Mavericks vs Rockets Predictions, Picks, Betting Tips 1/31/2020

Game: Dallas Mavericks vs Houston Rockets

Date: Friday, January 31, 2020

Location: Toyota Center in Houston, TX

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Houston -4

Total/Over-Under: 238.5

Tim Hardaway and the Dallas Mavericks (29-18, 1st in the Southwest Division) travel to Toyota Center on Friday where they'll meet the Houston Rockets (29-18, 2nd in the Southwest Division). The line on this matchup has Houston as 4 point favorites. The total is set at 238.5.

The Mavericks cover the spread 54.5% of the time, having gone 24-20-3 ATS. Houston is covering 46.8% of the time, going 22-25-0 against the spread.

Key Dallas Mavericks Injuries

01/21/20 PF Dwight Powell Achilles is out for season

Key Houston Rockets Injuries

No key injuries to report

Player Spotlight

Luka Doncic averages 28.8 points per game in 32.8 minutes per contest. He averages 8.7 assists per contest and 9.5 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage is 46% for the year while his free throw percentage is 76%. Tim Hardaway comes into this contest averaging 14.1 points per game while playing 26.5 minutes per night. He pulls down 2.9 rebounds per game and dishes out 1.6 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 43% while his free throw percentage is at 79%.

Player Spotlight

James Harden averages 35.7 points per game and he sees the court an average of 37.1 minutes per contest. He also averages 6.2 rebounds per contest and 7.2 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 44% and his free throw percentage is 86%. Russell Westbrook averages 26.3 points per game while playing 35.9 minutes per contest. He grabs 8.1 rebounds per game and has 7.4 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 46% and his free throw percentage is at 79%.

Useful Team Statistics

The Mavericks allow 110.0 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 14th in the league. They also allow a 45% shooting percentage and a 34% average from behind the arc, ranking them 11th and 9th in those defensive categories. Opponents average 45.4 rebounds a game which ranks 14th, and they give up 23.5 assists per contest which puts them in 10th place in the league. They force 12.3 turnovers per game which ranks them 1st in the league. Dallas averages 116.1 points per contest this season, which ranks them 3rd in the NBA. Their average scoring margin is 6.1 and their shooting percentage is 46% as a team, which has them ranked 15th. Behind the arc they shoot 36% which is good for 10th in the league. They average 47.3 rebounds per game and 24.0 assists per contest, which ranks them 4th and 15th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 29th with 12.7 per game.

Useful Team Statistics

The Rockets surrender 114.6 points per contest, which ranks them 24th in the NBA. Their defense allows a 46% shooting percentage and a 35% average from 3-point range, ranking them 17th and 12th in those defensive statistics. They rank 26th with 25.6 assists allowed per contest, and 23rd with 46.2 rebounds surrendered per game. The Rockets are 20th in the NBA in forcing turnovers with 15.2 per game. Houston is 2nd in the league with 118.5 points per game this year. They are 20th in the league in shooting at 45%, while their average scoring margin is 4.0. They shoot 35% from 3-point range, which is good for 20th in the NBA. They are 5th in the league in rebounding with 46.7 boards per game and 28th in assists per contest with 21.5. The Rockets are 11th in turnovers per game with 15.1.

Advanced Statistics

The Mavericks are 1st in the league in defensive rating with 110.8, and their offensive rating of 117 is ranked 18th. They are 24th in the NBA in pace with 98.6 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 54% is 5th. As a unit they are 4th in the league in true shooting percentage with 58% and they shoot 3-pointers on 46% of their shot attempts, ranking 2nd in the NBA. Dallas is 30th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 11.2 times per 100 possessions while forcing 10.9 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 52%, which is 20th in the NBA.

Advanced Statistics

Houston is 18th in the NBA in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 12.8 times per 100 possessions while forcing 12.9 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 53%, which is 15th in the league. The Rockets are 3rd in the NBA in offensive rating with 113.7, and their defensive rating of 109.9 is ranked 15th. In terms of pace they are 2nd in the league with 103.8 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 54% is 7th. As a team they are 5th in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 58% and they shoot 3-pointers on 48% of their shots, ranking 1st in the league.

Who will win tonight's Mavericks/Rockets NBA game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Dallas +4

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