Mavericks vs Kings 1/15/2020 NBA Prediction, Pick, Tips

Game: Dallas Mavericks vs Sacramento Kings

Date: Wednesday, January 15, 2020

Location: Golden 1 Center in Sacramento, CA

TV: NBC Sports California

Odds/Point Spread: Dallas -5.5

Total/Over-Under: 224

Luka Doncic and the Dallas Mavericks (24-15, 2nd in the Southwest Division) are headed to Golden 1 Center on Wednesday where they'll take on the Sacramento Kings (15-25, 4th in the Pacific Division). The line on this game has Dallas as 5.5 point favorites. The over/under is set at 224.

The Mavericks cover the spread 52.6% of the time, having gone 20-18-1 ATS. Sacramento is covering 50.0% of the time, going 20-20-0 against the spread.

Key Dallas Mavericks Injuries

01/12/20 PF Kristaps Porzingis Knee is questionable Tuesday vs Golden State

Key Sacramento Kings Injuries

01/13/20 SG Bogdan Bogdanovic Lower Body is questionable Wednesday vs Dallas
01/12/20 PF Richaun Holmes Shoulder is out indefinitely

Player Spotlight

Luka Doncic comes into this game averaging 29.1 points per contest while playing 32.9 minutes per night this year. He grabs 9.7 rebounds per contest and distributes 9.0 assists per game. His FG percentage is 47% while his free throw percentage is 80%. Tim Hardaway averages 14.0 points per contest in 25.8 minutes per game. He averages 1.7 assists per game and 2.8 rebounds per contest. His field goal percentage is 43% for the season while his free throw percentage is 78%.

Player Spotlight

De'Aaron Fox scores 18.9 points per contest while playing 30.9 minutes per game. He hauls in 4.3 rebounds per contest and has 7.0 assists per game on the season. His FG percentage is 47% and his free throw percentage is at 73%. Buddy Hield averages 20.2 points per game this year and he sees the court an average of 34.3 minutes per game. He also brings in 5.1 rebounds per game and has 3.2 assists per contest. His field goal percentage is 42% and his free throw percentage is 82%.

Useful Team Statistics

Dallas averages 116.1 points per contest, which is 3rd in the league. Their average scoring margin is 6.9 and their shooting percentage is 46% as a unit, which has them ranked 14th. From 3-point territory they shoot 36%, which is good for 8th in the NBA. They average 47.6 boards per contest and 24.4 assists per game, which ranks them 4th and 13th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they are 28th with 13.0 per game. The Mavericks allow 109.3 points per contest, which is 14th in the NBA. They also surrender a 45% shooting percentage and a 34% average from 3-point range, ranking them 11th and 5th in defensive field goal percentage. Opponents average 45.5 rebounds a game which ranks 15th, and they allow 23.2 assists per game which puts them in 10th place in the league. They force 12.4 turnovers per game which ranks them 1st in the NBA.

Useful Team Statistics

Sacramento is 24th in the NBA with 106.4 points per contest this season. They are 18th in the league in shooting at 45%, while their average scoring margin is -2.78. They shoot 36% from beyond the arc, which is good for 14th in the league. They are 27th in the NBA in rebounding with 42.5 boards per contest and 22nd in assists per game with 22.6. The Kings are 9th in turnovers per contest with 15.5. The Kings give up 109.1 points per game, which ranks them 13th in the league. Their defense surrenders a 47% shooting percentage and a 35% average from behind the 3-point line, ranking them 21st and 13th in those defensive statistics. They rank 17th with 24.2 dimes allowed per game and 4th with 43.4 boards surrendered per contest. The Kings are 18th in the league in forcing turnovers with 15.0 per contest this year.

Advanced Statistics

The Mavericks are 1st in the NBA in offensive rating with 116.8, and their defensive rating of 109.9 is ranked 17th. In terms of pace they are 22nd in the league with 98.7 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 54% is 5th. As a team they are 5th in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 58% and they shoot 3-pointers on 46% of their shots, ranking 2nd in the league. Dallas is 29th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 11.5 times per 100 possessions while forcing 11 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 51%, which is 22nd in the league.

Advanced Statistics

Sacramento is 6th in the NBA in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 13.9 times per 100 possessions while forcing 13.6 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 53%, which is 10th in the league. The Kings are 21st in the NBA in offensive rating with 107.6, and their defensive rating of 110.4 is ranked 18th. In terms of pace they are 28th in the league with 97.9 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 52% is 18th. As a team they are 20th in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 56% and they shoot 3-pointers on 39% of their shots, ranking 12th in the league.

Who will win tonight's Mavericks/Kings NBA game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Dallas -5.5

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