28-1 ATS. Dallas covers the spread 55.0% of the time, going 33-27-3 against the spread.

Key Memphis Grizzlies Injuries

02/25/20 PF Brandon Clarke Hip is out 2-3 weeks
02/23/20 F Jaren Jackson Jr. Knee is out 2-3 weeks
01/27/20 SG Grayson Allen Hip is out indefinitely
01/13/20 SF Justise Winslow Back is out indefinitely

Key Dallas Mavericks Injuries

03/05/20 PG Luka Doncic Thumb is probable Friday vs Memphis
03/05/20 PG J.J. Barea Ankle is questionable Friday vs Memphis
03/05/20 SF Dorian Finney-Smith Hip left last game, is questionable Friday vs Memphis
02/24/20 PG Jalen Brunson Shoulder is out indefinitely
01/21/20 PF Dwight Powell Achilles is out for season

Player Spotlight

Ja Morant comes into this contest averaging 17.6 points per game while playing 29.9 minutes per night this season. He pulls down 3.5 rebounds per game and dishes out 7.0 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 49% while his free throw percentage currently sits at 77%. Jonas Valanciunas averages 14.5 points per game in 26.0 minutes per contest this season. He averages 1.8 assists per contest and 11.1 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage is 57% for the year while his free throw percentage is 74%.

Player Spotlight

Kristaps Porzingis averages 19.5 points per game while playing 31.1 minutes per contest this year. He grabs 9.4 rebounds per game and has 1.7 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 43% and his free throw percentage is at 78%. Tim Hardaway averages 15.6 points per game this season and he sees the court an average of 28.3 minutes per contest. He also averages 3.0 rebounds per contest and 2.0 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 44% and his free throw percentage is 81%.

Useful Team Statistics

Memphis averages 112.8 points per contest this season, which ranks them 12th in the NBA. Their average scoring margin is -0.9 and their shooting percentage is 47% as a team, which has them ranked 9th. Behind the arc they shoot 35% which is good for 19th in the league. They average 46.6 rebounds per game and 27.0 assists per game, which ranks them 6th and 2nd in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 11th with 15.1 per game. The Grizzlies allow 113.7 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 21st in the league. They also allow a 45% shooting percentage and a 36% average from behind the arc, ranking them 9th and 22nd in those defensive categories. Opponents average 45.0 rebounds a game which ranks 14th and they give up 24.7 assists per contest, which puts them in 18th place in the league. They force 14.6 turnovers per game which ranks them 18th in the league.

Useful Team Statistics

Dallas is 3rd in the league with 116.6 points per game this year. They are 13th in the league in shooting at 46%, while their average scoring margin is 6.0. They shoot 37% from 3-point range, which is good for 8th in the NBA. They are 4th in the league in rebounding with 47.1 boards per game, and 13th in assists per contest with 24.5. The Mavericks are 28th in turnovers per game with 12.9. The Mavericks surrender 110.6 points per contest, which ranks them 16th in the NBA. Their defense allows a 45% shooting percentage and a 34% average from 3-point range, ranking them 11th and 4th in those defensive statistics. They rank 8th with 23.6 assists allowed per contest and 18th with 45.4 rebounds surrendered per game. The Mavericks are 2nd in the NBA in forcing turnovers with 12.1 per game.

Advanced Statistics

The Grizzlies are 19th in the NBA in offensive rating with 109.5, and their defensive rating of 110.4 is ranked 16th. In terms of pace they are 7th in the league with 102.8 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 53% is 16th. As a team they are 21st in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 56% and they shoot 3-pointers on 34% of their shots, ranking 26th in the league. Memphis is 13th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 13 times per 100 possessions while forcing 12.6 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 52%, which is 19th in the league.

Advanced Statistics

Dallas is 28th in the NBA in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 11.4 times per 100 possessions while forcing 10.7 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 52%, which is 22nd in the league. The Mavericks are 1st in the NBA in offensive rating with 116.9, and their defensive rating of 110.9 is ranked 17th. In terms of pace they are 18th in the league with 99.1 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 55% is 5th. As a team they are 4th in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 58% and they shoot 3-pointers on 46% of their shots, ranking 2nd in the league.

Who will win tonight's Grizzlies/Mavericks NBA game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Dallas -5.5

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