Magic vs Warriors 1/18/2020 NBA Prediction, Pick, Tips

Game: Orlando Magic vs Golden State Warriors

Date: Saturday, January 18, 2020

Location: Chase Center in San Francisco, CA

TV: NBC Sports Bay Area

Odds/Point Spread: Orlando -3.5

Total/Over-Under: 210

D'Angelo Russell and the Golden State Warriors (9-34, 5th in the Pacific Division) host the Orlando Magic (20-22, 2nd in the Southeast Division) at Chase Center on Saturday, January 18, 2020. Golden State opens this matchup as 3.5 point underdogs. The O/U has been set at 210.

The Magic cover 50.0% of the time, having gone 20-20-2 ATS. Golden State is covering 46.5% of the time, going 20-23-0 against the spread.

Key Orlando Magic Injuries

01/17/20 PG D.J. Augustin Knee is out 3-4 weeks
01/16/20 PG Michael Carter-Williams Shoulder is questionable Saturday vs Golden State
01/10/20 SF Al-Farouq Aminu Knee is out for season
01/02/20 PF Jonathan Isaac Knee is out indefinitely

Key Golden State Warriors Injuries

10/30/19 PG Stephen Curry Hand is out indefinitely
10/19/19 SG Klay Thompson Knee is out indefinitely
01/16/20 G Jacob Evans Concussion is questionable Saturday vs Orlando
01/10/20 C Kevon Looney Abdominal is out indefinitely

Player Spotlight

Aaron Gordon comes into this game averaging 13.6 points per contest while playing 31.2 minutes per night this year. He grabs 7.3 rebounds per contest and distributes 2.8 assists per game. His FG percentage is 43% while his free throw percentage is 70%. Nikola Vucevic averages 18.9 points per contest in 31.5 minutes per game. He averages 3.3 assists per game and 11.1 rebounds per contest. His field goal percentage is 45% for the season while his free throw percentage is 80%.

Player Spotlight

D'Angelo Russell scores 23.1 points per contest while playing 31.8 minutes per game. He hauls in 3.5 rebounds per contest and has 6.2 assists per game on the season. His FG percentage is 43% and his free throw percentage is at 77%. Alec Burks averages 15.9 points per game this year and he sees the court an average of 29.1 minutes per game. He also brings in 4.7 rebounds per game and has 3.1 assists per contest. His field goal percentage is 41% and his free throw percentage is 90%.

Useful Team Statistics

Orlando averages 103.9 points per contest, which is 29th in the league. Their average scoring margin is -0.4 and their shooting percentage is 43% as a unit, which has them ranked 28th. From 3-point territory they shoot 33%, which is good for 27th in the NBA. They average 45.1 boards per contest and 22.5 assists per game, which ranks them 18th and 24th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they are 30th with 12.8 per game. The Magic allow 104.3 points per contest, which is 1st in the NBA. They also surrender a 45% shooting percentage and a 36% average from 3-point range, ranking them 12th and 16th in defensive field goal percentage. Opponents average 46.6 rebounds a game which ranks 21st, and they allow 23.5 assists per game which puts them in 11th place in the league. They force 15.1 turnovers per game which ranks them 21st in the NBA.

Useful Team Statistics

Golden State is 26th in the NBA with 105.1 points per contest this season. They are 30th in the league in shooting at 43%, while their average scoring margin is -8.51. They shoot 34% from beyond the arc, which is good for 26th in the league. They are 21st in the NBA in rebounding with 43.9 boards per contest and 13th in assists per game with 24.6. The Warriors are 15th in turnovers per contest with 15.0. The Warriors give up 113.7 points per game, which ranks them 21st in the league. Their defense surrenders a 47% shooting percentage and a 38% average from behind the 3-point line, ranking them 24th and 29th in those defensive statistics. They rank 26th with 25.4 dimes allowed per game and 27th with 47.2 boards surrendered per contest. The Warriors are 27th in the league in forcing turnovers with 16.2 per contest this year.

Advanced Statistics

The Magic are 26th in the league in defensive rating with 106.1, and their offensive rating of 105.7 is ranked 5th. They are 27th in the NBA in pace with 98.3 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 49% is 29th. As a unit they are 29th in the league in true shooting percentage with 53% and they shoot 3-pointers on 35% of their shot attempts, ranking 23rd in the NBA. Orlando is 27th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 11.5 times per 100 possessions while forcing 13.7 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 52%, which is 15th in the NBA.

Advanced Statistics

Golden State is 15th in the league in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 13.1 times per 100 possessions while forcing 14.1 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 55%, which is 5th in the NBA. The Warriors are 29th in the league in defensive rating with 112.2, and their offensive rating of 103.8 is ranked 23rd. They are 14th in the NBA in pace with 100.3 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 49% is 30th. As a unit they are 28th in the league in true shooting percentage with 53% and they shoot 3-pointers on 33% of their shot attempts, ranking 28th in the NBA.

Who will win tonight's Magic/Warriors NBA game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Orlando -3.5

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